Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 8:40PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 11:11 PM CDT (04:11 UTC) Moonrise 3:54AMMoonset 5:12PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 240336
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
1036 pm cdt Tue may 23 2017

Update
Issued at 859 pm cdt Tue may 23 2017
diurnally driven showers have all but ended as the Sun sets, with
the upper low currently spinning over iowa. Think the diurnally
driven CU will also slowly dissipate as the evening progresses for
western sections. So will go with a slow clearing for the western
half of the forecast area. Think some clouds will linger over SE ks
for most of the overnight hours, as the upper hours drops south
through mo.

Ketcham

Short term (this evening through Friday night)
issued at 312 pm cdt Tue may 23 2017
tonight through Wednesday:
scattered light showers with isolated thunder will continue across
central eastern kansas, before diminishing this evening. Surface
high pressure will build into the region overnight into Wednesday,
with much cooler than normal air with lows tonight in the 40s.

With scattered afternoon cumulus Wednesday, a slight downslope
component and decent insolation should allow highs in the mid 60s
to lower 70s.

Thursday-Friday:
a southern branch upper jet feed is progged from the desert
southwest to over kansas oklahoma during this time frame, at the
base of a deep upper trough extending from an upper low over
saskatchewan manitoba through the rockies. Southerly return flow
will allow increasingly rich gulf moisture into the central southern
plains, beneath a plume of very steep mid-level lapse rates. There
is decent model agreement that a low amplitude shortwave, embedded
within the southern branch jet, will reach the central high plains
late Thursday afternoon where a cold front dryline intersection is
indicated. Isolated to scattered severe storms should initiate over
eastern colorado and northwest kansas in the late afternoon. This
activity could merge into an MCS cluster or two, propagating
eastward across roughly the northern half of kansas Thursday night,
aided by a southerly low-level jet and isentropic ascent. This
activity could pose a risk for large hail damaging winds in central
kansas during the evening hours.

The cold front is progged to stall from central missouri to
northwest oklahoma on Friday. Although there is a small chance for
surface-based storms near the front in far southeast kansas Friday
afternoon evening, there is a higher probability of storms
initiation in upslope flow over the central high plains Friday
afternoon evening, propagating eastward again Friday night. Severe
hail winds would be possible with any storms in our forecast area
Friday night given moderately strong deep-layer shear and strong
elevated instability.

Long term (Saturday through Tuesday)
issued at 312 pm cdt Tue may 23 2017
the ECMWF and GFS indicate the main upper trough will translate
eastward across the plains Saturday into Sunday. This will shunt the
cold front southward to near the texas gulf coast by Sunday into
early next week. Lingering chances of showers thunderstorms on
Saturday, should diminish greatly by Sunday into early next week.

Near seasonal temperatures are expected during this extended period.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night)
issued at 1033 pm cdt Tue may 23 2017
vfr conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Diurnal cumulus
associated along the southwest edge of the upper low in iowa is
expected to dissipate late tonight.

Upper low and the diurnally driven CU will shift east of the area
for wed. Only kcnu may see some broken mid clouds for wed
afternoon.

Ketcham

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 45 70 49 79 10 0 0 0
hutchinson 44 70 49 79 10 0 0 0
newton 44 68 48 77 10 0 0 0
eldorado 45 68 48 78 10 0 0 0
winfield-kwld 46 69 49 80 20 0 0 0
russell 41 70 49 79 10 0 0 0
great bend 42 71 50 80 10 0 0 0
salina 44 70 48 79 10 0 0 0
mcpherson 44 70 48 78 10 0 0 0
coffeyville 46 68 47 78 20 10 0 0
chanute 47 67 47 77 20 10 0 0
iola 46 66 47 77 20 10 0 0
parsons-kppf 47 67 47 78 20 10 0 0

Ict watches warnings advisories
None.

Update... Ketcham
short term... Jmc
long term... Jmc
aviation... Ketcham


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi17 minN 17 G 2110.00 miLight Rain54°F45°F72%1011.9 hPa

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5W6W8NW4N10N9N8N11N13N13N14N13NW17N13NW15N10NW10NW13
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1 day agoS6CalmS4S6S7S8SW9SW8S10SW9SW9SW11W8SW7SW9S7S9S10SW6SW6SW8SW6SW6W3
2 days agoNW11NW11W7W9W6NW6NW4N4--SW3W5NW10NW7W9
G14
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G16
W8W7W8SW6S8SW7S4SE3S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.