Sunrise 6:17 AM   Sunset 7:56 PM Moonrise 10:04 PM   Moonset 6:31 AM

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ANZ537 Tidal Potomac From Cobb Island To Smith Point- 750 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 5 pm edt this afternoon through late tonight - .
Today - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Tonight - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. Sat - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. Sun - SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Mon - W winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming s. Waves 1 ft. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

ANZ500 750 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will Wedge into the region for the end of the week, then move offshore over the weekend. Additional small craft advisories will likely be needed for portions of the waters Saturday afternoon. Extensions may be needed due to southerly channeling Sunday into early next week. The next substantial front to cross the waters looks to arrive by Tuesday bringing renewed chances for showers and Thunderstorms.

FXUS61 KAKQ 261414 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1014 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains centered over New England today. High pressure slides off the New England coast tonight, moving south into early next week, with a ridge building over the area and temperatures well above normal through next week. An unsettled pattern sets up from Tuesday through late next week with daily chances for showers and storms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 1010 AM EDT Friday...

Late this morning, sfc high pressure was centered over New England. The sky ranged from sunny in the ern/SE counties, to partly sunny to mostly cloudy in the Piedmont. Temps were ranging through the 50s. Expect a generally partly to mostly sunny sky across the region this aftn, with highs in the mid 60s inland, upper 60s SW, and upper 50s to lower 60s along the coast. Otherwise, dry this aftn with increasing clouds tonight and a slight chance of a brief, light shower across far NW portions of the FA late tonight. Lows tonight will range through the 40s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Friday...

A ridge builds over the area Sat, building into early next week with a warmup expected. However, the warm air will be delayed until Sun due to high pressure lingering off the New England coast on Sat allowing for one more day of cool, onshore flow. A weak piece of shortwave energy moves towards the area Sat and may provide just enough forcing (combined with isentropic ascent over the cooler airmass in place) for isolated, light showers across N portions of the FA. Models continue to be in disagreement with global models showing more coverage than hi-res models. As such, have kept PoPs at slight chance. Any showers taper off Sat evening with dry weather Sun as the high moves S and winds become SW. Highs in the lower 60s NE to around 70F SW Sat and upper 70s to lower 80s Sun. Lows in the lower 50s (upper 40s across the MD Eastern Shore) Sat night and upper 50s to around 60F Sun night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 340 AM EDT Friday...

The ridge builds over the area early next week, becoming less amplified by midweek, but lingering through the week regardless with well above normal temps expected. Highs in the mid-upper 80s Mon-Thu for most. The warmest days look to be Mon and Tue with highs potentially approaching 90F for some. Next week will not only "feel" Summer-like due to warm temperatures but also in the sense that an unsettled pattern develops from Tue-Fri with daily chances for showers/storms. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, however, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. As such, have maintained a slight chance to chance PoP each afternoon/evening for showers/storms from mid-late week with the greatest chance on Fri (30-35% PoPs) as a cold front approaches from the W. Highs also look to be a touch cooler on Fri (upper 70s to lower 80s). Lows remain mild through the week in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 650 AM EDT Friday...

Generally light and variable winds inland and NE winds 5-10 kt along the coast become E/ENE with winds increasing to 5-10 kt inland and 10-15 kt with some gusts to 20 kt after mid morning today. A mixture of stratus and cirrus lingers across W and S portions of the area this morning with VFR/MVFR CIGs remaining away from the local terminals. There is a brief potential between 14-16z for MVFR CIGs at ORF and along the coast but otherwise VFR CIGs prevail at the terminals through the 12z taf period. Clouds linger across W portions of the area today before pushing E tonight.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the weekend.

MARINE
As of 245 AM EDT Friday...

Early this morning, high pressure remains centered over New England.
Winds are generally out of NE and range from 10 to 15 knots over the Chesapeake Bay/rivers and 15 to 20 knots over the coastal waters.
Winds will continue at similar speeds for much of the day today, before gradually diminishing later this evening into tonight. High pressure remains over the Northeast US or just offshore today through Saturday which will lead to continued onshore flow. As a result, seas remain elevated around or in excess of 5 feet today into tonight, before a gradual diminishing trend on Saturday. SCAs remain in effect for the coastal waters (and mouth of the bay)
through late this evening.

High pressure builds into the area this weekend before becoming suppressed to the south next week. Winds become southerly late Saturday night into Sunday, and then S to SW later Sunday into the middle of the week, generally ranging around 10 to 15 knots.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 400 AM EDT Friday...

A prolonged period of NE flow is expected to last into the weekend. Mainly nuisance flooding is possible across the lower bay, James River, VA Atlantic- facing beaches, eastern Currituck County, and Dorchester County early this morning. As such, Coastal Flood Statements remain in effect for these locations.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ634-650- 652-654-656.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ658.

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Tappahannock
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:40 AM EDT     2.00 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:50 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:05 PM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:37 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tappahannock, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet

Wares Wharf
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:05 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:32 PM EDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:52 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Wares Wharf, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet

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