Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Pocomoke, MD

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:22PM Sunday July 22, 2018 12:28 PM EDT (16:28 UTC) Moonrise 3:11PMMoonset 1:01AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 1147 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon...
Rest of today..SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt... Increasing to 25 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Scattered showers late this morning, then numerous showers and scattered tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers likely with scattered tstms.
Mon..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Mon night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Tue..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely, then a chance of showers after midnight. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1147 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Another low pressure system will approach from the west today and stall to our west early this week. Small craft advisory conditions are possible Monday night through Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Pocomoke, MD
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location: 38.08, -75.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 221547
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1147 am edt Sun jul 22 2018

Synopsis
A moist southerly flow, coupled with a low pressure trough
aloft over the tennessee valley and southeast u.S., will result
in an unsettled pattern through at least the middle of next
week.

Near term through tonight
As of 1145 am edt Sunday...

issued a flash flood watch for the northern neck and middle
peninsula west to caroline county until midnight. In the near
term, scattered showers are moving through the northern part of
the forecast area in response to an upper vort MAX moving
through the region in the southern flow aloft. Meanwhile,
additional storms will develop this afternoon along the warm
frontal boundary which is currently near the va nc border. These
storms will move northward this afternoon evening along with the
front. Latest cams guidance suggests that some training of echos
will develop in the deep southerly flow, focusing on an area
from south hill through the northern neck. This is where the
hrrr and NAM suggest the best low level moisture convergence
will be as well. With the potential for additional heavy rain
today, combined with the heavy rain that occurred much of the
area north of i-64 yesterday, have opted to go with a flash
flood watch for the northern neck and middle peninsula, west to
caroline county. Three hour flash flood guidance around 2 to 2.5
inches in these areas, and we could easily see this in an hour
in the heaviest of downpours.

As of 415 am edt Sunday...

early this morning, sfc low pressure that brought rain to much
of the region during sat, was moving thru SE pa. Also, upper low
and sfc low pressure was spinning over the oh valley, while a
weak sfc low was over WRN nc sc. Latest radar showed a few
showers associated with that weak low were moving thru portions
of scntrl and SE va and NE nc. This activity will weaken and end
over the next couple of hours.

But, late this morning into this aftn, more shower TSTM activity
will develop, esply over cntrl and WRN counties, as moist sse
sfc flow interacts with more energy lifting ene in advance of
the upper low pressure area to the west. Highs today will range
fm the upper 70s near 80 extrm nw, to the mid to upper 80s ese.

This activity will shift twd the coast tonight into early mon
morning, while weakening. Lows tonight in the lower to mid 70s.

Short term Monday through Tuesday night
As of 415 am edt Sunday...

aforementioned upper low will meander over the southeast u.S.

Tonight into Tue night, resulting in continued deep southerly
flow, and continued good chances for showers tstms across the
region. High chc to likely pops expected over the entire region
on mon. Mon night tue, atlc upper ridge begins to build westward,
allowing main axis of heaviest rainfall to shift into the
central and western parts of the area. Another 1-3 inches of
rain will be possible across the region into Tue night.

With deep moisture in place, the sky will continue to be mostly
cloudy, with day time MAX temps still a few degrees below normal
both Mon and tue. Highs both days mainly in the lower to mid
80s. Low temps will mostly be between 70-75.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 320 pm edt Saturday...

decent model agreement continues through much of the extended period
as two well-established high pressure systems over the plains and
the atlantic keep rain chances sandwiched in between over our cwa.

Expect high-end chance to likely pops areawide through at least the
beginning of next weekend. Wednesday, likely pops stretch as far
east as the delmarva, especially during the afternoon evening.

Thursday morning, kept the best moisture and likely pops across the
northern half of the area... Before likely pops return for much of
our area Thursday afternoon evening. Friday and Saturday mornings
may be the "driest" portions of the extended, especially across the
western third of the cwa, but do expect daytime heating to spark
additional showers and thunderstorms each afternoon.

The euro and GFS begin to diverge on late Saturday and Sunday, with
the euro trying to weaken the atlantic ridge and thereby decreasing
the opportunity for rainfall. Not only does the 12z GFS disagree
with a weakening atlantic ridge, but it also brings another low
pressure system through the ohio valley... Sending additional energy
our way and increasing rain chances Sunday into the start of the
following week. While "all day" rain does not look to be the case,
each day this week will feature shower TSTM chances to some degree.

Keeping an umbrella and some golashes handy would not be such a bad
idea.

Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s wed-sat, with the
warmest day being Friday. Spots that receive rainfall will be an
average of 5-8+ degf cooler. Overnight lows in the low to mid 70s
will carry us through Sunday morning.

Aviation 16z Sunday through Thursday
As of 200 am edt Sunday...

low pressure that brought rain to much of the region during sat
was north of the cwa, and will lift into pa during this morning.

However, digging upper trough to our west resulting in weak sfc
low pressure over WRN nc sc was pushing sctd showers and
isolated tstms in our SW counties early this morning. Expecting
MVFR orVFR conditions thru 12-13z this morning at all TAF sites
except sby, where ifr CIGS will likely linger. MainlyVFR
conditions should then prevail at all TAF sites by 14-15z with
sse winds picking up and lasting into this evening. Today into
wed will see unsettled wx conditions at all terminals, with
periodic showers tstms, with most tstms in the diurnal 16z to
04z time frame. Overall flying conditions should be MVFRVFR,
with periodic ifr in pcpn, and possibly low stratus during the
overnight into early morning hours.

Marine
As of 415 am edt Sunday...

1002mb low pressure is located over SE pa early this morning, with
a broader area of low pressure situated over the ohio valley. The
wind has become SW AOB 15kt for most of the marine area early this
morning, but remains ssw 20-25kt, with gusts near 30kt N of
parramore is. This should continue through about 7 am, with the
wind diminishing later this morning. Seas remain 6-10ft n, but
have subsided to 3-4ft s. SCA flags continue for the ocean N of
cape charles, and have ended elsewhere.

The wind becomes sse 10-15kt for most of the area later this morning
through midday, and then increases to 15-20kt for the lower bay and
ocean by this aftn. A strong LLJ around 950mb develops tonight into
Monday, with wind expected to be 15-25kt for the bay and ocean. Seas
build to 4-6ft S tonight, then 5-7ft by Monday. Seas across the n
initially subside to 5-7ft today, and then potentially build to 6-8ft
tonight into Monday. SCA flags N of CAPE charles have been extended
through Monday, with scas for the lower bay later this aftn through
Monday, the upper bay tonight into Monday, and the SRN ocean tonight
into Monday. Scas may eventually be needed for the sound lower james
later tonight into Monday.

The pattern persists through midweek with a sse wind of at least 10-
20kt continuing along with seas remaining AOB 5ft. Scas conditions
are likely to continue into midweek for portions of the marine
area.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 520 am edt Sunday...

low pressure has lifted N of the region early this morning. The
wind has shifted to SW and tidal departures have slightly
diminished, and no flooding is expected with the next high tide,
which is the lower astronomical tide. The wind is expected to
become sse today and increase tonight, and this could help to
produce minor flooding during the higher astronomical tide
tonight, primarily along the bay-side of the md ERN shore, and
the tidal potomac and bay adjacent to the NRN neck.

A high risk of rip currents will continue today for the NRN beaches,
with a moderate risk for the SRN beaches. Dangerous shorebreak will
continue from chincoteague to ocean city.

Equipment
As of 320 pm edt Saturday...

kdox radar is inoperable due to a failure of the motor. All
parts will not arrive until Tuesday july 24. Return to service
is unknown at this time.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... Flash flood watch through this evening for vaz064-075>078-
084>086-517>522.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 pm edt Monday for anz630>632-634-
650-652-654.

Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 7 pm edt
Monday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Tmg mrd
short term... Tmg wrs
long term... Bms
aviation... Tmg
marine... Ajz
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44089 26 mi58 min 75°F5 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 27 mi40 min SE 15 G 19 79°F 82°F1010.6 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 31 mi52 min SSE 6 G 11 79°F 75°F1012.4 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 33 mi46 min SSE 13 G 17 80°F 77°F1010.8 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 41 mi38 min SSE 14 G 19 79°F 1008.9 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi40 min 74°F 80°F1011.7 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 44 mi46 min ESE 20 G 24 1010.3 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 48 mi52 min SSE 8 G 11 79°F 78°F1009.4 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 49 mi46 min ESE 5.1 G 8 74°F 1010.9 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA11 mi34 minSE 13 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F78°F82%1011.1 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD18 mi34 minSE 9 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F75°F79%1011.4 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE17
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SE12S12SW15
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SW7SW9SW5S4SE5SE6SE7SE14SE13
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1 day agoSE7SE10SE11E10E10SE11E8E11E8E10E10E10SE10SE9E6E9E10E12E13E13E13
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2 days agoE8E9E10SE7SE11S8SE6E5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4CalmCalmCalmE4E8E7E6NE9

Tide / Current Tables for Pocomoke City, Pocomoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Pocomoke City
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:07 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:39 AM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:00 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.61.30.90.60.30.20.30.60.91.21.41.41.31.10.80.50.30.20.30.60.91.31.6

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:23 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:48 AM EDT     -0.67 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:05 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:34 AM EDT     0.36 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:59 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:45 PM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:03 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:11 PM EDT     0.62 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1-0.2-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.3-00.20.30.30.2-0-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.4-00.30.50.60.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.