Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beards Fork, WV
April 29, 2024 6:21 PM EDT (22:21 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:28 AM Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 12:23 AM Moonset 9:27 AM |
Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 291752 AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 152 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains through today keeping conditions mostly dry with hot, summerlike temperatures this afternoon. A cold front approaches from the west Tuesday morning.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 145 PM Monday...
Dry conditions will continue for the most part tonight as a surface high pressure slides east of the Appalachians. This will allow a cold front to approach from the northwest early Tuesday morning.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible especially Tuesday afternoon and evening with the frontal passage and the aid of diurnal heating, available moisture and some deep layered shear. Thunderstorms are not expected to become severe at this time.
However, tall skinny soundings with PWATs about 1.5 inches (2 standard deviation from climatology) suggests heavy downpours will be possible on Tuesday. WPC has painted the entire area under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall for Tuesday.
The front briefly stalls across our north Tuesday evening, before lifting north as a warm front.
Lows tonight will generally be in the mid to lower 60s, except mid 50s over the northeast mountains. Abundant cloudiness, increasing winds, and cooling showers will keep afternoon temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s for Tuesday.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 152 PM Monday...
High pressure, surface and aloft will provide hot, but mainly dry conditions across the area on Thursday. By Friday, showers and storms will be on the increase out ahead of an approaching front as surface low lifts north into Canada. This front will be slowly move into the area through Saturday, with a southern stream shortwave moving through the area over the weekend, providing additional rounds of showers and storms. This should also provide cooler conditions over the weekend, as compared to the hot and humid conditions expected Thursday into Friday.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1158 AM Monday...
High pressure, surface and aloft will provide hot, but mainly dry conditions across the area on Thursday. By Friday, showers and storms will be on the increase out ahead of an approaching front as surface low lifts north into Canada. This front will be slowly move into the area through Saturday, with a southern stream shortwave moving through the area over the weekend, providing additional rounds of showers and storms. This should also provide cooler conditions over the weekend, as compared to the hot and humid conditions expected Thursday into Friday.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 142 PM Monday...
Widespread VFR conditions prevailing through tonight as a high pressure moves east of the area. A cold front approaches from the northwest early Tuesday morning, with showers arriving to the Mid OH valley by 12-13Z. Precipitation will start falling from an upper deck keeping VFR conditions. MVFR ceilings will develop along and west of the OH River by 16-18Z Tuesday afternoon as the cold front moves through. Heavier showers and thunderstorms may also develop during the afternoon and evening, during the peak of instability. Uncertain whether MVFR/IFR conditions will spread east to affect other terminals at this time.
Winds may gust between 13-16kts at times this afternoon due to mixing ,but this will mostly be observed at the western sites of HTS, PKB and any smaller terminals across SE Ohio. Winds become near calm by 23Z or so.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of MVFR conditions at western terminals may vary from forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EDT 1HRLY 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z TUESDAY...
IFR conditions possible in showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening. IFR conditions possible due to dense fog Wednesday morning.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 152 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure remains through today keeping conditions mostly dry with hot, summerlike temperatures this afternoon. A cold front approaches from the west Tuesday morning.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 145 PM Monday...
Dry conditions will continue for the most part tonight as a surface high pressure slides east of the Appalachians. This will allow a cold front to approach from the northwest early Tuesday morning.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible especially Tuesday afternoon and evening with the frontal passage and the aid of diurnal heating, available moisture and some deep layered shear. Thunderstorms are not expected to become severe at this time.
However, tall skinny soundings with PWATs about 1.5 inches (2 standard deviation from climatology) suggests heavy downpours will be possible on Tuesday. WPC has painted the entire area under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall for Tuesday.
The front briefly stalls across our north Tuesday evening, before lifting north as a warm front.
Lows tonight will generally be in the mid to lower 60s, except mid 50s over the northeast mountains. Abundant cloudiness, increasing winds, and cooling showers will keep afternoon temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s for Tuesday.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 152 PM Monday...
High pressure, surface and aloft will provide hot, but mainly dry conditions across the area on Thursday. By Friday, showers and storms will be on the increase out ahead of an approaching front as surface low lifts north into Canada. This front will be slowly move into the area through Saturday, with a southern stream shortwave moving through the area over the weekend, providing additional rounds of showers and storms. This should also provide cooler conditions over the weekend, as compared to the hot and humid conditions expected Thursday into Friday.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1158 AM Monday...
High pressure, surface and aloft will provide hot, but mainly dry conditions across the area on Thursday. By Friday, showers and storms will be on the increase out ahead of an approaching front as surface low lifts north into Canada. This front will be slowly move into the area through Saturday, with a southern stream shortwave moving through the area over the weekend, providing additional rounds of showers and storms. This should also provide cooler conditions over the weekend, as compared to the hot and humid conditions expected Thursday into Friday.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 142 PM Monday...
Widespread VFR conditions prevailing through tonight as a high pressure moves east of the area. A cold front approaches from the northwest early Tuesday morning, with showers arriving to the Mid OH valley by 12-13Z. Precipitation will start falling from an upper deck keeping VFR conditions. MVFR ceilings will develop along and west of the OH River by 16-18Z Tuesday afternoon as the cold front moves through. Heavier showers and thunderstorms may also develop during the afternoon and evening, during the peak of instability. Uncertain whether MVFR/IFR conditions will spread east to affect other terminals at this time.
Winds may gust between 13-16kts at times this afternoon due to mixing ,but this will mostly be observed at the western sites of HTS, PKB and any smaller terminals across SE Ohio. Winds become near calm by 23Z or so.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of MVFR conditions at western terminals may vary from forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EDT 1HRLY 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z TUESDAY...
IFR conditions possible in showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening. IFR conditions possible due to dense fog Wednesday morning.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBKW RALEIGH COUNTY MEMORIAL,WV | 21 sm | 30 min | WNW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 41°F | 23% | 30.00 |
Charleston, WV,
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