Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Chincoteague, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 5:52PM Saturday February 24, 2018 10:41 AM EST (15:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:16PMMoonset 1:54AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 952 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Rest of today..S winds 5 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly E swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Areas of fog late this morning, then patchy fog this afternoon. A slight chance of showers late. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of rain.
Mon..N winds 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 5 kt, becoming S in the late morning and afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 952 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will push into the northern waters this afternoon and evening. The front stalls tonight, then lifts back north of the area as a warm front by Sunday morning. Another cold front moves across the entire region Sunday night into Monday. High pressure builds across the waters Tuesday, and slides off the coast on Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chincoteague, VA
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location: 37.95, -75.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 241513
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1013 am est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will slowly lift north through the local area
this morning as another front slowly drops into northern
portions of the area late in the day. High pressure prevails
off the southeast coast tonight and Sunday. A cold front
crosses the mid atlantic Sunday night and settles across north
carolina Monday.

Near term through tonight
A weak boundary remains over the area this morning. Fog has
gradually lifted to stratus and has largely eroded from the
piedmont to SE va NE nc, but has been most persistent over the
ern shore where areas of fog still continue as of 10 am.

Temperatures range from the 50s N to the low mid 60s S and se.

An area of showers over the central appalachians associated
with an upper wave are progged to clip the NRN tier of the area
this aftn evening per latest rap hrrr trends. Pops range from
near 30% from ric-wal and 60% across the far NRN tier of the
area. The high temperature forecast will again be tricky today
due to the widespread low CIGS expected early in the day and
uncertainty over how far north the clearing makes it. For now
will forecast highs near 60 over the lwr md eastern shore to the
mid upr 70s southern half of the fa. Remaining mild with lows
in the 50s to around 60. Best chances for light rain again over
northern areas.

Short term Sunday through Monday
A cold front approaches from the W Sunday morning. This front
should be slow to cross the area given the strength of the
ridge, so have opted for an evening frontal passage. Very warm
Sunday with high temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s, with
low mid 70s over the ERN shore, and locally mid upper 60s for
the md beaches. See the climate section for record highs. The
best upper level forcing lifts well N of the area, so pops at
this time are only 30-50% ahead of and along the front.

The cold front drops across the area Sunday night and settles
over nc Monday. A secondary low pressure tracks along the front
along with some mid-level energy and this could bring a period
of light rain, mainly across the SRN va and NE nc. Cooler behind
the front, but still above normal with lows Sunday night in the
50s and highs Monday in the upper 50s to lower 60s, but these
values could fall during the day.

Long term Monday night through Friday
The cold front pushes offshore with some lingering shwrs along
the SE coast Mon eve. Pt cldy cooler. Lows in the mid 30s to mid
40s.

High pressure over the area Tue shifts offshore Tue nite and
wed. Dry thru 18z Wed with isltd shwrs psbl across the piedmont
wed aftrn as moisture returns from the sw. Highs Tue mid 50s-lwr
60s. Lows Tue nite 40-45. Highs Wed upr 50s-mid 60s.

Low pressure moves NE into the gt lakes region mid week with
the advancing warm front lifting north across the region wed
nite and trailing cold front thurs. Models show a decent
moisture feed into the systm from the SW so will carry likely
pops (shwrs) for both periods. Kept thunder out of forecast as
that will depend on the actual timing of the cold frontal
passage. Lows Wed nite mid 40s-lwr 50s. Highs Thu upr 50s-
upr60s. Chc pops Thu nite as upr level systm is slow to track
across the NRN mid atlantic region. Lows in the 40s.

Cyclonic flow Fri will usher in a drier cooler airmass but
shwrs linger across the ERN shore as the upr level systm slowly
pulls offshore. Highs in the 50s to near 60 se.

Aviation 15z Saturday through Wednesday
Widespread lifr to start off the 12z TAF period with a warm
front still situated over the fa. Have seen some improvement in
vsbys, but CIGS are expected to stay lifr ifr through mid late
morning, and even into the aftn near sby. Generally light SW winds
become southwest 10-15 kt later this morning. Best chance for
sub-vfr aviation conditions tonight will be at sby.

Outlook: a cold front crosses the region Sunday into Sunday
night bringing the potential for ceiling and visibility
restrictions along with periods of light rain. High pressure
settles over the area Tuesday and slides offshore Wednesday.

Marine
As of late morning, will be maintaining marine fog advisory
north of parramore island on the atlantic side and north of
windmill pt on the ches bay thru 1 pm. Latest obs show fog low
stratus hanging tough in these locations with light S SE winds.

Elsewhere, fog has or will continue to lift into this
afternoon.

Otherwise, offshore high and ssw winds dominate today into
tonight, though with another backdoor cold front sagging south
into the northern waters this aftn into tonight (winds will
shift to the E in these areas). Front lifts back N overnight sun
morning with a breezy SW flow on Sunday. Expect the warm
airmass over cold water inversion to keep mixing limited, but
still may see some gusts to around 20 kt during the day over
much of the area. Marginal SCA headlines may be issued as
needed. The next cold front crosses the waters Sun night with a
wind shift back to the n-ne for mon. No real CAA surges noted
behind the front, so kept winds seas below SCA levels, but will
probably have a few hrs worth of elevated winds early Monday
behind the front, and again Mon night early Tue as sfc high
pressure builds into the area from the wnw.

Climate
Very warm temperatures will return today and especially Sunday,
record highs are listed for today Sat 2 24. For Sun 2 25, both
record highs and record high mins are listed:
* record highs... ... ..Record highs rec high mins
* site: Sat 2 24... ... Sun 2 25
* ric: 82 (1985)... ..83 (1930)... 54 (1930)
* orf: 82 (2012)... ..81 (2017)... 59 (1930)
* sby: 77 (2012)... ..80 (1930)... 52 (1930)
* ecg: 79 (1985)... ..78 (2017)... 54 (1985)

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Dense fog advisory until 1 pm est this afternoon for anz630-
650-652.

Synopsis... Mas
near term... Ajz mas
short term... Ajz mas
long term... Ajb mpr
aviation... Ajb mas
marine... Jdm lkb
climate... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44089 13 mi71 min 42°F3 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 29 mi41 min S 1.9 G 2.9 58°F 52°F1021.7 hPa (-0.5)
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 30 mi41 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 43°F 43°F1022.7 hPa (+0.0)
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 41 mi41 min SE 4.1 G 6 48°F 48°F1022.3 hPa (+0.3)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi41 min S 11 G 11 1022.2 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA6 mi47 minVar 30.25 miFog50°F50°F100%1021.9 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7NE9NE9NE4N3E4SE4S7S4SW4SW6W8SW6W5SW4SW5CalmS7S4S7S4S4Calm3
1 day agoNE11NE14NE11NE13NE14NE16NE14NE13NE16
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2 days agoW10
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S8S6S8S7S8S4S8SW7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNE13NE13NE14

Tide / Current Tables for Chincoteague Island, Blake Cove, Virginia
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Chincoteague Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:53 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:33 AM EST     0.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:45 AM EST     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:57 PM EST     0.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:52 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.50.70.90.90.80.70.50.40.20.10.10.10.30.50.60.70.70.50.40.30.10-0

Tide / Current Tables for Assateague Beach, Toms Cove, Chincoteague Bay, Virginia
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Assateague Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:53 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:57 AM EST     3.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:10 AM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:39 PM EST     3.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:15 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.93.53.73.52.92.11.40.90.50.20.41.11.92.63.13.12.82.11.40.80.40.10.30.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.