Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beards Fork, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 8:40PM Monday May 29, 2017 11:16 AM EDT (15:16 UTC) Moonrise 9:10AMMoonset 11:32PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beards Fork, WV
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location: 38.09, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 291402
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
1002 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure passes south of the area today. Cold fronts cross
Tuesday and Wednesday. High pressure Thursday. A low brings a
front into the area Friday. Unsettled again next weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 10 am Monday... Clouds have been pushing out from west to
east this morning as the cold front moves across the region.

Where the clouds have cleared we have seen temps rising a bit
faster than previously forecast, so went ahead and updated to to
better align with current obs and trends. Depending on how much
cu we see develop this afternoon, high temperatures may jump
just a couple of degrees more than the previous forecast so have
adjusted accordingly.

As of 7 am Monday...

fcst on track with the last of the showers in the mountains,
enhanced by upslope flow.

As of 330 am Monday...

the last of the showers crossing northern WV early this
morning, will exit the mountains around dawn, or shortly
thereafter, as the causative cold front moves through. Today
will bring dry weather in the wake of the front, with high
pressure passing to the south of the area this afternoon.

The drop in dew points lags behind the front, which was
crossing the ohio river early this morning. Values are not
forecast to settle into the 50s until this afternoon, when the
mixing layer climbs to at least h8.

Dew points climb again tonight, in southwest flow ahead of
another cold front approaching from the west. There should be
just enough flow, along with some clouds, to prevent much fog
from forming, except perhaps in the hollows of the southern wv
coal fields. Timing of the front gives rise to the chance for
showers over the middle ohio valley by dawn Tuesday, mainly
north of hts.

Temperatures close to previous package and latest guidance
blends, with values at least leveling off ahead of the cold
front tonight.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
As of 330 am Monday...

unsettled weather remains Tuesday and Wednesday. Upper low to linger
across great lakes region in the short term period, with a series of
cold fronts, one on Tuesday, followed by another on Wednesday.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible during this
period as fronts traverse the region. Overall threat for severe
weather with these fronts remains low.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
As of 330 am Monday...

after a brief break in the precipitation on Thursday, another front
will move south into the region Friday into Saturday, before
stalling out briefly and lifting back north late in the weekend as
another low moves into the ohio valley region. High moisture content
air will surge back into the area, with dew points rising into the
mid to upper 60s. This looks to be a period of heavy showers and
thunderstorms, and will need to be monitored for potential water
issues.

Aviation 14z Monday through Friday
As of 7 am Monday...

showers will quit in the mountains first couple of hours of
forecast, with little aviation effects. There is patchy MVFR
stratocu that is more likely to produce ceilings 12-14z compared
with earlier this morning, on account of the heating-induced
morning CU effect. The mixing layer deepens later this morning,
mixing out the MVFR ceilings, and the mixing layer will become
deep this afternoon, to about h8, pushing CU bases up to about 6
kft.

Vfr continues tonight as a cold front approaches. Its associated
clouds and gradient flow should preclude fog, save perhaps for
the hollows of the coal fields of southern wv. Showers ahead of
the cold front may reach the middle ohio valley, mainly north
of hts, by dawn Tuesday.

Surface flow will be light west to southwest today, and then
light south tonight, while light to moderate west to northwest
flow aloft this morning becomes light west to southwest for this
afternoon and tonight.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Tuesday...

forecast confidence: medium to high.

Alternate scenarios: timing of MVFR morning CU may vary, but
confidence is high in high CU bases this afternoon. Valley fog
is not entirely out of the question tonight.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
edt 1hrly 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
crw consistency h m h h h h h h h h h m
hts consistency m m h h h h h h h h h m
bkw consistency h m m m h h h h h h h m
ekn consistency m h m m h h h h h h h m
pkb consistency m m h h h h h h h h h m
ckb consistency h m m m h h h h h h h m
after 12z Tuesday...

ifr possible in isolated showers and storms Tuesday and
Wednesday, and in fog Thursday morning.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Trm sl
near term... Trm mpk
short term... Sl
long term... Sl
aviation... Trm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV21 mi25 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F55°F63%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from BKW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4CalmSW6SW6SW7SW7W8W12W7W4SW4SW4SW4SW7W5SW3W4W4SW5SW4W5W6W125
1 day agoW15
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W106W9SW9W8W7W8SW4CalmS5SW3SW5S4S4SW3SW4CalmSW4SW4S6W7SW7SW4
2 days agoW15
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W10W8W10W6W6SW3CalmS4CalmS3SW5SW6SW6SW5SW7SW4SW7SW6W7W9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.