Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. George Island, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:23PM Monday May 27, 2019 7:11 AM EDT (11:11 UTC) Moonrise 1:23AMMoonset 12:38PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ537 Tidal Potomac From Cobb Island To Smith Point- 436 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019
Rest of the overnight..NW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming e. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms through the night. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 436 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A weak boundary will remain stalled out near the waters today. The front will then lift back north Tuesday as high pressure off the southeastern united states coast regains control through the middle of the week. A weak cold front will stall out near the waters late in the week. A small craft advisory may be necessary for portions of the waters on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. George Island, MD
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location: 38.04, -76.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 270855
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
455 am edt Mon may 27 2019

Synopsis
A weak cold front will drop south of the region early this
morning, then return back north of the area on Tuesday,
followed by a big warm up for the remainder of the week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 415 am edt Monday...

early this morning, a weak cold front was dropping down acrs
srn va with sctd showers finally about to exit off the lower md
ern shore. Otherwise, it was partly to mostly cloudy over the
region with temps ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s.

The front will drop farther south of the area during today, with
weak high pressure providing nne winds and not as warm temps.

Mainly just a slight to sml chance for late aftn early evening
showers tstms. Highs will range thru the 80s to near 90, cooler
near the water.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
As of 430 am edt Monday...

the front will lift back north acrs the area as a warm front
tonight thru Tue morning. Upper ridging will build from the
gulf coast states nwrd toward the oh valley. That boundary could
help produce isolated to sctd showers or tstms, mainly acrs nrn
portions of the region. Lows tonight ranging thru the 60s.

The warm front will lift well nne of the area Tue aftn, but there
still could be slight to sml chance for diurnally-driven showers
or tstms over the ERN third of the region into the early evening.

Warmer and moderately humid on Tue under a partly sunny sky.

Highs will range from the upper 70s to mid 80s over the lower md
and va ERN shore, to the upper 80s to lower 90s elsewhere.

Mostly clear and mild Tue night with lows in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Upper ridging slides eastward and nwrd into the region for wed,
resulting in even warmer temps. Under a partly to mostly sunny
sky, highs will range from 85-90 over the lower md and va ern
shore, to the lower to mid 90s elsewhere. Later Wed aftn into
wed night, isolated to sctd showers tstms will be possible over
the NRN third of the cwa.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
As of 430 am edt Monday...

by Thursday, the upper level ridge axis begins to break
down push east of the local area as a more potent shortwave
develops and moves across the midwest and great lakes. Thursday
will likely be another very hot day with temperatures making it
up into the mid 90s across much of the area. Shower and
thunderstorm chances will be on the increase as the shortwave
and associated cold front approach and cross the region late
Thursday into early Friday. This boundary then stalls lingers
near to just south of the region into the weekend bringing the
potential for more unsettled conditions. Temperatures cool down
slightly Friday into the weekend, but are still expected to
remain above average as highs in the mid to upper 80s are
anticipated.

Aviation 09z Monday through Friday
As of 300 am edt Monday...

a cold front was dropping down acrs SRN va early this morning,
with sctd showers finally about to exit off the lower md ern
shore. Otherwise, mainlyVFR conditions were prevailing at the
taf sites, with just isolated sct stratus at sby. SW winds
around 5 kt were shifting to the nw-ne behind the front.

The front will drop south of the entire area early this morning,
with nne winds 5-10 kt during the remainder of the day, then
light E becoming SE this evening into Tue morning.VFR conditions
will prevail thru the period, with only isolated to sctd
convection possible at ric phf orf ecg late this aftn into early
this evening.

Outlook:
mainlyVFR conditions will continue Tue thru wed, with isolated
to sctd pcpn possible mainly at sby and ric.

Marine
As of 330 am edt Monday...

outside of convection, a rather quiet marine forecast for the
next several days. A weak frontal boundary is pushing south
through the waters early this morning and will stall wash out s
of the local area this aftn evening. A N wind will avg around
10 kt through midday with some gusts to ~15 kt. The winds become
ne then E during the aftn at 5-10 kt, and continue to veer to
the sse tonight into Tue morning at ~10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in
the bay and seas 2-3 ft offshore.

S winds 10-15 knots are expected by Tuesday afternoon as high
pressure aloft remains anchored over northern gulf coast and the
frontal boundary lifts back N of the area as a weak warm front. Waves
in the bay will generally run 1-2 ft while seas offshore will
stay in the 2-4 ft range through mid week. There are some model
discrepancies regarding the winds on wed, the NAM tries to push
the front back S into the local waters (which would lead to ne
winds). The other models are in a general agreement that the
front will be weak and mostly stay N of the local area. Will
follow the consensus for now as it also retains continuity with
the forecast. This will have mostly SW winds Wed into Thu and
sub-sca conditions.

Climate
As of 330 am edt Monday...

* for Sun 5 26: no record highs were set, but ric, sby, ecg all
tied their daily record high mins. Sby also recorded their 1st
90 degree day of 2019.

* no record highs (or record high mins) are anticipated today
5 27. A top 5 warmest may is expected at all climate sites
given the expected heat to finish the month. Daily records
are listed for Tue 5 28 through Thu 5 30 below:
* Tue 5 28: record high record high min
* richmond: 100 (1941) 72 (1991)
* norfolk: 98 (1941) 76 (1991)
* salisbury: 96 (1941) 74 (1991)
* eliz city: 100 (1941) 80 (1991)
* Wed 5 29: record high record high min
* richmond: 98 (1941) 70 (2012)
* norfolk: 97 (1941) 73 (2012)
* salisbury: 96 (1941) 73 (2012)
* eliz city: 99 (1941) 76 (2012)
* Thu 5 30: record high record high min
* richmond: 98 (1991) 72 (2018)
* norfolk: 99 (1991) 72 (2018)
* salisbury: 95 (2011) 71 (1959)
* eliz city: 96 (2011) 74 (2011)
* number of days of 90f+ in may:
* site avg 2019 (thru 5 26) most (year)
* richmond: 2 days 4 days 11 days (1962)
* norfolk: 2 days 3 days 13 days (1880)
* salisbury: 1 day 1 day 7 days (1991)
* eliz city: 2 days 5 days 9 days (1944)

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Tmg
short term... Mam tmg
long term... Mam
aviation... Tmg
marine... Lkb rhr
climate... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 4 mi48 min NW 6 G 7 72°F 73°F1013.1 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 7 mi42 min N 7 G 8.9
44042 - Potomac, MD 9 mi54 min N 5.8 G 5.8 72°F 73°F1012.2 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 20 mi42 min NNW 5.1 G 6 70°F 72°F1012.6 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 26 mi42 min N 8 G 11 71°F 1013.8 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 27 mi48 min N 2.9 G 7 71°F 78°F1012.9 hPa
NCDV2 34 mi48 min NW 1.9 G 2.9 69°F 75°F1012.8 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 35 mi36 min NNW 5.8 G 7.8 73°F 75°F1011 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 36 mi48 min N 7.8 G 7.8 71°F 1013.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi42 min 72°F 75°F1013.1 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 43 mi42 min WNW 7 G 8 1013.5 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD8 mi19 minN 09.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1013.1 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD18 mi20 minNNW 610.00 miFair71°F71°F100%1013.3 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD19 mi30 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F68°F100%1014.2 hPa
Tappahannock-Essex County Airport, VA24 mi17 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F68°F100%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from NUI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4W45NW5SW7SW7W85SW5S6SE3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmE6S4E4CalmCalmCalmCalm
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NW743NE3NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E11E9E6Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Lynch Point, Virginia
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Lynch Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:04 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:29 AM EDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:06 PM EDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.60.40.30.40.60.81.11.31.31.31.20.90.60.40.30.30.40.711.21.31.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current
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Point Patience
Click for MapFlood direction 315 true
Ebb direction 145 true

Mon -- 12:56 AM EDT     -0.45 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:33 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     0.34 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:54 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:08 PM EDT     -0.78 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     0.45 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:22 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.30.2-0-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.10.20.40.40.30.1-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.