Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beards Fork, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:36PM Friday May 24, 2019 8:49 AM EDT (12:49 UTC) Moonrise 12:01AMMoonset 10:07AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beards Fork, WV
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location: 38.09, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 241023
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
623 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
Weak cold front drifts south this morning and lifts back north
tonight. Another cold front will remain near the area Saturday
night through Monday, before returning north as a warm front.

Near term through tonight
As of 615 am Friday...

made some adjustments to the forecast this morning in the pops,
but all changes were relatively minor. Expansion further north
for the slights across the west over the next 12 hours.

As of 210 am Friday...

tough to pick out the front this early Friday morning, but is
probably near the ohio river based on current wind directions in
southeast ohio and west central west virginia. This feature
should drift southward and settle over the southern part of the
state today, which is where the chances for showers storms
resides today this evening. The rapid update guidance numbers
brings in a cooler day today with front sitting south, but there
remain a couple outliers trying to push upper 80s for portions
of the lowlands. Some minor bust potential here dependent on the
the front location.

On the synoptic scale, the southeastern us upper closed low
dominates the pattern, but there is enough flow aloft pushing
the aforementioned front through. Front will come back northeast
as a warm front tonight, and this warrants low end pops
returning late for showers. Sufficient moisture layer depth is
an issue, however.

Short term Saturday through Monday
As of 225 am Friday...

a high pressure system on Saturday will give way to a cold front
by Saturday night. This front will flirt with the area through
Monday, before returning northward as a warm front. This will
provide periods of showers and thunderstorms.

Long term Monday night through Thursday
As of 225 am Friday...

an upper level ridge will build over the region for Tuesday and
Wednesday, allowing for 20 c temperatures at 850 mb. This could
allow temperatures to reach into the lower 90s for much of the
lowlands.

A cold front or series of cold fronts will then effect the area
for late in the work week. There are considerable differences
between the models in the intensity of the cooler air behind
these fronts, leading to some uncertainty at this time.

Aviation 10z Friday through Tuesday
As of 615 am Friday...

some MVFR stratus clouds developed overnight and will expect a
gradual lifting of this layer over the next few hours. Same
holds true where fog tried to creep into crw but was likely
inhibited by the aforementioned stratus. There are
convection storm chances today, but they are low and only expect
isolated activity, and should only be a potential issue for the
hts crw bkw line. Mountain valley fog expected tonight, ckb to
crw and east into the mountain valleys with a clearing sky and
calm wind.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Saturday...

forecast confidence: high.

Alternate scenarios: ceilings toVFR timing may vary this
morning.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
edt 1hrly 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
crw consistency h h h m h h h h h h h h
hts consistency h m h h h h h h h h h h
bkw consistency l h h m m h h h h h h h
ekn consistency h m h h h h h h h h h h
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h h
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h h
after 12z Saturday...

brief ifr possible in afternoon and evening storms Saturday and
Sunday.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Rpy 26
near term... 26
short term... Rpy
long term... Rpy
aviation... 26


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beckley, Raleigh County Memorial Airport, WV21 mi59 minWNW 410.00 miLight Rain67°F64°F91%1019.7 hPa

Wind History from BKW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW46W9W13W14
G19
W43SW7W12
G19
W14W12
G15
W8SW4SW5SW5W7W5W4W3W4W5W5W4NW4
1 day agoS14
G20
SE8
G15
E11
G18
SE10SE11
G16
SE10SE8SE9S7S7SE7SE7SE9SE9SE8SE8SE7SE7SE6SE5SE3SE4S4Calm
2 days agoN35N5N5NW5N4N8N6N6NE6N5N6NE3E3CalmSE3SE6SE7SE10
G18
SE9
G15
SE10
G19
SE11
G18
SE9
G23
SE8
G17

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.