Monday, December17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tangier, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 4:45PM Monday December 17, 2018 12:28 PM EST (17:28 UTC) Moonrise 1:38PMMoonset 1:30AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 953 Am Est Mon Dec 17 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
Rest of today..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft, building to 4 ft in the late evening and overnight.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 kt, becoming S in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Thu night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain.
Fri..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ600 953 Am Est Mon Dec 17 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure over the midwest will build east towards the local area today, and will settle over the region tonight through Wednesday. The next area of low pressure approaches from the southwest Thursday, and brings another round of rain Thursday afternoon into early Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tangier, VA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 37.84, -76.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kakq 171504
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1004 am est Mon dec 17 2018

Synopsis
High pressure over the midwest will build east towards the local
area this afternoon and will settle over the region tonight
through Wednesday. The next area of low pressure approaches from
the southwest Thursday and brings another round of rain
Thursday afternoon into early Friday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1000 am est Monday...

fg from earlier this morning has dissipated... W patchy clouds
lingering E and n. Drying wnw flow taking over leading to a
rather mild but breezy at times rest of the day across the fa. A
weakening S W aloft and approaching sfc cold front will bring
continued patchy clouds... ESP N and ne. CAA will be offset by
downsloping (wnw winds gusty to 20-25 mph). Highs ranging from
the mm-u50s across the N and NW to the l60s se.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
As of 1000 am est Monday...

secondary cold front drops through the region this evening and
may lead to a few clouds (and a short period of gusty nw
winds... ESP toward the coast)... Otherwise generally skc
overall. Turning colder late tonight W lows in the u20s-around
30f W to the m-u30s right along the coast in SE va-ne nc.

Sfc high pres settles over the region Tue tue night W clear
and dry conditions prevailing. Cooler but seasonable Tue with
highs mainly from 45-50 f (coolest NE and warmest sw). Clear
with lows from the m-u20s inland to upper 20s lower 30s SE va-
ne nc coastal areas Tue night. High pres shifts offshore by wed
and dry seasonable wx will continue. Highs Wed in the u40s n
and NW to the lower 50s south. Some increase in clouds possible
late in the day. High pressure drifts farther off the coast wed
night while strong amplification of trough aloft begins through
the plains states. Expect temperatures to drop off rapidly wed
evening into the upper 30s to lower 40s, then become steady
overnight as clouds increase and thicken. Still appears mainly
dry until daybreak Thu (~20% pop possible NE nc well after
midnight).

Long term Thursday through Sunday
As of 145 pm est Sunday...

the trough will be shifting E through fri. Lo pres moving
through the lower ms valley thu... Tracks NE through the ERN oh
valley fri... Pushing a cold front to the E coast by late fri.

Timing is fairly consistent over the past few runs of the models
(maybe a touch faster now). Consensus shows deep layered ssw
flow resulting in quick significant increase in moisture NE from
the SE states beginning Thu morning (pops to 60-90% here by thu
evening)... Then spreading toward the NE CONUS fri. Another
period of moderate heavy ra possible... ESP thu
evening night... Then the trailing upper level trough crosses the
region late Fri fri night may bring additional sct pcpn. Drying
out and cool for the weekend as the lo pres departs into the
far NRN atlantic.

Highs Thu in the l-m50s N and W to the l60s in SE va-ne nc.

Mild Thu night W lows Thu night in the upper 40s W to the m 50s
in E and se. Highs Fri in the u50s to mid 60s (possibly even
warmer if rain diminishes in coverage). Lows Fri night from the
u30s W to the l40s e. Highs highs Sat and Sun in the u40s N and
w to the m50s se.

Aviation 15z Monday through Friday
As of 700 am est Monday...

area of low stratus and fog affecting mainly central va (kric)
through ~14z and may advect east to reach kphf between 13-15z
(though not expecting dense fog or CIGS to be as low there).

Otherwise, drier air and increased mixing should scour out any
lingering low level moisture by 15z. Sunny or becoming sunny
today with a W wind increasing to 10-15kt in the aftn and
occasionally gusting to ~20kt.

High pressure prevails Tuesday and Wednesday. Low pressure
approaches from the SW Thursday and will likely bring another
round of flight restrictions beginning later Thursday and
continuing into Friday.

Marine
As of 345 am est Monday...

latest sfc analysis shows ~998 mb low pressure centered just
se of nantucket island. Wnw winds have decreased to 10-15 kt
over much of the bay, with 15-20 kt winds over the ocean. Waves
were 1-2 ft and seas were 4-5 ft over ocean zones S of
parramore island. However, buoy 44009 was still reporting 7.5 ft
seas as of 3 am.

Winds briefly turn more to the west and remain in the 10-15 kt range
during the day today before turning back to the NW and
increasing to 20-25 kt (sustained) over the bay ocean from late
this evening through Tue am. This happens as a surge of caa
arrives from the nw, due to an upper trough moving from se
canada to new england. The CAA tonight-tue am will be stronger
than the CAA observed this past aftn evening. Therefore, even
with water temperatures in the mid-upper 40s, expect efficient
boundary layer mixing during from tonight-tue am. Near-term
guidance model soundings still indicate the potential for gusts
to around or just above 30 kt Mon night into Tue morning over
the NRN ocean zones. In addition, will likely see a few gusts to
~30 kt at elevated sites over the chesapeake bay SRN ocean
zones. Went ahead and issued scas from 00z-15z Tue for the
rappahannock york lower james rivers in addition to the
currituck sound, due to 15-20 kt NW winds with gusts to 25 kt
(highest in lower james currituck sound). Seas will remain in
the 4-6 ft range (highest 20 nm offshore) through Tue am for the
most part. Winds finally diminish over the waters tue
aftn night, as an area of high pressure moves into and over the
area fm the wnw. Currently have scas expiring for the
rivers sound from 12-15z Tue before expiring for the bay ocean
from 18-21z tue. Quiet marine conditions expected through early
thu am before another area of low pressure approaches the region
late thu-fri. This will likely bring another round of sca
conditions to the region.

Hydrology
As of 330 am est Monday...

flood warnings continue for bremo bluff, lawrenceville,
richmond-westham and the locks. Other sites will continue to be
monitored. Please refer to the latest fls product for site-
specific details.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 7 am est
Tuesday for anz635-636.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Tuesday for anz630>632-634-
650-652-654.

Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 10 am est
Tuesday for anz633-638.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Tuesday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajz lkb
marine... Eri tmg
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44042 - Potomac, MD 15 mi59 min W 7.8 G 7.8 45°F 1010.9 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 17 mi47 min W 13 G 15 49°F 43°F1011.4 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 19 mi39 min NNW 7.8 G 9.7 45°F 1013.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 24 mi47 min WSW 6 G 7 1012.8 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 26 mi47 min NNW 8.9 G 9.9
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 28 mi47 min WSW 6 G 7 45°F 45°F1011.5 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 33 mi47 min W 8 G 13 52°F 46°F1011.1 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 35 mi41 min W 9.9 G 12 51°F 44°F1010.8 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 39 mi59 min WSW 4.1 52°F 1014 hPa38°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 40 mi47 min WNW 7 G 11 51°F 1011.6 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 41 mi41 min W 8.9 G 11 48°F 1012.7 hPa
44072 44 mi39 min Calm G 0 47°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 45 mi47 min W 9.9 G 13 49°F 45°F1011.8 hPa
44089 47 mi29 min 47°F3 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 48 mi47 min WNW 8 G 8.9 46°F

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
Last
24hr
NW12
G15
NW12
NW13
G16
NW12
G18
NW11
G14
NW11
G16
NW10
NW11
G15
NW10
NW10
NW9
G12
NW8
NW7
NW7
NW7
NW6
W7
W12
W10
W12
W10
W8
W11
W10
1 day
ago
E7
NE3
SE3
SE8
NE2
G7
E8
E6
SE4
SE9
E10
E11
--
E1
W2
W3
W5
W5
SW8
SW7
SW13
SW8
SW12
G15
SW12
G16
W11
2 days
ago
SE4
SE4
SE4
--
N4
N4
NE1
E1
E4
E7
E9
E7
E8
E7
E8
SE7
NE11
G14
NE6
G11
E3
NE6
G9
NE6
E5
E5
NE3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi36 minW 810.00 miFair51°F39°F64%1011 hPa

Wind History from NUI (wind in knots)
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
Last 24hrNW4NW8NW105NW10
G15
NW8
G15
NW8
G15
NW7
G20
4W7NW6NW3W5W6W5W6W6W5W6W6SW6SW5SW7W8
1 day agoNE11NE7NE8E13
G20
NE12NE11
G22
NE11
G18
NE9----------CalmCalmS3W3SW3CalmCalmSW4S4SW7W6
2 days agoE4NE4NE3CalmCalm3NE8NE5NE6NE8NE8NE6NE8NE7NE7NE8NE10N8
G14
NE7NE9NE7NE9
G14
NE10NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Great Wicomico River Light, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Great Wicomico River Light
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:53 AM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:30 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:07 AM EST     1.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:34 PM EST     0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:47 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:20 PM EST     0.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.10.10.20.30.60.80.9110.90.70.50.30.20.20.30.50.70.910.90.80.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Glebe Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:20 AM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:30 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:24 AM EST     1.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:00 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:37 PM EST     1.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.20.10.10.30.50.811.11.110.80.60.40.30.20.30.50.70.91.11.110.80.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (12,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.