Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Whitehaven, MD
May 21, 2024 10:04 PM EDT (02:04 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:44 AM Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 5:39 PM Moonset 3:25 AM |
ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 734 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Tonight - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun - NW winds 5 kt - .becoming s. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms through the night.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 734 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will build over the waters tonight. A strong cold front will approach the waters Wednesday into Thursday. This frontal system will settle south of the area Friday before retreating back toward the waters this weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday.
high pressure will build over the waters tonight. A strong cold front will approach the waters Wednesday into Thursday. This frontal system will settle south of the area Friday before retreating back toward the waters this weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday.
FXUS61 KAKQ 220026 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 826 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure shifts offshore this evening. A summerlike pattern develops by the middle of the week as high pressure settles off the Southeast coast. A cold front approaches from the northwest Thursday with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms to end the week and into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key message:
- Quiet overnight with patchy fog possible once again, mainly E of I-95.
The latest analysis indicates ~1017 mb sfc high pressure centered along the Delmarva and Carolina coast, with an upper level ridge extending ENE from the Gulf of Mexico to the NC coastal plain. There is a weak trough aloft not too far to the W, across the central and southern Appalachians, but this will have little affect of the local area overnight. Temperatures are several degrees warmer than 24 hrs ago (along with a another day of drying from earlier today). Still, the pattern w/ sfc high pressure slowly drifting off the coast and a light SE flow will be conducive to another night with at least patchy fog, primarily further east and SE tonight given that the high has shifted offshore. Will go with patchy fog especially SE and south central VA, NE NC and the Eastern Shore. Lows generally dropping back into the upper 50s/lower 60s, with some mid 50s over the interior sections of SE VA and across the eastern shore.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 330 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Summerlike and more humid for Wed and Thursday with temperatures close to 90 each day.
- Chances for storms later Thursday into Thursday evening. A few of these storms may be strong to severe.
High pressure settles off the coast by Wednesday, leading to south to southwest low level flow. This will allow the surge of warmer temperatures and higher humidity levels across the area.
Despite temps approaching 90, it looks tough for any storms to develop given the ridge axis over the region. The HRRR and HighResFV3 suggest storms may develop over northern VA late Wed afternoon then perhaps brush by the far northern part of the forecast area Wed evening as the showers/storms diminish. Have opted to include a slight chance for this time period but most likely it will stay dry.
Scattered showers and storms are expected to develop as a cold front approaches from the NW on Thursday. These will most likely form later in the day (say after 3 or 4 pm) and then continue to the coast by later Thu evening. With the ridge breaking down somewhat, stronger mid level flow of 40 kt will move across the area during the afternoon. This stronger mid level flow combined will help to give 30 kt of deep shear. The kinematics combined with favorable thermodynamics (MLCAPE 1000-1500 J/KG) may allow for some localized severe storms especially if we can see the multicellular storms develop into a more linear feature. The inverted-V type sounding and some dry air aloft would suggest wind being the main threat from any severe weather. Currently have a marginal risk for severe weather for the majority of the area.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 335 AM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages: - Remaining somewhat unsettled through the weekend with chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
- Forecast trending warmer for the weekend into early next week.
Not too many changes to the underlying thinking for Friday through the Memorial Day weekend. The slow moving cold front which will be gradually moving through the area on Thursday will stall out nearby for the weekend. Meanwhile, the ridge breaks down just enough to allow stronger mid level westerly flow to remain in place across the area through the weekend. Within this westerly flow, the models suggest a series of short waves moving through. Timing of these is impossible to accurately predict at this time, however. As such, there will be chances for showers and storms for much of the weekend. We should be able to better define timing of the best chances as we get closer to the weekend. However, for now, the best chances for showers/storms look to be on Friday and again on Sunday.
The NBM has warmed up temperatures for the weekend, with most places now in the mid to upper 80s. With lack of any significant troughiness across the region, this makes sense and have increased the official forecast to match.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday...
VFR conditions this evening with a mainly clear sky and light winds. Expect patchy fog and perhaps some low CIGs develop after midnight, primarily from near the coast to portions of interior SE VA and NE NC (and the VA-MD eastern shore). In general, the flight restrictions will be less than what occurred last night/early this morning. Will keep RIC VFR all night since the sfc high shifted offshore is not as favorable a pattern for fog in central VA. However, will have some mention of IFR-MVFR restrictions at the other terminals, with the greatest coverage expected from 05-11Z. Fog/low clouds should quickly burn off a little faster Wed morning with all sites VFR by 13-14z. On Wed, winds will be SW 5-10kt, except with some backing of the winds to the SE near the coast in the aftn. Mostly sunny with SCT aftn cumulus.
Outlook...A cold front approaches the area Thu bringing with it a chance for showers/storms along with possible flight restrictions.
The front looks to stall in the vicinity of the region Fri-Sun, bringing daily chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.
MARINE
As of 230 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
-Moderate rip current risk continues for southern beaches today before returning to low for all local coastal waters Wednesday.
-Marine fog will be possible again tonight. Rain and storm chances return beginning Thursday.
High pressure remains across the local area this afternoon creating calm marine conditions. Winds are generally variable at less than 8kt, but should become more southeasterly late this evening before turning southwesterly during the early morning hours. Speeds are forecast to remain between 10-15kt. Seas are 2-3ft with waves in the Bay around 1ft. Another round of low clouds/marine fog may be possible again tonight, particularly along the Atlantic coast.
Visibilities could be reduced to 1-2SM at times.
The area of high pressure begins to slide offshore on Wednesday ahead of an incoming frontal system. High-resolution guidance tries to indicate a brief uptick in southerly wind speeds to sustained 15- 19kt Wednesday afternoon. Rain and storm chances will increase on Thursday with the front's approach, and are forecast to persist each day into early next week as the front stalls out across the region.
Expect the best rain chances to be likely in the afternoon/evening hours. Currently not anticipating any wind issues with the frontal passage itself, though strong erratic gusts will be possible with any stronger thunderstorm during this period. Seas are forecast to remain around 2-3ft.
A moderate risk of rip currents continues for the rest of the day for the southern beaches. Expecting the rip forecast to return to low for all beaches on Wednesday.
HYDROLOGY
As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday...
The Nottoway River at Sebrell remains in minor flood, and has been dropping slower than the previous forecast. Water levels are expected to fall below flood stage by early Wed morning, so the Flood Warning has been extended.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 230 PM EDT Tuesday...
Another round of nuisance to minor tidal flooding is expected to occur tonight, particularly for the middle Chesapeake Bay and tidal portions of the Rappahannock River and southern shore of the tidal Potomac. A Coastal Flood Statement has been issued for these locations for tonight's high tide cycle. A similar pattern will likely continue again later Wednesday as the higher astronomical high tides will remain elevated.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 826 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure shifts offshore this evening. A summerlike pattern develops by the middle of the week as high pressure settles off the Southeast coast. A cold front approaches from the northwest Thursday with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms to end the week and into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key message:
- Quiet overnight with patchy fog possible once again, mainly E of I-95.
The latest analysis indicates ~1017 mb sfc high pressure centered along the Delmarva and Carolina coast, with an upper level ridge extending ENE from the Gulf of Mexico to the NC coastal plain. There is a weak trough aloft not too far to the W, across the central and southern Appalachians, but this will have little affect of the local area overnight. Temperatures are several degrees warmer than 24 hrs ago (along with a another day of drying from earlier today). Still, the pattern w/ sfc high pressure slowly drifting off the coast and a light SE flow will be conducive to another night with at least patchy fog, primarily further east and SE tonight given that the high has shifted offshore. Will go with patchy fog especially SE and south central VA, NE NC and the Eastern Shore. Lows generally dropping back into the upper 50s/lower 60s, with some mid 50s over the interior sections of SE VA and across the eastern shore.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 330 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Summerlike and more humid for Wed and Thursday with temperatures close to 90 each day.
- Chances for storms later Thursday into Thursday evening. A few of these storms may be strong to severe.
High pressure settles off the coast by Wednesday, leading to south to southwest low level flow. This will allow the surge of warmer temperatures and higher humidity levels across the area.
Despite temps approaching 90, it looks tough for any storms to develop given the ridge axis over the region. The HRRR and HighResFV3 suggest storms may develop over northern VA late Wed afternoon then perhaps brush by the far northern part of the forecast area Wed evening as the showers/storms diminish. Have opted to include a slight chance for this time period but most likely it will stay dry.
Scattered showers and storms are expected to develop as a cold front approaches from the NW on Thursday. These will most likely form later in the day (say after 3 or 4 pm) and then continue to the coast by later Thu evening. With the ridge breaking down somewhat, stronger mid level flow of 40 kt will move across the area during the afternoon. This stronger mid level flow combined will help to give 30 kt of deep shear. The kinematics combined with favorable thermodynamics (MLCAPE 1000-1500 J/KG) may allow for some localized severe storms especially if we can see the multicellular storms develop into a more linear feature. The inverted-V type sounding and some dry air aloft would suggest wind being the main threat from any severe weather. Currently have a marginal risk for severe weather for the majority of the area.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 335 AM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages: - Remaining somewhat unsettled through the weekend with chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.
- Forecast trending warmer for the weekend into early next week.
Not too many changes to the underlying thinking for Friday through the Memorial Day weekend. The slow moving cold front which will be gradually moving through the area on Thursday will stall out nearby for the weekend. Meanwhile, the ridge breaks down just enough to allow stronger mid level westerly flow to remain in place across the area through the weekend. Within this westerly flow, the models suggest a series of short waves moving through. Timing of these is impossible to accurately predict at this time, however. As such, there will be chances for showers and storms for much of the weekend. We should be able to better define timing of the best chances as we get closer to the weekend. However, for now, the best chances for showers/storms look to be on Friday and again on Sunday.
The NBM has warmed up temperatures for the weekend, with most places now in the mid to upper 80s. With lack of any significant troughiness across the region, this makes sense and have increased the official forecast to match.
AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday...
VFR conditions this evening with a mainly clear sky and light winds. Expect patchy fog and perhaps some low CIGs develop after midnight, primarily from near the coast to portions of interior SE VA and NE NC (and the VA-MD eastern shore). In general, the flight restrictions will be less than what occurred last night/early this morning. Will keep RIC VFR all night since the sfc high shifted offshore is not as favorable a pattern for fog in central VA. However, will have some mention of IFR-MVFR restrictions at the other terminals, with the greatest coverage expected from 05-11Z. Fog/low clouds should quickly burn off a little faster Wed morning with all sites VFR by 13-14z. On Wed, winds will be SW 5-10kt, except with some backing of the winds to the SE near the coast in the aftn. Mostly sunny with SCT aftn cumulus.
Outlook...A cold front approaches the area Thu bringing with it a chance for showers/storms along with possible flight restrictions.
The front looks to stall in the vicinity of the region Fri-Sun, bringing daily chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.
MARINE
As of 230 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
-Moderate rip current risk continues for southern beaches today before returning to low for all local coastal waters Wednesday.
-Marine fog will be possible again tonight. Rain and storm chances return beginning Thursday.
High pressure remains across the local area this afternoon creating calm marine conditions. Winds are generally variable at less than 8kt, but should become more southeasterly late this evening before turning southwesterly during the early morning hours. Speeds are forecast to remain between 10-15kt. Seas are 2-3ft with waves in the Bay around 1ft. Another round of low clouds/marine fog may be possible again tonight, particularly along the Atlantic coast.
Visibilities could be reduced to 1-2SM at times.
The area of high pressure begins to slide offshore on Wednesday ahead of an incoming frontal system. High-resolution guidance tries to indicate a brief uptick in southerly wind speeds to sustained 15- 19kt Wednesday afternoon. Rain and storm chances will increase on Thursday with the front's approach, and are forecast to persist each day into early next week as the front stalls out across the region.
Expect the best rain chances to be likely in the afternoon/evening hours. Currently not anticipating any wind issues with the frontal passage itself, though strong erratic gusts will be possible with any stronger thunderstorm during this period. Seas are forecast to remain around 2-3ft.
A moderate risk of rip currents continues for the rest of the day for the southern beaches. Expecting the rip forecast to return to low for all beaches on Wednesday.
HYDROLOGY
As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday...
The Nottoway River at Sebrell remains in minor flood, and has been dropping slower than the previous forecast. Water levels are expected to fall below flood stage by early Wed morning, so the Flood Warning has been extended.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 230 PM EDT Tuesday...
Another round of nuisance to minor tidal flooding is expected to occur tonight, particularly for the middle Chesapeake Bay and tidal portions of the Rappahannock River and southern shore of the tidal Potomac. A Coastal Flood Statement has been issued for these locations for tonight's high tide cycle. A similar pattern will likely continue again later Wednesday as the higher astronomical high tides will remain elevated.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 14 mi | 47 min | S 8.9G | 70°F | 75°F | 30.00 | ||
| CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD | 26 mi | 47 min | S 6G | 68°F | 29.99 | |||
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 33 mi | 41 min | SSE 14G | 65°F | 69°F | 1 ft | ||
| COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 33 mi | 47 min | SSE 12G | 69°F | 29.99 | |||
| SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 35 mi | 47 min | SSE 6G | 69°F | 70°F | 29.98 | ||
| OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD | 37 mi | 47 min | SSW 8.9G | 62°F | 63°F | 29.98 | ||
| 44062 - Gooses Reef, MD | 39 mi | 41 min | SSE 14G | 65°F | 1 ft | |||
| LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 41 mi | 47 min | S 8.9G | 69°F | 73°F | 29.99 | ||
| PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 41 mi | 47 min | S 11G | |||||
| 44089 | 43 mi | 39 min | 59°F | 3 ft | ||||
| 44084 | 44 mi | 65 min | 62°F | 62°F | 3 ft | |||
| WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 46 mi | 47 min | S 7G | 62°F | 70°F | 30.01 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD | 16 sm | 70 min | SE 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 64°F | 57°F | 77% | 30.01 | |
| KCGE CAMBRIDGEDORCHESTER RGNL,MD | 23 sm | 39 min | var 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 68°F | 68°F | 100% | 29.99 |
Tide / Current for Whitehaven, Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) HIDE Help
Whitehaven
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:33 AM EDT 2.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:24 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:47 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:16 AM EDT 0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:54 PM EDT 2.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:04 PM EDT 0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:33 AM EDT 2.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:24 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:47 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:16 AM EDT 0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:54 PM EDT 2.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:04 PM EDT 0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Whitehaven, Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.3 |
| 1 am |
| 2.6 |
| 2 am |
| 2.6 |
| 3 am |
| 2.4 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 1.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.4 |
Salisbury
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:03 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:23 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:39 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:52 AM EDT 0.34 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:17 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:44 PM EDT -0.83 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:03 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:23 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:06 AM EDT -0.66 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:39 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:52 AM EDT 0.34 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:17 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:44 PM EDT -0.83 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0 |
| 4 am |
| -0.3 |
| 5 am |
| -0.6 |
| 6 am |
| -0.7 |
| 7 am |
| -0.6 |
| 8 am |
| -0.4 |
| 9 am |
| -0.2 |
| 10 am |
| 0.1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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