Thursday, August17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tonopah, NV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 7:50PM Thursday August 17, 2017 8:18 AM PDT (15:18 UTC) Moonrise 1:44AMMoonset 4:24PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tonopah, NV
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location: 38.27, -117.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Elko, NV
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Fxus65 klkn 170904
afdlkn
area forecast discussion
national weather service elko nv
204 am pdt Thu aug 17 2017

Synopsis Daytime highs will warm back into the 80s and 90s
across the silver state. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
possible south of the highway 50 corridor Thursday, spreading
northward to southern elko county and central lander and eureka
counties by Friday. The possibility of showers and thunderstorms
will continue to increase for northern nevada by the weekend and
into early next week.

Short term Today through Friday. Confidence in the overall
pattern remains high, but Thursday and Friday does present a few
minor issues with regards to lingering moisture across the higher
terrain of central nevada.

Thursday - weak exiting storm system and lingering moisture will
provide an environment for isolated convection across the higher
terrain along and south of highway 50. Coverage will be sparse,
but just enough moisture, lift, and instability for aftn
convection. The hrrr has been consistent with this solution, with
additional support from the shref and gfs. This will quickly
diminish after sunset.

Friday - more of the same, but signals from the models indicate a
better chance and slightly more coverage to the north. In fact,
isolated storm chances will exist for southern end of ruby mtns
and central lander eureka counties. White pine and S SE elko
county will also see a chance for aftn convection. No concerns
for severe weather, as storms should be of garden variety. Gusty
winds, lightning, and brief light mod rain would be the primary
threats. Any convection will quickly diminish with loss of daytime
heating.

Long term Friday night through next Thursday. A slow transition
from west to southwesterly flow aloft will signal a pattern
change for the great basin over the weekend. Models indicate a
closed low developing west of ca Sunday and Monday. Southwest to
south flow ahead of the low will allow deeper monsoon moisture to
return to the great basin region early next week. Showers and
thunderstorms are expected first across northern nye and white
pine counties Saturday along the monsoon moisture surge before
progressing northward Sunday into Monday across northern nevada.

A larger pacific northwest trough is progged to push deeper
moisture eastward with GFS and ECMWF confining convection along
the nv ut border Wednesday, possibly into Thursday depending on
eastward advancement of the trough in the pacific northwest.

Hottest temperatures will occur Saturday and will rise into the
lower to mid 90s. Temperatures moderate early next week with
rising relative humidity and cloud cover expected to suppress
temperatures slightly. High temperatures for much of next week
starting Sunday will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s with lows
generally in the 50s approaching 60.

Winds will remain rather benign before south to southwest winds
increase appreciably Tuesday and Wednesday across central nv as
influence of pacific northwest trough becomes more apparent.

Aviation Vfr expected at all TAF sites through next 24 hrs.

Ktph could see afternoon vcts or an isolated chance of ts
impacting the terminal. There is still a slight chance for vcts at
kely but most of the afternoon showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop south of kely. Gusty, erratic winds from and
brief reductions to MVFR are possible if TS impacts the terminals.

Fire weather Decided to introduce isolated dry thunderstorms
for locations along and south of highway 50. Lingering moisture
associated with a weak weather system exiting the state could
spark a few thunderstorms. Pwat values are 0.5 to 0.6", so any
storms would likely be dry, however coverage will limit any
concern for critical fire weather concerns.

On Friday, moisture will expand a little further north. Isolated
showers storms possible across the higher terrain in central nv,
with isolated dry thunderstorms possible in the valleys and along
the northern fringes of the moisture.

Into the weekend and early next week, coverage expands as moisture
is pulled northward into northern and central nv. This will need
to be watched closely as storms across northern nevada could
initially be dry or hybrid. Chances for convection may linger
into the middle portion of next week.

Lkn watches warnings advisories None.

94 93 93 94


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tonopah, Tonopah Airport, NV15 mi22 minN 910.00 miFair69°F41°F36%1016 hPa

Wind History from TPH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4SE6E9S53SE7SE19
G25
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G22
NE12SE11E7E8CalmN7N9N12N11N13N8NE11N8N7N6N9
1 day agoN8CalmW84--NE7W845CalmS3CalmSW3SW7E7SE7S7CalmCalmNW5N6N6N9N3
2 days agoCalmSE3NW8NW9
G14
6N5SE4NE9
G15
3NE9NE9N10N15N15N11N10N9N8N9N8N10N11N12N16

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Elko, NV (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Reno, NV
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.