Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:44AMSunset 6:43PM Sunday October 22, 2017 1:23 AM CDT (06:23 UTC) Moonrise 9:16AMMoonset 7:50PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 220444
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
1144 pm cdt Sat oct 21 2017

Short term (this evening through Tuesday night)
issued at 305 pm cdt Sat oct 21 2017
forecast highlights focus around severe storm chances this
afternoon- evening southeast of the ks turnpike, and much cooler
by late next week.

Strong cold front advancing southeast is currently situated just
nw of the turnpike corridor. Strong lift convergence associated
with the approaching deep upper system and associated cold front
will support scattered to numerous thunderstorms along and ahead
of the advancing cold front through the evening. Adequate, but not
overly impressive, instability and deep layer shear will support
a handful of strong to severe storms, capable of large hail and
damaging winds. The greatest large hail threat (up to half-dollar
size or so) will likely be early on when the greatest potential
for semi-discrete storms exists, with increasing coverage storm
mergers likely gradually decreasing the large hail threat toward
evening. Thus, main threats will gradually transition to isolated
marginally severe hail and damaging winds, as linear storm mode
increases along just ahead of advancing strong cold front. A
rather large post-squall line rain shield is expected given
favorable upper jet dynamics slowing down the upper trough, which
could enhance heavy rainfall and possible low-land flooding
threat. Furthermore, given halfway decent low-level shear values
and low cloud bases, cannot completely rule out an isolated brief
tornado or two, either with early semi-discrete cells or meso-
vortices embedded within evening squall line. Threat should remain
quite isolated and brief though.

Otherwise, may be looking at some patchy frost tonight across
central and north-central ks, as temperatures drop into the mid-
upper 30s. Mainly for low-lying and or sheltered areas.

Beautiful day expected Sunday, with light winds and highs mostly
in the low 70s. Another cold front passes through the region early
Monday, with strong gusty northwest winds in its wake. However,
cold advection doesn't commence until later, so still expecting
highs in the 70s Monday. Cold advection on stout NW winds will
support highs only in the low 60s for Tuesday.

Long term (Wednesday through Saturday)
issued at 305 pm cdt Sat oct 21 2017
another warm up into the 70s is expected wed-thu before another
strong cold front moves through mid-america late Thursday. Model
consensus supports the coldest air of the season thus far by Friday
and the weekend, with both the ECMWF and GFS supporting daytime
highs only in the 40s and lows in the 20s-30s. Furthermore, while
plenty of model uncertainty exists, could see the first
snowflakes of the season sometime Friday-Saturday. Accumulating
snow other than a dusting appears unlikely at this time, although
will continue to monitor model trends.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Sunday night)
issued at 1140 pm cdt Sat oct 21 2017
a line of showers and storms will move eastward across southeast
kansas overnight. The activity will shift east into missouri with
vfr conditions expected thereafter. North winds will gradually
back to the west on Sunday.

Fire weather
Issued at 305 pm cdt Sat oct 21 2017
elevated fire danger is possible across the region Monday,
Tuesday and Thursday, due to strong NW winds and dry low-levels
in wake of a pair of strong cold fronts. Current curing values
will likely mitigate critical red flag conditions, although very
high grassland fire danger is possible.

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 44 72 46 72 30 0 0 0
hutchinson 41 72 45 71 10 0 0 0
newton 44 71 45 70 30 0 0 0
eldorado 45 71 45 71 90 0 0 0
winfield-kwld 46 71 46 73 90 0 0 0
russell 37 72 46 70 10 0 0 0
great bend 38 72 45 72 10 0 0 0
salina 40 72 46 72 10 0 0 0
mcpherson 41 72 45 71 10 0 0 0
coffeyville 51 71 44 73 100 10 0 0
chanute 49 70 44 71 100 10 0 0
iola 48 70 44 71 100 10 0 0
parsons-kppf 50 69 44 72 100 10 0 0

Ict watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Adk
long term... Adk
aviation... Cdj
fire weather... Adk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi29 minN 910.00 miFair52°F46°F83%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS18
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SW9NW11NE6NE4N8N11N9N5N8N8N9
1 day agoS10S13S10S10S10S12S12S11
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2 days agoS7S8S8S5S6S6S6S8S11SW12
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.