Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kilmarnock, VA
April 30, 2024 3:10 PM EDT (19:10 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:09 AM Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 12:51 AM Moonset 10:16 AM |
ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 130 Pm Edt Tue Apr 30 2024
This afternoon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Wed - W winds 5 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop.
Wed night - E winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop.
Thu - E winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop.
Thu night - SE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Fri night - E winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Sat - SE winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night - SE winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 130 Pm Edt Tue Apr 30 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
high pressure remain anchored off the coast today. A weak cold front crosses the waters tonight into Wednesday.
high pressure remain anchored off the coast today. A weak cold front crosses the waters tonight into Wednesday.
Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 301901 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 301 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will shift farther off the southeast coast and out to sea this evening, as a weak cold front approaches from the northwest. The front will cross the area late tonight through Wednesday with scattered showers and storms possible Wednesday into Wednesday evening. Dry conditions are expected Thursday and Friday, with rain chances returning this weekend, as another cold front approaches from the northwest.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 1010 AM EDT Tuesday...
Late this morning, a strong upper level ridge was centered just offshore, while sfc high pressure was centered off the SE coast.
The sky was partly to mostly sunny across the region with temps in the lower to mid 70s.
High pressure that is centered off the SE coast will shift farther out to sea this aftn, as a cold front begins to approach from the NW. Very warm again this aftn, under a partly to mostly sunny sky. Highs will be mainly in the mid 80s, just a degree or two cooler than yesterday's highs. Dry weather is expected through the daylight hours. Overnight, there is a low chance (~20% or less) for an isolated shower or storm, with the best chances across WNW portions of the area (closer to the boundary).
Partly to mostly cloudy and mild tonight with lows in the lower to mid 60s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...
The cold front will be fairly weak/decaying by the time it moves through the local area during the day on Wednesday. Latest CAMs focus the majority of the shower/thunderstorm chances across southeastern portions of the forecast area Wednesday afternoon, with the forecast trending drier for locations further northwest. Total QPF will generally be ~0.25" across southeastern portions of the area (locally higher in thunderstorms). Inland, temperatures will be slightly cooler compared to the past couple of days with highs generally forecast in the lower 80s. Closer to the coast and along the MD/VA Eastern Shore, an onshore breeze develops Wednesday afternoon leading to highs in the 70s and possibly upper 60s across the far NE (Ocean City MD). Any shower/storm activity comes to an end shortly after sunset Wednesday evening, with dry conditions returning for Wednesday night. Low temperatures will generally be in the 50s. Will have to watch for the potential for some patchy fog formation late Wednesday night/Thursday morning, with the NAM being the most aggressive.
Dry and warmer on Thursday as the upper ridge builds back over the Eastern US and high pressure builds at the surface. Highs will range from the mid 80s inland to the 70s to lower 80s closer to the coast (due to an onshore wind). Low temperatures will generally be in the upper 50s (mid 50s Eastern Shore).
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...
High pressure ridge aloft will maintain dry weather through Friday.
At the surface, high pressure will be centered over New England or just offshore, resulting in continued onshore flow everywhere.
This will keep temps cooler along the coast and warmer inland. Highs on Friday in the lower to mid 80s inland/Piedmont, and in the lower 70s to upper 60s near the Bay/coast (coolest along the Atlantic beaches of the Eastern Shore).
A cold front will gradually approach from the NW Saturday, gradually crossing/decaying across the area Sunday into Monday. Rain chances increase during the day Saturday, with the highest chances likely Saturday evening into Saturday night. Clouds, rain, and an onshore wind will keep temperatures cooler on Saturday with highs in the 60s across the northern and northeastern portions of the area to to the mid to upper 70s across the south. Unsettled conditions will continue Sunday into Monday as the front slowly decays across the local area.
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Tuesday...
VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites from this aftn into Wed aftn. SW winds will be 12-17 kt with gusts to 20-26 kt this aftn into early this evening, then SSW 5-10 kt from this evening into Wed morning. Expect increasing clouds (mainly CI and AC)
from later this aftn into early Wed morning. Isolated to sctd showers or tstms will be possible tonight Wed evening, with the best chances at the ORF/ECG Wed aftn into Wed evening.
Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected for Thu and Fri. There is chance for showers/thunderstorms and potentially sub-VFR conditions from late Fri night through Sun with the next front.
MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Message:
- Sub-SCA conditions expected through the end of the week and into the weekend.
A cold front continues to approach from the NW this afternoon with sfc high pressure anchored off the SE CONUS coast. It is a bit breezy with SW winds of 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt (a few higher gusts have been observed right at the land/water interface with peak daytime mixing over land). Seas are generally 3-4.5 ft. The front is expected to cross the local waters tonight-Wed. Breezy conditions continue through the evening with S-SW winds of 10-15 kt. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt and turn to the W then NE through the day Wed as the front crosses the waters. Winds turn back to the south on Thu (and remain 5-10 kt) before becoming E-NE at 10-15 kt Fri-Sat AM as another weak front crosses the waters.
Seas remain 3-4 ft through tonight, with a few 5 ft seas possible out near 20nm off the eastern shore, but will not issue SCAs. Seas drop back to 2-3ft by Wed evening and may build back to 3-4 ft by Fri night. Waves stay at 1-2 ft through most of the week.
CLIMATE
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...
No record highs were set yesterday, 4/29. SBY has a chance today, while records at the other sites are very unlikely.
Record highs for Tuesday April 30th:
* RIC: 93/1974 * ORF: 93/1988 * SBY: 86/2017 * ECG: 90/1974
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 301 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will shift farther off the southeast coast and out to sea this evening, as a weak cold front approaches from the northwest. The front will cross the area late tonight through Wednesday with scattered showers and storms possible Wednesday into Wednesday evening. Dry conditions are expected Thursday and Friday, with rain chances returning this weekend, as another cold front approaches from the northwest.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 1010 AM EDT Tuesday...
Late this morning, a strong upper level ridge was centered just offshore, while sfc high pressure was centered off the SE coast.
The sky was partly to mostly sunny across the region with temps in the lower to mid 70s.
High pressure that is centered off the SE coast will shift farther out to sea this aftn, as a cold front begins to approach from the NW. Very warm again this aftn, under a partly to mostly sunny sky. Highs will be mainly in the mid 80s, just a degree or two cooler than yesterday's highs. Dry weather is expected through the daylight hours. Overnight, there is a low chance (~20% or less) for an isolated shower or storm, with the best chances across WNW portions of the area (closer to the boundary).
Partly to mostly cloudy and mild tonight with lows in the lower to mid 60s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...
The cold front will be fairly weak/decaying by the time it moves through the local area during the day on Wednesday. Latest CAMs focus the majority of the shower/thunderstorm chances across southeastern portions of the forecast area Wednesday afternoon, with the forecast trending drier for locations further northwest. Total QPF will generally be ~0.25" across southeastern portions of the area (locally higher in thunderstorms). Inland, temperatures will be slightly cooler compared to the past couple of days with highs generally forecast in the lower 80s. Closer to the coast and along the MD/VA Eastern Shore, an onshore breeze develops Wednesday afternoon leading to highs in the 70s and possibly upper 60s across the far NE (Ocean City MD). Any shower/storm activity comes to an end shortly after sunset Wednesday evening, with dry conditions returning for Wednesday night. Low temperatures will generally be in the 50s. Will have to watch for the potential for some patchy fog formation late Wednesday night/Thursday morning, with the NAM being the most aggressive.
Dry and warmer on Thursday as the upper ridge builds back over the Eastern US and high pressure builds at the surface. Highs will range from the mid 80s inland to the 70s to lower 80s closer to the coast (due to an onshore wind). Low temperatures will generally be in the upper 50s (mid 50s Eastern Shore).
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...
High pressure ridge aloft will maintain dry weather through Friday.
At the surface, high pressure will be centered over New England or just offshore, resulting in continued onshore flow everywhere.
This will keep temps cooler along the coast and warmer inland. Highs on Friday in the lower to mid 80s inland/Piedmont, and in the lower 70s to upper 60s near the Bay/coast (coolest along the Atlantic beaches of the Eastern Shore).
A cold front will gradually approach from the NW Saturday, gradually crossing/decaying across the area Sunday into Monday. Rain chances increase during the day Saturday, with the highest chances likely Saturday evening into Saturday night. Clouds, rain, and an onshore wind will keep temperatures cooler on Saturday with highs in the 60s across the northern and northeastern portions of the area to to the mid to upper 70s across the south. Unsettled conditions will continue Sunday into Monday as the front slowly decays across the local area.
AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 220 PM EDT Tuesday...
VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites from this aftn into Wed aftn. SW winds will be 12-17 kt with gusts to 20-26 kt this aftn into early this evening, then SSW 5-10 kt from this evening into Wed morning. Expect increasing clouds (mainly CI and AC)
from later this aftn into early Wed morning. Isolated to sctd showers or tstms will be possible tonight Wed evening, with the best chances at the ORF/ECG Wed aftn into Wed evening.
Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected for Thu and Fri. There is chance for showers/thunderstorms and potentially sub-VFR conditions from late Fri night through Sun with the next front.
MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Message:
- Sub-SCA conditions expected through the end of the week and into the weekend.
A cold front continues to approach from the NW this afternoon with sfc high pressure anchored off the SE CONUS coast. It is a bit breezy with SW winds of 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt (a few higher gusts have been observed right at the land/water interface with peak daytime mixing over land). Seas are generally 3-4.5 ft. The front is expected to cross the local waters tonight-Wed. Breezy conditions continue through the evening with S-SW winds of 10-15 kt. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt and turn to the W then NE through the day Wed as the front crosses the waters. Winds turn back to the south on Thu (and remain 5-10 kt) before becoming E-NE at 10-15 kt Fri-Sat AM as another weak front crosses the waters.
Seas remain 3-4 ft through tonight, with a few 5 ft seas possible out near 20nm off the eastern shore, but will not issue SCAs. Seas drop back to 2-3ft by Wed evening and may build back to 3-4 ft by Fri night. Waves stay at 1-2 ft through most of the week.
CLIMATE
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...
No record highs were set yesterday, 4/29. SBY has a chance today, while records at the other sites are very unlikely.
Record highs for Tuesday April 30th:
* RIC: 93/1974 * ORF: 93/1988 * SBY: 86/2017 * ECG: 90/1974
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 44058 - Stingray Point, VA | 11 mi | 59 min | WSW 12G | 73°F | 62°F | 1 ft | ||
| LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 20 mi | 71 min | WSW 14G | 80°F | 69°F | 29.88 | ||
| RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA | 20 mi | 71 min | SSE 14G | 29.96 | ||||
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 21 mi | 59 min | W 9.7G | 71°F | 65°F | 1 ft | ||
| PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 31 mi | 71 min | W 12G | |||||
| YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA | 31 mi | 101 min | SSW 2.9 | 82°F | 29.92 | 59°F | ||
| WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 34 mi | 71 min | WSW 9.9G | 79°F | 69°F | 29.91 | ||
| YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA | 36 mi | 71 min | SSW 12G | 80°F | 62°F | 29.91 | ||
| 44072 | 37 mi | 59 min | WSW 12G | 72°F | 1 ft | |||
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 37 mi | 71 min | SW 12G | 75°F | 72°F | 29.89 | ||
| KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA | 42 mi | 71 min | SSW 7G | 71°F | 64°F | 29.96 | ||
| SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 42 mi | 71 min | WSW 18G | 78°F | 60°F | 29.86 | ||
| 44041 - Jamestown, VA | 44 mi | 59 min | WSW 14G | 77°F | 67°F | |||
| COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 47 mi | 71 min | S 12G | 80°F | 29.88 | |||
| 44087 | 49 mi | 75 min | 64°F | 1 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Tide / Current for Dividing Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Dividing Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:51 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 04:48 AM EDT 1.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:10 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:16 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 11:26 AM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM EDT 0.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:25 PM EDT 0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:51 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 04:48 AM EDT 1.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:10 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:16 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 11:26 AM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM EDT 0.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:25 PM EDT 0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Dividing Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.2 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.5 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
Fleet Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:51 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:10 AM EDT 1.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:09 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:16 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 11:59 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:45 PM EDT 0.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:58 PM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:51 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:10 AM EDT 1.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:09 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:16 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 11:59 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:45 PM EDT 0.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:58 PM EDT 0.16 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Fleet Point, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.9 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.1 |
| 6 am |
| 1.1 |
| 7 am |
| 1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.8 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
Wakefield, VA,
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