Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beards Fork, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:44PM Sunday March 26, 2017 5:13 AM EDT (09:13 UTC) Moonrise 5:34AMMoonset 5:18PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beards Fork, WV
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location: 38.09, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 260804
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
404 am edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
A cold front passes today with showers and storms expected.

Another system Monday night into Tuesday and again late in the
work week.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 225 am Sunday...

a cold front moves through the area today bringing showers and
thunderstorms. While buoyancy is on the weak side of the
spectrum, wind shear is favorable for rotating updrafts in the
storms that do form which lends to some potential for severe
storms this afternoon. The thin CAPE profile and saturated
column will keep storms low topped, but rainfall should be quite
efficient as pw's are in the 90th percentile for this time of
year in the 1.25" range. 1 hour FFG values support 1.25" while 3
hour FFG values are 1.5 - 2.5" which probably will not be
exceeded today though over north central WV a FFG minimum exists
and has a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from the wpc.

Short term /Monday through Wednesday/
As of 350 am Sunday...

precipitation should be tapering off early Monday, however with
us still being in the warm sector never have pops going
completely dry before increasing again late Monday and Monday
night as another system approaches from the sw. This one not
quite as strong a the one we will see today into tonight, but
still enough for showers and thunderstorms. The GFS does show a
bit of a negative tilt to the shortwave trough. These showers
and storms should come to an end Tuesday night, with a dry day
expected Wednesday. Temperatures will run above normal through
the period.

Long term /Wednesday night through Saturday/
As of 350 am Sunday...

details still pretty murky as models struggle to agree on a
system late in the week. Both GFS and ECMWF show a surface low
and closed 500mb low in the area on Friday, but have quite
different evolutions of this system. With both showing something
do have likely pops on Friday based on a consensus blend.

High temperatures for the end of the week should be near to
just above normal, while lows will be decently above normal with
clouds around.

Aviation /08z Sunday through Thursday/
As of 235 am Sunday...

generallyVFR today despite a cold front moving through. Could
see some ifr form near/under thunderstorms.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 06z Monday...

forecast confidence: medium
alternate scenarios: may need tempo ifr in storms today..

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Date Sun 03/26/17
utc 1hrly 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
edt 1hrly 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h m m l
hts consistency h h h h h h l h m l l l
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h m l l
ekn consistency h h h h h h h h h m m l
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h l l l
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h m m l
after 06z Monday...

ifr fog and low ceilings possible Sunday night as the rain
ends. Brief ifr possible in thunderstorms Monday night and
Tuesday.

Equipment
Radar site krlx has a faulty component that is leading to higher
reflectivities than what should be observed. A part is on order
and will be replaced as soon as it arrives. Keep this in mind
today since there is some potential for severe weather.

Rlx watches/warnings/advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Jw
near term... Jw
short term... Mz
long term... Mz
aviation... Jw
equipment... Jw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV21 mi22 minSSE 610.00 miFair55°F44°F67%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from BKW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5CalmS4S5SW64W9CalmCalmS5E44SE8SE8SE8SE10SE9S8SE3S7SE8S9SE6SE6
1 day agoSE6SE8SE5S6S5W9W10
G15
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SW9SW5SW4S3S5SW8SW6SW8S8S7S4S5
2 days agoSE6SE8SE10
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G15
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.