Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 12:57 PM   Moonset 1:49 AM

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PZZ540 Coastal Waters From Point Arena To Point Reyes California Out To 10 Nm- 839 Pm Pdt Thu May 16 2024
Tonight - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt late this evening and overnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 19 seconds. Fri - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 19 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the morning. Fri night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 19 seconds. Sat - E wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 19 seconds. Sat night - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 4 seconds, nw 8 ft at 14 seconds and sw 3 ft at 18 seconds. Sun - NW wind 15 to 20 kt, rising to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 ft, building to 8 to 11 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 7 seconds, nw 8 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 18 seconds. Sun night - NW wind 25 to 30 kt, easing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Mon - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Mon night - NW wind 20 to 25 kt, easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8 to 10 ft. Tue - NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Tue night - NW wind 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.

PZZ500 839 Pm Pdt Thu May 16 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
a surface high over the eastern pacific continues to move eastward towards california. Northwesterly winds are strengthening as a result, particularly over the northernmost zones and outer waters. Seas will build to very rough over the outer waters through the early part of next week.

FXUS66 KMTR 170416 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 916 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

New UPDATE, MARINE

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1227 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

Quiet weather continues with a persistent marine layer through the weekend. Calm and cloudy mornings will transition to breezy and clear afternoons. A weak cold front will move through next week, bringing stronger westerly winds and cooler inland temperatures.

UPDATE
Issued at 855 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

Stratus quo this evening across the Bay Area and Central Coast.
Profilers put the marine layer around 2000 feet and the Oakland sounding agrees with the depth around 2100 feet. A quick check of pressure gradients around the region shows the onshore gradient has weakened since yesterday, but regardless it's still over 3mb.
Latest satellite fog product shows the persistent onshore flow is allow the marine layer to make it's nightly march inland. Current forecast remains on track for tonight. As noted below, in addition to clouds patchy drizzle will once again be possible. Hi-res model guidance generates a few hundredths along the coast, which is usually a sign of coastal drizzle.

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1227 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

Stratus is continuing to clear. SW flow is delaying the clearing in Santa Cruz, Marin, and Sonoma counties, but there should be a few hours of sunshine before the next round of clouds develop this evening. The marine layer is quite deep, with the Ft. Ord profiler showing marine air from the surface to roughly 2,200 ft. This is quite a bit deeper than models suggest, which has led to some issues with the forecast. Not only are the deeper clouds penetrating further inland than expected, some of the thicker cloud decks have been producing measurable drizzle and light rain in Monterey, Santa Cruz and Napa counties early this morning. The forecast was adjusted to show a 15% chance of rain and 0.01" QPF for these areas tomorrow, as there is no synoptic reason for the marine layer to compress very much.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1227 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

The same pattern will continue through the weekend with cloudy mornings and clear afternoons. The jet stream will take a dip south next week, causing a transition to a troughing pattern early next week. This pattern looks to persist through the week and will bring a few weak cold fronts, cooler temperatures, and breezy NW winds. Coastal drizzle may become a bit more prominent at times as well. High temperatures will reamin in the 60s along the coast, but will cool to the 70s inland.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 430 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

Relatively light westerly surface winds will continue across our area, with the onshore flow producing another night of MVFR/IFR stratus ceilings persisting through the late morning hours on Friday, with mostly VFR expected Friday afternoon.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR conditions currently will eventually give way to MVFR/IFR with low stratus clouds gradually moving inland over the terminal by late this afternoon and early evening tonight and persisting through the overnight hours into late morning tomorrow. Clouds will clear by early afternoon Friday with VFR through the remainder of the TAF period.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Current VFR conditions will drop to IFR later this evening as the marine boundary stratus moves inland with relatively light westerly surface winds persisting through the forecast period.

MARINE
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 855 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

A surface high over the Eastern Pacific continues to move eastward towards California. Northwesterly winds are strengthening as a result, particularly over the northernmost zones and outer waters. Seas will build to very rough over the outer waters through the early part of next week.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Saturday for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

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Blakes Landing
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Thu -- 02:48 AM PDT     1.94 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:48 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:59 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM PDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:56 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:33 PM PDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:09 PM PDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Blakes Landing, Tomales Bay, California, Tide feet

Point Reyes
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Thu -- 02:33 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:48 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:11 AM PDT     0.43 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:00 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:35 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:39 AM PDT     -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:57 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:39 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:57 PM PDT     0.80 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:54 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Reyes, California Current, knots

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