Saturday, August19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beards Fork, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 8:12PM Saturday August 19, 2017 2:31 PM EDT (18:31 UTC) Moonrise 3:15AMMoonset 5:47PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beards Fork, WV
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location: 38.09, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 191740
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
140 pm edt Sat aug 19 2017

Synopsis
A weak front today brings a shower or storm to northern areas.

High pressure Sunday through Tuesday. Strong cold front mid
week. Cooler and drier for the end of the week.

Near term through tonight
As of 945 am Saturday...

forecast remains mostly on-track and just made some minor
changes to sky cover based on current metsat and obs. Becoming a
little concerned for the risk of severe weather across our
northern forecast zones this afternoon. Upper trough swings
through this afternoon through early this evening, but plenty of
dry air in the mid-levels will likely hinder the development of
convection. With strong diurnal heating, decent remaining low
level moisture and cool temps aloft causing mid-level lapse
rates around 7c km, we may be able to produce a few updrafts
that could punch through the capping layer. Any development will
likely be on the northern fringe of our CWA and storms could end
up staying well off to our north in pa, but will have to
continue to monitor and see where convection kicks off this
afternoon out ahead the approaching upper trough.

As of 625 am Saturday...

updated to increase cirrus canopy this morning per
satellite obs.

As of 300 am Saturday...

models have a short wave and weakening cold front crossing the area
later today. Models indicate only a modest return flow of moisture
ahead of this front, and more importantly weakening support aloft.

The forecast soundings are rather unimpressive for instability, but
cannot rule out a summer Sun to help destabilize things a bit this
afternoon. Will paint a chance of showers and possibly a storm
across the north later today with this feature, as this will be the
area of best support and moisture pooling. Elsewhere, will keep rain
free.

Any convection will rapidly decrease this evening with the loss
of heating and as high pressure builds in tonight. Temperatures
will be slightly above normal today, but not that humid.

Short term Sunday through Tuesday night
As of 235 am Saturday...

return flow sets up to bring the high dewpoints, which really
had not fallen off much with the last cold front on Friday, to
more tropical type levels again, and temperatures back towards
90f in the lowlands through Tuesday. Some isolated pops exist
during the short term in the mountains with generally zonal
flow aloft. This will be the last of the heat in the foreseeable
future with the next cold front pushing into the forecast area
Tuesday night.

Expecting a cumulus field to develop in the daytime heating on
Monday for the eclipse. Should be more Sun than clouds, but
cannot foresee a completely clear sky with this issuance. Cloud
coverage could be a bit more over the mountains.

Long term Wednesday through Friday
As of 235 am Saturday...

deep open wave pushes through the great lakes with an airmass
changing cold front from Wednesday through the end of the week.

Dewpoints should be back into the 50s in the canadian airmass
and lowlands largely in the mid to upper 70s for the lowlands
Thursday and Friday. Overall trough pattern looks to persist
over the eastern CONUS going beyond day 7.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
As of 135 pm Saturday...

afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible across
northern sites as an upper trough swings through. Otherwise,VFR
conditions are expected. Confidence is still too low at this
time to put any showers or storms on-site, but pkb, ckb and ekn
may see brief ifr conditions this afternoon into this evening.

Tonight... Clouds and showers exit northeastern WV as high
pressure builds in. Under mostly clear skies and near calm
winds, look for widespread ifr river valley fog from around
midnight through early Sunday morning.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 18z Sunday...

forecast confidence: medium.

Alternate scenarios: showers and storms may impact pkb, ckb, and
ekn and brief ifr conditions are possible. Also, timing,
density, and location of fog tonight could vary.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05
edt 1hrly 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h l
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h h l
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h l
ekn consistency m m m m h h h h h h m l
pkb consistency h h m m h h h h h h h l
ckb consistency m m m m m m h h h h h l
after 18z Sunday...

dense river valley fog possible each morning.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Jmv 26
near term... Jmv mpk
short term... 26
long term... 26
aviation... Mpk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV21 mi40 minSW 710.00 miFair78°F61°F56%1015 hPa

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Last 24hrW8NW8W6W7SW6SW7SW6W4CalmCalmS3S3SW3SW4SW4SW3SW3SW3W3SW3W64CalmSW7
1 day agoW7SW7SW74W55SW3S4S6SW7SW5SW6S6SW3S4SW6SW7SW9SW8SW8S6W8W7W9
2 days agoNW4N8CalmN3CalmSW6S5S4CalmCalmCalmS3S3S4S3SW4CalmCalmSW4SW6W4W7W6SW9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.