Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bloxom, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 8:15PM Friday May 24, 2019 12:49 PM EDT (16:49 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:45AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 947 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
Rest of today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ600 947 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak cold front drops across the area this morning. High pressure builds in from the northwest today, passes over the region Saturday, and then shifts off the southeast coast Sunday and memorial day.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bloxom, VA
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location: 37.85, -75.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 241107
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
707 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds in from the northwest today and then
passes over the region tonight, before sliding offshore
Saturday. This area of high pressure settles off the southeast
coast Sunday. A weak cold front drops through the region Sunday
night into memorial day.

Near term through tonight
As of 355 am edt Friday...

current WV imagery depicts a trough pushing through new
england. Surface low pressure is co-located with the trough,
with a weak cold front trailing to the SW into the NRN mid-
atlantic. The front remains N of the local area this morning,
with very mild temperatures ranging through the 70s early this
morning. The front will drop into the area today, and then push
s by tonight as high pressure builds in from the n. The airmass
behind the front will still be rather warm (and well mixed) with
high temperatures ranging from the low mid 80s over the ern
shore, to the upper 80s low 90s for much of the area with
downsloping deep layer NW flow. Drier behind the front today,
especially N where aftn dewpoints drop into the low mid 50s. The
24 00z NAM continues to bring some upper energy through the
area within the NW flow. However, a dry forecast has been
maintained given limited moisture. This impulse may manifest
itself in thicker CU for a period of time this aftn over
s-central va and interior NE nc. Mostly clear tonight with some
passing high clouds. Forecast low temperatures range from the
upper 50s to mid 60s.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
As of 355 am edt Friday...

24 00z numerical guidance continues to depict somewhat of a
reprieve from anomalously warm temperature Saturday as high
pressure passes across the region and off the mid-atlantic
coast, resulting in e-se low-level flow along the coast, and
se-s flow farther inland. Forecast highs Saturday range from the
low mid 70s E (upper 60s immediate md atlantic coast) to the
low mid 80s farther inland. By Saturday evening, there is a
slight chc of showers tstms drifting off the higher terrain into
the piedmont.

Sunday will likely be the hottest day of the spring thus far.

Surface high pressure slides well off the southeast coast as low
pressure moves into the ERN great lakes. This will result in
wsw low- level flow, which will help boost high temperatures
into the low mid 90s inland, with upper 80s low 90s over the ern
shore, and even mid 80s at the immediate atlantic coast.

Dewpoints Sunday aftn are expected to be in the mid 60s, so heat
indices are not a concern at this time. Lows Sunday morning
range from the mid 60s to around 70f.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
As of 230 pm edt Thursday...

summerlike temperatures remaining above normal through the extended
forecast period. An upper level anticyclone remains centered along
the gulf coast early next week before expanding eastward into the
western atlantic by midweek. Our region will be under the influence
of w-nw flow aloft thru Tuesday, then SW flow aloft wed-thu. A weak
frontal boundary crosses the area Sun night and Monday, but with
only isolated showers tstms possible Sun night. The boundary
lifts back NE quickly early tues with little if any forcing for
convection leftover by afternoon under the influence of ssw flow
at the sfc and rising h5 heights. Other than a late-day tstm
possibility near the piedmont trough, Wednesday looks dry also.

Wednesday also looks to be the hottest day next week as h85
temps rise to 20-22c with deep- layered SW flow ahead of the
next potential cold front by next Thursday. Lows through the
period in the 60s to low 70s, except some mid 70s possible wed
night. Highs Mon in the 80s over the lower ERN shore to the low
90s inland. Highs Tue from the mid-upr 80s over the ERN shore to
the low 90s inland. Forecast highs on Wed are in the upper 80s
to low 90s lower ERN shore to the low-mid 90s inland.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
As of 705 am edt Friday...

a weakening cold front is approaching from the N as of 11z.

Residual mid and high clouds are dissipated early this morning.

The wind is SW 8-12kt ahead of the front, and will shift to nw
behind the front, with some gusts up to 20kt (primarily at
ric sby phf) later this morning into the aftn. High pressure
builds in from the N tonight, with the wind becoming light and
shifting to ne, and then E later tonight.

Weak high pressure prevails through the memorial day weekend
into Tuesday. There is a low probability of showers tstms
Sunday evening N of a line from ric to sby.

Marine
As of 415 am edt Friday...

no headlines in the short term today thru Sat night. Early this
morning, a cold front was laying just north of the area. Winds
were wsw mainly 5-15 kt over the waters, with waves 1-2 ft and
seas 2-4 ft. The cold front will drop acrs the waters this
morning, with winds turning to the NW or N mainly 10-15 kt
behind the front. High pressure will build down into and over
the area today into sat, then shift off the mid atlc and se
coast for Sat night thru sun. Winds will turn to the NE tonight,
then ese 5-15 kt sat, S 10-15 kt Sat night, and SW 5-15 kt sun.

Another cold front will drop acrs the area Sun night into mon
morning. Conditions should remain below SCA criteria into mon.

Climate
* avg date of 1st 90f (1981-2010 climatology):
* site avg 2019 value
* richmond: may 13th (sun 5 19)
* norfolk: may 16th (sun 5 19)
* salisbury: may 27th (none so far)
* eliz city: may 18th (sat 5 18)
* number of days of 90f+ in may:
* site avg most
* richmond: 2 days 11 days (1962)
* norfolk: 2 days 13 days (1880)
* salisbury: 1 day 7 days (1991)
* eliz city: 2 days 9 days (1944 & 1941)

Equipment
As of 415 am edt Friday...

kakq 88d radar is down due to a transmitter error. Technicians
have been notified and will troubleshoot the problem today.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz mam
near term... Ajz
short term... Ajz mam
long term... Eri
aviation... Ajz
marine... Tmg
climate... Akq
equipment... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 17 mi32 min NNW 8 G 19 80°F 75°F1015.5 hPa
44089 20 mi50 min 65°F3 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 27 mi32 min NNE 11 G 13 1017.2 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 31 mi38 min NW 17 G 21 76°F 75°F1017 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 35 mi50 min N 5.8 G 7.8 74°F 73°F1 ft1015 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 36 mi44 min WNW 14 G 16 74°F 70°F1015.6 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 42 mi38 min NNW 11 G 15 78°F 69°F1016.7 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 46 mi38 min NNW 16 G 21 75°F 62°F1015.4 hPa
OCSM2 47 mi170 min 2 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 48 mi38 min NW 14 G 15

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA14 mi56 minNW 16 G 2410.00 miFair82°F55°F41%1015.1 hPa
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA14 mi55 minNNW 12 G 207.00 miFair80°F56°F44%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE5E8SE7SE7SE6S5S5S5S3SW3CalmS5S6S8S7S7S6S6S7S10S13S16
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2 days agoN11
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NW6NW64S3NW5NW6CalmNW4NW6NW5NW6N7N7N6N6N6N7NE11NE12NE10NE10

Tide / Current Tables for Guard Shore, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Guard Shore
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:44 AM EDT     2.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:50 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:14 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:51 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.81.41.92.32.32.21.91.510.60.40.30.50.91.41.8221.81.410.70.5

Tide / Current Tables for Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Chesconessex Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:24 AM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:07 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:54 PM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:08 PM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.11.51.92.12.11.91.51.20.80.50.40.50.81.11.51.71.81.71.51.20.90.70.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.