Friday, August18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 8:18PM Friday August 18, 2017 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC) Moonrise 2:18AMMoonset 4:57PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 181951
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
251 pm cdt Fri aug 18 2017

Short term (this evening through Monday night)
issued at 251 pm cdt Fri aug 18 2017
in the upper levels, water vapor imagery shows a pronounced
shortwave approaching the western great lakes. Currently have a
weak cold front extending from extreme northwest mo into
northwest ks, with a weak surface trough through central ks.

While a few storms will still be possible late this
afternoon evening, chances do not look as good as they did
yesterday at this time. This is mainly due to lack of good
convergence along the front. In addition, feel that
overnight morning showers and storms are limiting the return of
better instability. Based on current CU development, thinking the
better chances will be over far southeast ks into the early
evening hours.

Will return to more aug like temps for Sat as the upper flow
flattens out, allowing for warmer temps to spread north. Looks to
be a decent signal for elevated convection Sat night over central
and especially northeast ks as 850-700mb veers setting up good
theta-e advection. For Sun into mon, the GFS and ECMWF both agree
on tracking what looks like a moonsonal impulse across nm and into
western ks Sun night. This will keep storm chances around for at
least the western half of the state for Sun night into mon.

Another MCS is expected Mon night over the mid mississippi valley
as some shortwave energy tracks out of the northern central
rockies and out into the plains.

Long term (Tuesday through Friday)
issued at 251 pm cdt Fri aug 18 2017
there is good agreement between the GFS and ECMWF in a robust
upper trough tracking out of manitoba and into the great lakes
region by Tue night. This feature will push a cold front across
the plains lat Mon night through Tue evening. Showers and storms
look to be tied to this front as it progresses south. So our
better chances at more widespread convection looks to be for the
mon night through Tue evening time frame. After near normal temps
in the 90s to start the work week, shud see temps fall behind the
front for the remainder of the week.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon)
issued at 1223 pm cdt Fri aug 18 2017
meso high to the west and a meso low at the surface to the sw.

This places a very weak boundary across the southern sections of
the forecast area.VFR conditions will prevail at all sites. With
subsidence in the area, I expect virtually clear skies at all
sites except for kcnu. The boundary will flounder in SE ks this
afternoon and possibly be the focus for isolated storms. The
convergence is very weak and the likely hood for development is
small. I have placed a vcts for kcnu, but the confidence is pretty
low.

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 71 96 73 95 20 10 10 10
hutchinson 69 96 72 95 10 10 10 20
newton 69 95 71 93 20 10 10 10
eldorado 70 94 72 93 20 10 10 10
winfield-kwld 71 95 73 95 20 10 10 10
russell 65 98 70 97 10 0 30 10
great bend 67 97 71 96 10 0 20 20
salina 63 98 73 96 10 10 30 20
mcpherson 67 95 71 94 20 10 20 20
coffeyville 72 93 72 93 30 10 10 10
chanute 70 92 71 92 30 10 10 10
iola 68 92 70 91 30 10 10 10
parsons-kppf 71 93 72 92 30 10 10 10

Ict watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Rbl
long term... Rbl
aviation... Cwh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair89°F64°F43%1012.6 hPa

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Last 24hrS4W5CalmSE3S5S5S7S6S5S7SW9NW7SE5S3CalmS5CalmS6S7--4CalmN3Calm
1 day agoN5N6SE3N4CalmCalmS3CalmS3W5W9NW6NW8NW6NW6NW8NW6NW6NW7NW6N534Calm
2 days agoSE7SE9SE7SE9SE6SE5SE9S10S9S9S8--S9S10S9SW8NE10E9SE8SE11S9S7SE75

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.