Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 12:49 AM   Moonset 10:14 AM

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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 323 Pm Edt Tue Apr 30 2024
Through 7 pm - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wed - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wed night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Fri night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Sat night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

ANZ600 323 Pm Edt Tue Apr 30 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
high pressure remain anchored off the southeast coast through midweek. A weak cold front crosses the waters tonight into Wednesday.

FXUS61 KAKQ 302004 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 404 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will shift farther off the southeast coast and out to sea this evening, as a weak cold front approaches from the northwest. The front will cross the area late tonight through Wednesday with scattered showers and storms possible Wednesday into Wednesday evening. Dry conditions are expected Thursday and Friday, with rain chances returning this weekend, as another cold front approaches from the northwest.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 355 PM EDT Tuesday...

Late this aftn, upper level ridge has shifted off the coast, while sfc high pressure was centered well off the SE coast. A cold front was pushing into extrm wrn VA. The sky was generally partly sunny across the region with temps in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

High pressure will shift farther out to sea tonight, as the front drops into the area from the WNW. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with mainly a 15-30% chance of a shower or storm.
The best chances will be across WNW portions of the area (closer to the boundary). Mild with lows in the lower to mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 355 PM EDT Tuesday...

The cold front will be fairly weak/decaying by the time it moves through the local area Wed into Wed evening. Latest CAMs focus the majority of the shower/tstm chances across SE portions of the forecast area Wed aftn into early Wed evening, with the forecast trending drier for locations farther NNW. Total QPF will generally be ~0.10-0.25" across SE portions of the area (locally higher in tstms). Partly sunny to mostly cloudy with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

Any shower/storm activity comes to an end shortly after sunset Wed evening, with dry conditions returning for Wed night. Lows will range through the 50s, under a clear to partly cloudy sky.
Will have to watch for the potential for areas of fog late Wed night into Thu morning.

Dry wx expected for Thu and Fri, as upper ridge builds back over the Eastern US then just offshore. Mostly sunny and very warm on Thu with highs in the mid to upper 80s inland/Piedmont, and in the mid 70s to lower 80s closer to the coast (due to a SE or S wind). Partly to mostly sunny on Fri with highs mainly in the mid 80s inland/Piedmont, and ranging through the 70s to around 80 near the Bay/coast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 355 PM EDT Tuesday...

Unsettled conditions are expected for late Fri night into Tue.
A frontal boundary, along with areas of low pressure along it will affect the region Sat into Sun night, bringing a good chance of showers/tstms across the entire area. Clouds, rain, and an onshore wind will keep temps cooler on Sat and Sun.
Highs on Sat will range from the mid to upper 60s NE, to the mid to upper 70s SSW. Highs on Sun will mainly range from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Increasingly warmer Mon and Tue, but there will be slight to small chances for mainly aftn/early evening showers or tstms, due to the proximity of a trough. Highs will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s Mon, and in the upper 70s to mid 80s Tue.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Tuesday...

VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites from this aftn into Wed aftn. SW winds will be 12-17 kt with gusts to 20-26 kt this aftn into early this evening, then SSW 5-10 kt from this evening into Wed morning. Expect increasing clouds (mainly CI and AC)
from later this aftn into early Wed morning. Isolated to sctd showers or tstms will be possible tonight Wed evening, with the best chances at the ORF/ECG Wed aftn into Wed evening.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected for Thu and Fri. There is chance for showers/thunderstorms and potentially sub-VFR conditions from late Fri night through Sun with the next front.

MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...

Key Message:

- Sub-SCA conditions expected through the end of the week and into the weekend.

A cold front continues to approach from the NW this afternoon with sfc high pressure anchored off the SE CONUS coast. It is a bit breezy with SW winds of 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt (a few higher gusts have been observed right at the land/water interface with peak daytime mixing over land). Seas are generally 3-4.5 ft. The front is expected to cross the local waters tonight-Wed. Breezy conditions continue through the evening with S-SW winds of 10-15 kt. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt and turn to the W then NE through the day Wed as the front crosses the waters. Winds turn back to the south on Thu (and remain 5-10 kt) before becoming E-NE at 10-15 kt Fri-Sat AM as another weak front crosses the waters.

Seas remain 3-4 ft through tonight, with a few 5 ft seas possible out near 20nm off the eastern shore, but will not issue SCAs. Seas drop back to 2-3ft by Wed evening and may build back to 3-4 ft by Fri night. Waves stay at 1-2 ft through most of the week.

CLIMATE
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...

No record highs were set yesterday, 4/29. SBY has a chance today, while records at the other sites are very unlikely.

Record highs for Tuesday April 30th:

* RIC: 93/1974 * ORF: 93/1988 * SBY: 86/2017 * ECG: 90/1974

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

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Onancock
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Tue -- 01:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:07 AM EDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:04 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:42 PM EDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Onancock, Onancock Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet

Pungoteague Creek
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Tue -- 01:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:36 AM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:32 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:12 PM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:31 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet

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