Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 6:07AM||Sunset 8:34PM||Monday May 20, 2019 3:33 PM CDT (20:33 UTC)||Moonrise 9:33PM||Moonset 6:39AM||Illumination 97%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toronto, KSHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus63 kict 201730|
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
1230 pm cdt Mon may 20 2019
Short term (today through Wednesday night)
issued at 402 am cdt Mon may 20 2019
forecast headline (major!): flood flash flood remains high from
this afternoon thru Tue afternoon.
intense upper-deck cyclone that is crossing desert southwest is
still expected to move slowly E SE across the central southern
rockies tonight then would transition into a strong sharply
negatively tilted trof as it digs across the ok & tx panhandles on
tue. With time the character would induce a nearly stationary E w
oriented surface front draped across north tx to transition into
a warm front that'll lift straight n. The northward progress of
the front continues to be a major factor, primarily from a severe
thunderstorm standpoint. The front should lift as far as central
ks by Tue morning and to the ks nebraska border Tue afternoon. The
front should then pivot as an intense surface cyclone moves e
across northwest ks on tue. There's disagreement among the
short term models on the evolving lower-deck pattern Tue evening
but they come into better agreement Tue night in lifting the low
ne across nebraska Tue night. This would shunt the rich moisture
axis E late Tue night. Until then a deep, very moist airmass would
remain entrenched across the region & with deep-scale ascent
increasing, there will definitely be heavy rains for all areas.
The flash flood watch remains intact in all respects.
dry weather is still slated Tue & Tue evening, but thunderstorms
should return to primarily southeast ks Wed afternoon.
Long term (Thursday through Sunday)
issued at 402 am cdt Mon may 20 2019
unfortunately we do not look to get into any kind of drying out
period through these days, as the GFS and ECMWF remain consistent
in the mean upper trough remaining anchored over the western
conus, with southwest flow aloft remaining over the plains.
Should see an uptick in activity Thu afternoon into Thu night as
one of the vort lobes lifts across eastern co and eventually into
the northern plains. With pws staying in the 1.5-1.75 range
through these extended periods, it's also not out of the question
to see showers and storms freely develop with afternoon heating,
with any shower or storm being efficient rain producers.
Dewpoints staying in the upper 60s to around 70 will also make for
mugging conditions into the weekend.
Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Tuesday afternoon)|
issued at 1225 pm cdt Mon may 20 2019
low clouds will expand across central kansas this afternoon along
with numerous showers storms. Meanwhile MVFR CIGS will begin to
develop over south central ks and expand into southeast kansas by
tonight. Ifr lifr CIGS will affect much of central south central
ks for late this afternoon into tonight north of warm front with
widespread showers storms.
Issued at 402 am cdt Mon may 20 2019
widespread flooding is still anticipated this afternoon and
especially from tonight into Tue morning.
First wave of elevated convection is expected Mon afternoon, with
another surge of strong theta-e advection along and north of the
warm front bringing another and more significant round of storms
mon night. Pw values by Mon night will be in the 1.75-2.00 inch
range which should result in hourly rainfall rates over an inch
per hour and possibly as high as 2-3 inches per hour. Flash
flooding looks like a good possibility Mon night into Tue morning,
especially across south central ks into the flint hills. With
many rivers already running above normal, and reservoirs
continuing to release water, a strong river response is also
likely which could be an issue through the entire work week.
Current thinking is widespread 3 to 4 inches, with pockets of 6+
inches for those areas that see storms both Mon afternoon and mon
Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 62 60 75 54 100 100 70 0
hutchinson 60 57 74 51 100 100 60 10
newton 60 58 73 52 100 100 70 0
eldorado 61 60 74 55 100 100 90 10
winfield-kwld 65 62 76 57 100 100 80 0
russell 54 51 70 46 100 100 60 10
great bend 56 53 70 47 100 100 50 10
salina 58 54 73 50 100 100 80 10
mcpherson 58 56 73 50 100 100 70 10
coffeyville 69 66 75 60 90 100 100 10
chanute 66 62 75 59 90 90 100 10
iola 65 61 74 58 90 90 100 10
parsons-kppf 68 64 75 59 90 100 100 10
Ict watches warnings advisories
Flash flood watch through Tuesday afternoon for ksz032-033-
Short term... Eps
long term... Eps
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Chanute, Chanute Martin Johnson Airport, KS||31 mi||42 min||ENE 21 G 34||1.25 mi||Thunderstorm Heavy Rain Fog/Mist and Breezy||55°F||51°F||87%||1009.8 hPa|
Wind History from CNU (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||E||SW||S||S||SE||SE||SE||SW||S||NW|
|2 days ago||S|
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GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (16,3,4,5)(on/off)  Help
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