Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 9:58 PM   Moonset 6:25 AM

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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 327 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .
Through 7 am - NE winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: E 5 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Today - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Sat - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Sun - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 8 seconds and S 2 ft at 4 seconds. Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Mon - W winds 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Mon night - S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.Tue night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.

ANZ600 327 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
strong high pressure will build east towards new england today. The high will become centered across the new england and mid atlantic coast Saturday, before moving offshore by Sunday.

FXUS61 KAKQ 260805 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 405 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains centered over New England today. High pressure slides offshore tonight, moving south into early next week with a ridge building over the area and temperatures well above normal through next week. An unsettled pattern sets up from Tuesday through late next week with daily chances for showers and storms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Friday...

Onshore flow has resulted in a stratus layer over NE NC and SW VA early this morning. While some redevelopment of this stratus layer is possible (mainly across NE NC), satellite trends suggest CAMs are overdoing sky cover with most areas currently under clear or partly cloudy skies along the coast. A mixture of cirrus and stratus remain inland early this morning with mostly cloudy to partly clear skies.
Temps as of 3 AM ranged from the upper 30s across interior portions of the MD Eastern Shore to low-mid 40s inland and upper 40s to around 50F along the coast. Morning lows a degree or two cooler.
Inland portions of the lower Maryland Eastern Shore should see clearing early this morning, and with decoupling winds, could see lows in the mid to upper 30s just before sunrise. This could result in patchy frost in typically cooler, more sheltered areas, but given the short window of time, don't expect widespread frost.

Clouds clear across E portions of the FA by this afternoon with at least scattered clouds (partly to mostly cloudy) lingering across W portions of the area through the day. Highs today in the mid-upper 60s inland and upper 50s along the coast. However, if clouds remain thick enough across W portions of the FA, temps will end up cooler than currently forecast (low-mid 60s). Otherwise, dry today with increasing clouds tonight and a slight chance of a brief, light shower across far W portions of the FA late tonight.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Friday...

A ridge builds over the area Sat, building into early next week with a warmup expected. However, the warm air will be delayed until Sun due to high pressure lingering off the New England coast on Sat allowing for one more day of cool, onshore flow. A weak piece of shortwave energy moves towards the area Sat and may provide just enough forcing (combined with isentropic ascent over the cooler airmass in place) for isolated, light showers across N portions of the FA. Models continue to be in disagreement with global models showing more coverage than hi-res models. As such, have kept PoPs at slight chance. Any showers taper off Sat evening with dry weather Sun as the high moves S and winds become SW. Highs in the lower 60s NE to around 70F SW Sat and upper 70s to lower 80s Sun. Lows in the lower 50s (upper 40s across the MD Eastern Shore) Sat night and upper 50s to around 60F Sun night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 340 AM EDT Friday...

The ridge builds over the area early next week, becoming less amplified by midweek, but lingering through the week regardless with well above normal temps expected. Highs in the mid-upper 80s Mon-Thu for most. The warmest days look to be Mon and Tue with highs potentially approaching 90F for some. Next week will not only "feel" Summer-like due to warm temperatures but also in the sense that an unsettled pattern develops from Tue-Fri with daily chances for showers/storms. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, however, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. As such, have maintained a slight chance to chance PoP each afternoon/evening for showers/storms from mid-late week with the greatest chance on Fri (30-35% PoPs) as a cold front approaches from the W. Highs also look to be a touch cooler on Fri (upper 70s to lower 80s). Lows remain mild through the week in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 140 AM EDT Friday...

Generally light and variable winds inland and NE winds 5-10 kt along the coast continue until sunrise with E/ENE winds increasing to 5-10 kt inland and 10-15 kt with some gusts to 20 kt after mid morning today. Given the onshore flow, a low stratus layer continues to linger across far S VA and mainly NE NC early this morning with IFR CIGs . Satellite trends suggest this cloud deck will continue to move SW with CAMs suggesting some redevelopment is possible near ECG. As such, have a TEMPO for IFR CIGs at ECG through 10z with prevailing MVFR conditions (~1000 ft CIGs ). Elsewhere, CIGs were generally VFR/MVFR with additional stratus possible at RIC/PHF/ORF through mid-late morning. Clouds push W of I-95 by this afternoon with VFR conditions returning under mostly sunny skies for the local terminals (partly cloudy at RIC).

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the weekend.

MARINE
As of 245 AM EDT Friday...

Early this morning, high pressure remains centered over New England.
Winds are generally out of NE and range from 10 to 15 knots over the Chesapeake Bay/rivers and 15 to 20 knots over the coastal waters.
Winds will continue at similar speeds for much of the day today, before gradually diminishing later this evening into tonight. High pressure remains over the Northeast US or just offshore today through Saturday which will lead to continued onshore flow. As a result, seas remain elevated around or in excess of 5 feet today into tonight, before a gradual diminishing trend on Saturday. SCAs remain in effect for the coastal waters (and mouth of the bay)
through late this evening.

High pressure builds into the area this weekend before becoming suppressed to the south next week. Winds become southerly late Saturday night into Sunday, and then S to SW later Sunday into the middle of the week, generally ranging around 10 to 15 knots.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 400 AM EDT Friday...

A prolonged period of NE flow is expected to last into the weekend. Mainly nuisance flooding is possible across the lower bay, James River, VA Atlantic- facing beaches, eastern Currituck County, and Dorchester County early this morning. As such, Coastal Flood Statements remain in effect for these locations.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ634-650- 652-654-656.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ658.

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Chincoteague Island, Blake Cove, Virginia, Tide feet

Assateague Beach
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Fri -- 04:41 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:11 AM EDT     3.35 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:32 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:20 PM EDT     4.09 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
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Assateague Beach, Toms Cove, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia, Tide feet

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