Wednesday, June19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Dorado, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:55PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 12:43 PM CDT (17:43 UTC) Moonrise 10:00PMMoonset 7:05AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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location: 37.87, -96.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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Fxus63 kict 191212
afdict
area forecast discussion
national weather service wichita ks
712 am cdt Wed jun 19 2019

Short term (today through Friday night)
issued at 228 am cdt Wed jun 19 2019
showers and storms with heavy rainfall will linger over far
southeast kansas early this morning before sliding eastward into
missouri. Current water vapor satellite imagery shows a upper level
pv wave over wyoming which will move southeast across nebraska for
this afternoon. Scattered showers and storms look to develop ahead
of this upper wave, mainly affecting eastern sections of nebraska
and kansas for this afternoon with cooler 700mb temps aloft.

Heat and humidity will build across kansas for Thursday into Friday
as 70+ dewpoints currently over eastern texas spreads northward into
kansas this period. Afternoon heat indices on Friday look to top 100
degrees for most areas.

The main question is will storms develop along a frontal boundary in
central kansas on Thursday and Friday. Thursday seems to have the
better chances of convection developing along the frontal boundary
with eml(elevated mixed layer) not as warm. On Friday, the EML will
become more stout which reduces chances of storms developing over
central and eastern kansas. Better chances of storms will be north
of the EML across nebraska on Friday.

Long term (Saturday through Tuesday)
issued at 228 am cdt Wed jun 19 2019
confidence is increasing for an active severe weather pattern along
with possible flooding for kansas during the upcoming weekend.

Models remain in good agreement showing a deeper than normal upper
trough over the southwestern states this weekend, with a stalled
out frontal boundary beneath decent southwest winds aloft over
the region. A lead short wave looks to eject out into kansas
during the day on Saturday which should ignite thunderstorms along
the frontal boundary. Severe weather is likely as models show a
very unstable airmass over the region. Meanwhile, a second round
of severe storms possible flooding looks to continue on Sunday for
kansas, as main upper trough axis lifts northeast and interacts
with the very unstable airmass lingering front.

Depending on timing of the upper level trough, Monday and Tuesday
could be fairly quiet weather or if the system is slowed down by the
models then storms could linger into Monday.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Thursday morning)
issued at 710 am cdt Wed jun 19 2019
MVFR to ifr ceilings are occurring both north and in the vicinity
of the weak front. Anticipate conditions to gradually improve
this morning. Chance of sprinkles or showers at kcnu for a couple
hours at the onset, but not anticipating storms. At this point, am
forecastingVFR conditions tonight, but depending on winds and
clouds, could see fog develop, especially in areas were low level
flow turns upslope. -howerton

Preliminary point temps pops
Wichita-kict 79 64 88 70 10 10 10 10
hutchinson 78 63 88 69 10 10 10 10
newton 78 63 87 70 10 10 10 20
eldorado 78 63 86 70 10 10 10 10
winfield-kwld 79 65 88 70 10 10 0 10
russell 78 63 89 67 10 10 10 20
great bend 79 64 89 67 10 0 10 10
salina 78 62 89 70 20 10 20 20
mcpherson 78 63 87 69 10 10 10 20
coffeyville 81 64 88 71 50 10 10 10
chanute 79 62 87 70 20 10 10 20
iola 78 62 86 70 30 10 10 20
parsons-kppf 80 64 87 70 40 10 10 10

Ict watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Cdj
long term... Cdj
aviation... Pjh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wichita Jabara Airport, KS24 mi50 minNNE 310.00 miOvercast72°F64°F76%1008.2 hPa

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Last 24hrSE66S9SE4N4
G16
CalmE5NE5NE5N6N5E4E3CalmCalmE4N5N4SW5N6N5N8N6N3
1 day ago55N5NE6NE4CalmE4E4SE5E3CalmE3SE3S4S6S5SW5CalmNW3CalmW4CalmE3S5
2 days agoS6S4S8S5SE8S6S3W6NW3CalmCalmCalmN4NW4E3CalmN4CalmN5CalmSE3SE334

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wichita, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.