Wednesday, December13, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:35AMSunset 5:13PM Wednesday December 13, 2017 4:59 AM CST (10:59 UTC) Moonrise 3:07AMMoonset 2:42PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus63 kict 130930
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
330 am cst Wed dec 13 2017

Short term (today through Friday night)
issued at 330 am cst Wed dec 13 2017
today:
the focus remains on elevated grassland fire danger in central ks
this afternoon. For details please refer to "fire weather" section
that appears at the end of this discussion.

The upper-deck longwave trough deeper than the marianas trench is
moving slowly east toward the atlantic coast. At 2 am, the trough
extended from the ontario quebec border to just off the mid-
atlantic coast. The wave has begun to take on a negative tilt. The
ultra-high amplitude upper-deck ridge that has been parked over
the western u.S. Is slowly retrograding toward the pacific coast.

The pattern continues to keep the great plains under a strong nw
regime that is sending another clipper sailing across the northern
plains. The strengthening surface cyclone moving from the dakotas
to the lower great lakes will send a ne-sw oriented trough across
ks this morning. The NW gradient in the wake of the trough is
fairly tight & will cause the NW winds to increase. Though close,
the winds should remain below advisory criteria. The downslope
component would produce warmer weather especially in southeast ks.

Tonight:
the next se-sprinting mid-level shortwave will spread extensive
clouds into ks late tonight but won't offset the cold advection to
prevent lows from reaching around 30. The lowest ~10,000ft of the
airmass remains predominantly dry. As such dry weather continues.

Thu & Thu night:
with the clipper approaching the mid-mississippi valley Thu would
be much cooler with highs in the lower to mid 40s. A 925-850 mb
moisture axis moves SE across ks Thu afternoon & Thu night. There
is sufficient lift associated with the approaching & strengthening
upper-deck trough to produce some light rain across central ks in
the afternoon and south-central & southeast ks Thu evening. The
effects of the clipper would be felt strongest Thu night with lows
in central ks near 20, but because of the fast-moving mid-level
short wave the rain would be short-lived & would vacate the area
before sub-freezing temperatures arrive.

Fri & Fri night:
the work-week ends on a dry note as the western u.S. Ridge, though
deamplifying, spreads rapidly east across the northern plains. The
onsetting & deepening westerly mid-upper flow would produce
slightly warmer temperatures areawide.

Long term (Saturday through Tuesday)
issued at 330 am cst Wed dec 13 2017
this weekend:
the first really legitimate chance for precipitation to occur this
month should arrive Sat night as the next mid-upper wave, which
would force the deamplifying upper-deck ridge east across the
northern plains, strengthens greatly as it digs from the northern
plains to the desert southwest. The rapidly-deepening wave will
send a cold front SE that may find sufficient moisture to produce
rain, especially across southeast ks Sat night. A transition to
light snow would occur across central ks late Sat night with light
rain light snow mixture pictured for most of south-central and
southeast ks. Because of the rapid progressive pattern, all
precipitation should depart southeast ks Sun morning.

Mon-tue night:
dry & slightly warmer weather returns to ks as predominantly
westerly flow spreads across the region.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night)
issued at 1138 pm cst Tue dec 12 2017
vfr conditions expected the next 24 hours. Main story will be
strong gusty northwest winds developing mid to late morning
Wednesday, as an upper level disturbance and associated cold front
move southeast across mid-america. Winds should begin subsiding
by late afternoon and early evening.

Fire weather
Issued at 330 am cst Wed dec 13 2017
the passing surface trough will induce winds to become
northwesterly & increase considerably later this morning. The warm
dry advection coupled with sustained speeds from 20 to 30 mph will
cause the grassland fire danger to briefly reach the "extreme"
category in parts of central ks early this afternoon, especially
in lincoln & russell counties. The short duration (around 1 pm) of
the extreme fire danger dictates not hoisting the red flags for
these areas.

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 61 31 46 27 0 0 10 20
hutchinson 61 29 46 25 0 0 10 20
newton 60 29 44 25 0 0 10 20
eldorado 60 29 44 26 0 0 10 20
winfield-kwld 62 30 46 27 0 0 0 10
russell 60 28 45 21 0 0 20 10
great bend 60 28 46 21 0 0 20 10
salina 60 29 45 25 0 0 20 20
mcpherson 60 28 45 24 0 0 10 20
coffeyville 63 30 44 27 0 0 0 10
chanute 60 30 42 27 0 0 10 10
iola 59 29 42 26 0 0 10 10
parsons-kppf 62 29 43 26 0 0 10 10

Ict watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Eps
long term... Eps
aviation... Adk
fire weather... Eps


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi65 minSW 1010.00 miFair37°F26°F65%1010.9 hPa

Wind History from AAO (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrN8N9NW8W6NW9NW8NW5W6W4W7W8
G15
SW7SW10S9S8S10S8S10S10S11S11SW12SW10SW9
1 day agoW9W10W12W10W12NW13
G20
NW12NW13
G21
NW20
G25
NW18
G33
NW24
G35
NW23
G32
NW20
G29
N17
G22
N14N23
G30
N22
G35
N18
G26
N15N13
G20
N12N12N10N9
2 days ago--W12W11W11W10W10W12NW14NW12NW17
G22
NW16NW10NW12NW8W5W7W9W7W9W8W10W9W7W8

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.