Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 7:48PM Sunday March 26, 2017 11:55 AM CDT (16:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:38AMMoonset 5:23PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 261154
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
654 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017

Updated for aviation discussion...

Short term (today through Tuesday night)
issued at 317 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
will continue with areas of fog mention through mid morning this
morning, across central and south-central kansas. The fog may
become dense in the southwestern counties of our forecast area,
westward into western kansas, near and west of the back edge of
the low stratus deck.

Goes-16 water vapor imagery indicated a robust shortwave trough
over colorado/new mexico early this morning. This progressive
upper trough will move eastward across kansas/oklahoma this
afternoon and tonight, reaching missouri/arkansas by late Monday
morning. The short range model guidance suite continues to keep
the warm sector just south of the kansas/oklahoma border, as the
upper trough passes through the region. A developing 850 mb low-
level jet will transport gulf moisture (along texas coastal plain
early this am) northward today into tonight into the narrow warm
sector and north of the warm front. Combined with strong ascent
and mid-level cooling from the upper trough, we expect scattered
showers/thunderstorms to develop over central/south-central kansas
this afternoon, with coverage becoming numerous tonight. A steep
plume of mid-level lapse rates (7.5-8.5 c/km) just ahead of upper
trough, will allow for elevated CAPE of 500 to 1000 j/kg with
40-45 kts of effective bulk shear across southern kansas this
afternoon/evening. This will support a few strong to marginally
severe storms, with hail of nickel to half dollar size as the main
threat. Trimmed highs this afternoon about 3-7 degrees, given
extensive cloud cover and the warm front remaining to the south.

A few rain showers may linger in the far east Monday morning
until the system departs to the east. The next upper trough is
progged to dig into the southwest Monday into Tuesday. Near
seasonal temperatures are expected both Monday and Tuesday with
lack of return southerly flow. Showers and thunderstorms will
develop over the high plains Tuesday, spreading eastward across
the forecast area Tuesday night ahead of the approaching upper
trough.

Long term (Wednesday through Saturday)
issued at 317 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
the upper trough in the southwest is progged to form into a slow-
moving closed low as it tracks slowly east across the
central/southern plains Wednesday through Thursday night. Although
most medium range model guidance keep the warm sector just south
of kansas, strong 850 moisture transport and elevated instability
is progged into the forecast area, as this slow moving upper low
moves through. The strength of the upper trough and moisture
transport into the system suggest periods of widespread convective
rainfall Wednesday into Thursday, with locally heavy rainfall
likely.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Monday morning)
issued at 653 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
lifr and ifr ceiling will gradually improve to MVFR by mid-late
this morning, and possibly to lowVFR by midday. Numerous
showers/thunderstorms are expected to impact the region mid-late
afternoon through the evening, as a strong storm system approaches
from the west. Strong to severe storms are possible, especially
from southern kansas on south. MVFR and possibly ifr ceiling
should return this evening and overnight.

Fire weather
Issued at 317 am cdt Sun mar 26 2017
three separate weather systems have the potential to produce
widespread rainfall across the forecast area over the next 7 day
period. Consequently, grassland fire danger is not expected to be
elevated during this period, but instead remain mostly low to
moderate.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Wichita-kict 63 47 65 44 / 50 70 10 0
hutchinson 59 44 64 42 / 40 70 10 0
newton 59 45 61 42 / 40 70 10 0
eldorado 61 47 62 43 / 40 80 10 0
winfield-kwld 68 49 65 44 / 40 70 10 0
russell 58 40 64 41 / 50 60 0 0
great bend 58 41 65 42 / 60 70 10 0
salina 59 44 64 41 / 40 70 10 0
mcpherson 59 44 63 41 / 40 70 10 0
coffeyville 68 52 64 44 / 20 80 30 0
chanute 62 50 62 44 / 10 90 30 0
iola 62 50 62 44 / 10 90 40 0
parsons-kppf 66 51 63 44 / 20 80 30 0

Ict watches/warnings/advisories None.

Short term... Jmc
long term... Jmc
aviation... Adk
fire weather... Jmc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi62 minS 65.00 miFog/Mist44°F44°F100%1014.4 hPa

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN14NW15NW13NW14NW13NW12N11N10N6NW5N7NW5N3NE3CalmNE3CalmCalmSW4CalmCalmSE4E3S6
1 day agoS12
G20
S11SE13
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SE15
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S11N5N4W9NE8N13N15
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NW11NW14N17
G25
N19NW15
G27
N16
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NW14NW15
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NW16N21
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2 days agoS23
G29
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S24
G34
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G34
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G35
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G28
S20
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S16
G26
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G31
S20
G32
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G33
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G27
S17
G30
S16
G24
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G31
S20
G31
S21
G28
S18
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S16S16
G24
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G33
S19
G29

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.