Sunday, August19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Girdletree, MD

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Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 7:51PM Sunday August 19, 2018 10:10 AM EDT (14:10 UTC) Moonrise 2:00PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ650 Coastal Waters From Fenwick Island De To Chincoteague Va Out 20 Nm- 946 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Rest of today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N early this afternoon, then becoming ne 10 to 15 kt late. Seas around 3 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers late this morning, then a chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening. A chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 4 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 946 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A frontal boundary sags south across the waters later today then stalls near the virginia and north carolina border Monday. The front then lifts back north as a warm front Monday night and Tuesday. A cold front crosses the area on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Girdletree, MD
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location: 38.09, -75.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 191401
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1001 am edt Sun aug 19 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will slowly drop across the area today into Monday
morning. The front will stall over north carolina Monday into
Monday night, before lifting back north as a warm front on
Tuesday. A cold front crosses the area on Wednesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1000 am edt Sunday...

mostly cloudy across most of the area this morning, and partly
to mostly sunny over the NW piedmont. Warm and humid with
temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s and dewpoints in the
low mid 70s.

Another threat for showers tstms will develop again this aftn
into this evening, as the sfc cold front gradually drops into
and acrs the region. Coverage will be greatest acrs the srn
half of the area, closer to the boundary, with some additional
sea-breeze convection over the md ERN shore. Sky will generally
be partly sunny today, with MAX temps ranging thru the 80s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday night
As of 400 am edt Sunday...

cold front will stall just south of the area during mon, with
chances for showers isolated tstms mainly over SRN SW areas.

Surface winds will be NE or E for much of the region on mon,
which will limit temp rise in many areas. On the lower md
eastern shore, temps could remain in the upper 70s along the
coast, if the NE flow is strong enough. Have currently forecast
around 80 lower 80s. Otherwise, expect MAX temps to mainly be
in the lower to mid 80s.

Cold front will lift back northward and acrs the region as a
warm front Mon night and tue, as stronger surface low organizes
in the upper midwest, and moves NE acrs the great lakes by
tue evening. Chances for sctd showers tstms will increase again
over the entire region late Mon night thru tue. Lows Mon night
70 to 75, and highs on Tue in the mid to upper 80s. Pcpn chances
will start to decrease fm west to east Tue night, as a cold
front starts to approach fm the wnw.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 315 pm edt Saturday...

a cold front will approach the CWA Wednesday morning, quickly moving
east through the region Wednesday afternoon. Chance pops were drawn
in for the potential of pre-frontal showers tstms... However, a
morning or mid-day FROPA will not allow convection to take advantage
of diurnal heating. The 12z GFS is most impressed with rain chances,
followed by a modest euro and canadian solution. Drier weather
settles in Thursday, with only slight chance pops remaining across
nc. 1024 mb high moves east over the mid-atlantic Thu pm thru sun
next weekend, keeping a majority of the area dry. The only portion
of our area with marginal rain chances will be in nc, where ridging
will be weaker. Most outdoor plans should fare well late next week
into the weekend.

Temperatures will remain warm Wednesday but cool down noticeably,
starting Thursday, into the low-middle 80s. Dew points will
also drop into the low-middle 60s, helping to make conditions
feel quite comfortable for mid august. Overnight lows will range
from the low- mid 60s inland to near 70 degf along the coast.

Aviation 14z Sunday through Thursday
As of 300 am edt Sunday...

showers isolated tstms moving ewrd thru extrm SRN SE va and ne
nc early this morning, in advance of a cold front. Otherwise,
conditions at TAF sites ranged fmVFR to ifr due to stratus in
sw flow or heavier showers or tstms. MVFR ifr CIGS will still be
a possibility at all TAF sites thru 12-14z this morning, as the
front drops slowly sse acrs the area. But, pcpn will be ending
or moving off the coast also.

MainlyVFR conditions expected at all TAF sites after 14-15z,
and should continue this aftn into this evening. However, the
cold front will be sinking slowly thru the area, and could
trigger more sctd showers and tstms. The best chance will be
over the SRN third of the region, so just have vcsh at
orf phf ecg.

Outlook... The front drops south of the region mon, with a
chance of showers tstms mainly across SRN portions of the area.

Unsettled conditions will continue thru Tue night, as the front
lifts back northward as a warm front. A stronger cold front
moves across the region on wed.

Marine
As of 230 am edt Sunday...

no headlines expected despite a frontal passage and wind shift to
the nne. The boundary slips south across the waters tonight then
stalls washes out near the va-nc border Monday.

W-sw winds become n-ne AOB 15 kts this aftrn across the NRN half of
the marine area as the boundary sags s. Models now showing a bit of
a nrly surge across the NRN coastal waters tonight Mon as high pres
tracks north of the area. Winds stay blo 20 kts with 3-4 ft seas.

Farther south, winds stay AOB 15 kts with seas avgg arnd 3 ft.

Ese winds Mon night Tue become SW again by mid week due to a return
flow around the offshore high. Winds seas remain blo SCA levels.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tmg
near term... Tmg ajz
short term... Tmg wrs
long term... Eri
aviation... Tmg
marine... Mpr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 22 mi46 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 80°F 73°F1012.6 hPa
44089 23 mi40 min 76°F3 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 37 mi40 min NNW 6 G 8.9 80°F 84°F1013.3 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 38 mi40 min WSW 4.1 G 6 81°F 83°F1012.8 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 43 mi80 min Calm G 0 80°F 78°F3 ft1012.1 hPa (+1.6)

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA12 mi16 minVar 510.00 miA Few Clouds84°F75°F77%1012.4 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD19 mi16 minNNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F73°F79%1012.7 hPa
Ocean City, Ocean City Municipal Airport, MD20 mi17 minN 010.00 miFair82°F73°F74%1012.5 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS8S9S11S12S13S15S12S12--S13S10S8S6S7SW8SW9SW6SW6SW6SW7SW6SW9W10
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2 days ago6W5S7SW7S8S10S8S7S6S6S5SW6SW6SW7SW6S5S4SW6SW6W4CalmS4SW3SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Assacorkin Island, Maryland
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Assacorkin Island
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Sun -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:47 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM EDT     0.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:48 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:03 PM EDT     0.39 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:03 AM EDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:49 AM EDT     0.35 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 10:33 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:04 PM EDT     -0.69 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:01 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:38 PM EDT     0.52 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:48 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.