Sunday, August20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Chincoteague, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 7:50PM Sunday August 20, 2017 3:57 AM EDT (07:57 UTC) Moonrise 3:57AMMoonset 6:10PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 1237 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Rest of tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft...mainly S swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming E late. Seas around 2 ft... Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun night..SE winds 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft...mainly se swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft...mainly N swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft...mainly N swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds in the evening.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft...building to 3 to 4 ft late.
Tue night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the morning.
Thu night..NE winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1237 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will remain stalled near the mid atlantic coast through tonight. High pressure builds over the area Sunday into early next week. The next cold front is expected to impact the region Wednesday and Wednesday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chincoteague, VA
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location: 37.95, -75.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 200156
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
956 pm edt Sat aug 19 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will linger just offshore and south of the region
through tonight. High pressure builds into the region late
tonight through early next week. The next cold front will impact
the region on Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Isold convection INVOF coastal NE nc has waned... But watching
tstms moving across NRN va associated W secondary cold (more
like a dew point) front settling se. Near term models keep
convection N of the fa while slowly weakening as that boundary
pushes S overnight. Otherwise... Mainly skc W light winds. A
drop in dew points expected by late at night. Kept patchy fog
out of the forecast... Though would not be surprised to have
some... ESP where recent rainfall has been excessive (i.E., on
the ERN shore). Lows in the u60 NW to the l-m70s S and e.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday
For Sunday... High pressure builds back into the region for Sunday
allowing for dry conditions and mostly sunny skies for much of the
region. Highs will range from the mid to upper 80s along the coast
to around 90 degrees inland.

Sunday night begins with high pressure centered just north of
the area across md and pa. This will provide a quiet evening
with generally light E to SE flow. Will see a little return of
atlantic moisture but overall expect dry weather mostly clear
conditions. Temperatures should cool a little more than in
recent days with low in the upper 60s to the lower 70s.

The area of high pressure slides off the coast on Monday and the
flow turns SE to s, which will allow some additional moisture to
return to the area. The orographic lift will allow some
convection to form along the blue ridge and appalachian
mountains. Some of this convection could slide newd off the
higher terrain and impact portions of the piedmont counties
later on Monday afternoon and evening so have continued the
slight chance pops. But most areas should be dry due to a lack
of lift and little mid level moisture. Temperatures should begin
to climb with most areas getting back up into the lower 90s.

Monday night into Tuesday expect mainly dry weather as well, but
the humidity will still be there as the southerly flow
continues. Lows during the overnight hours should be in the low
to mid 70s and the highs on Tuesday should be a little warmer
again with highs still in the low to mid 90s. The southeastern
portion of the CWA would have the best chance for an isolated
shower as some atlantic moisture lifts newd into NE nc and the
va tidewater.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
Stacked high pressure resides off the southeast coast as a
pre-frontal trough develops ahead of an approaching cold front
and in the lee of the mts Tue night. Overall, Tue night should
be dry with isolated showers storms possibly sneaking into
the far WRN piedmont and or md lower eastern shore INVOF the
developing trough. Warm and humid overnight with lows in the
low-mid 70s. The cold front tracks through the area on wed...

exiting the coast by Thu morning. Thunderstorms expected to
become more organized as the front provides better focus for
lift development. Lingering showers storms possible
far SE va NE nc on thu, although they should taper off from
nw to SE as the front moves farther southeast and away from
the area. Otherwise, cool canadian high pressure builds across
the midwest into the ERN great lakes thu-sat with dry
conditions anticipated during this timeframe.

Highs Wed generally upper 80s to lower 90s (mid 80s beaches).

Highs thu-sat lower 80s (mid 70s beaches). Lows Wed night
mid-upper 60s NW to 70-74f se. Lows Thu Fri nights around
60f NW to around 70f se.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
Isold tstms INVOF kecg continuing weaken... OtherwiseVFR
conditions over the region. Potential patchy occasional MVFR
fog... Mainly after 06z 20... At the typical fog-prone locations
(sby ecg phf). All fog should quickly dissipate after sunrise.

After that...VFR conditions through Monday as sfc hi pres
builds back into the region. There will once again be the
potential for some patchy fog early on Monday morning. The next
cold front approaches the region late Tue and into wed.

Sub-vfr conditions and showers thunderstorms will be possible
wed.

Marine
Benign conditions through Sun with light variable winds
aob 10kt. Winds become more onshore Sun night into mon
(remaining AOB 10kt) as a front near the mid atlantic coast
washes out weakens. Seas average 2ft; waves 1-2ft. South winds
mon night-tue night with stacked high pressure off the
southeast coast and a thermal trough developing in the lee of
the mts Tue night. A surge in winds is anticipated Tue night
into Wed morning ahead of an approaching cold front. Speeds
could reach 15-20kt bay ocean with seas building to 3-4ft
north and 2-3ft south; waves building to 2-3ft. SCA flags may
be possible for these areas in this timeframe. The next cold
front is expected to cross the region during Wed and exit the
coast by Thu morning. Winds n-ne AOB 15kt behind front wed
aftn evening through sat. Seas 2-3ft waves 1-3ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajb
near term... Alb
short term... Ess
long term... Bmd
aviation... Alb
marine... Bmd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44089 13 mi28 min 79°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 29 mi40 min W 1.9 G 1.9 73°F 85°F1015.4 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 30 mi40 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 74°F 79°F1015.6 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 41 mi40 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 75°F 83°F1015.7 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi40 min WSW 6 G 7 1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA6 mi64 minWNW 310.00 miFair73°F71°F94%1015.1 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4CalmCalmW4W4NW5NW6N5N545N5W5--W6--W4SW5SW3CalmSW5S5SW6NW3
1 day agoS10S7S10S12S11S12S15S13S15S12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSE3S3S5W3NW5E3E7SE9SE9S11S11S12S9S8S8S10S10S10S10S9S8

Tide / Current Tables for Chincoteague Island, Blake Cove, Virginia
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Chincoteague Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:23 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:56 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.89 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:24 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:04 PM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.30.1-000.20.40.70.90.90.80.60.50.20-0.1-0.10.10.40.811.21.11

Tide / Current Tables for Assateague Beach, Toms Cove, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia
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Assateague Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:38 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:23 AM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:44 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:41 PM EDT     4.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.5-0.2-0.30.41.42.53.5443.32.41.50.6-0.1-0.20.41.52.83.84.64.74.23.32.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.