Monday, August20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Nanticoke Acres, MD

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Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 7:50PM Monday August 20, 2018 11:04 AM EDT (15:04 UTC) Moonrise 2:58PMMoonset 12:17AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 1035 Am Edt Mon Aug 20 2018
Rest of today..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming ne 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1035 Am Edt Mon Aug 20 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will build to the north today while a front remains stalled to the south. A warm front will lift northward through the waters on Tuesday. A cold front will sweep to the east on Wednesday followed by modified canadian high pressure taking hold through week's end. A small craft advisory may be needed Tuesday night and Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nanticoke Acres, MD
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location: 38.27, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 201435
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1035 am edt Mon aug 20 2018

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary near the
virginia, north carolina border into tonight, then lifts back
north and across the area as a warm front during Tuesday. A
stronger cold front will cross the region Wednesday into
Wednesday night.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1035 am edt Monday...

weak S W has exited the (se va NE nc) coast taking much of the
convection from earlier this morning out over the ocean. Frontal
boundary lingers over the local area... Generally from near the
mouth of the ches bay on W to far NW nc. Expecting vrb clouds-
partly sunny the rest of the day. Some stability in the wake of
that S W maintains limited convective development into this
afternoon. Appears that best area of tstms this afternoon will
be along-s of the va-nc border (into possibly far SE va). Have
held pops to 20-40% over the fa. Temperatures tricky W onshore
winds near-nnw of that frontal boundary... Sse to the s. Highs
80-85f N and central areas... M80s S and se.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday
As of 425 am edt Monday...

the front will lift back nwd and across the region as a warm
front during tue. This will occur as stronger surface low
pressure organizes in the upper midwest, and moves NE across the
great lakes by Tue evening. Chances for showers tstms will
increase again over the entire region during tue. Highs on tue
will mainly be in the mid 80s.

A cold front approaches from the NW Tue night, and pushes across
the region Wed into Wed night. The primary moisture plume will
be pushed offshore, and pops will be lower (20-40%) with the
frontal passage wed. Lows Tue night will be in the lower to mid
70s followed by highs on Wed in the mid to upper 80s.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 400 pm edt Sunday...

drier and much cooler weather settles in Thursday, with only
slight chance pops remaining across nc through mid-morning. 1024
mb high moves east over the mid-atlantic Thu pm thru mon. 850mb
temps in the +9 to +11 degc range spell out quite the cool
down, with surface temps staying in the low 80s thu, low-mid 80s
fri, and warming into the mid-upper 80s through the weekend.

The only portion of our area with marginal rain chances fri-sat
will be in NE nc, where ridging will be slightly weaker. 12z gfs
wants to break down high pressure quicker, allowing for a few
showers over nc SE va on Sunday... Consider that solution tbd.

Otherwise, dew points will be lower late week into the weekend,
helping to make sensible weather more pleasant. Outdoor plans should
fare well for the most part late week through the weekend, and into
the start of next week.

Aviation 14z Monday through Friday
As of 330 am edt Monday...

unsettled conditions will continue across the region the next
couple of days, as a frontal boundary remains nearly stationary
near the va nc border today into tonight, then lifts back north
and across the area as a warm front during tue. This will result
in continued chances for showers and tstms at all TAF sites,
along with MVFR ifr conditions due to the moist airmass and any
heavier showers or stronger tstms.

Outlook... Chances for showers tstms and lower CIGS vsbys will
continue Tue night into Wed evening, as the warm front lifts
well north of the region, and a prefrontal trough followed by a
cold front pushes into and across the region. High pressure
builds into the area for Thu into next weekend.

Marine
As of 330 am edt Monday...

this Monday morning winds were generally E to NE across the bay
and waters as a weak frontal boundary was sagging south into ne
nc. The front will stall over NE nc this morning, before coming
back northward as a warm front late tonight and Tuesday. Winds
remain generally NE to E behind the front generally around 10 kt
though there could be times where winds gust up to 15 kt.

Appears strongest winds, remain mainly in the 12-16 kt range,
across the northern and central portions of the bay, and the
northern half of the coastal waters. However, winds waves seas
should remain below SCA criteria. An easterly swell was sowing
up at buoys from chincoteague north to fenwick island with seas
building to 3 to 4 ft despite relatively light winds of 10 kt.

This swell will persist and may push a little farther south of
just offshore of CAPE charles and CAPE henry later today.

Winds are expected to decrease for a time Monday night early
Tuesday as warm front lifts northward, then increase
significantly from the south Tuesday afternoon night ahead of
stronger cold front approaching the area from the west. Winds
increase aloft and with mixing expect winds to be a bit gusty at
times Tuesday. Winds persist Tuesday night. If models remain
consistent, SCA will likely be needed in the 00z Tuesday into a
portion of Wednesday. A stronger cold front moves late Wednesday
with a winds shift from S and SW to NW and N in the evening.

Model cold advection suggest winds are underdone in the models
behind the front, and would anticipate a period of SCA winds on
the bay in the Wednesday night Thursday time frame in the
northerly flow.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Alb tmg
near term... Alb
short term... Ajz tmg
long term... Bms
aviation... Tmg
marine... Jao


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 8 mi34 min NE 8 G 12 77°F 83°F1018.9 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 23 mi34 min 75°F 83°F1020.2 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 27 mi34 min E 8.9 G 12 74°F 1019.4 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 28 mi34 min E 14 G 18 77°F 1017.5 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 29 mi34 min N 7 G 11 75°F 83°F1018.6 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 33 mi34 min ENE 12 G 14 75°F 1020.5 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi40 min ENE 7 G 8.9
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi40 min E 17 G 20 77°F 82°F1017.8 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 44 mi40 min ENE 5.1 G 8.9 76°F 74°F1019 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 47 mi34 min E 8 G 12 77°F 81°F1018.1 hPa
44089 47 mi34 min 74°F4 ft

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD20 mi94 minE 910.00 miOvercast75°F69°F83%1018.3 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD22 mi70 minENE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F73°F91%1018.7 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7NW8NW7NW9NW7N7N3N4NE4
G10
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1 day ago3NW6W6SW44
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CalmCalmSW3CalmW4CalmCalmN5N54N6
2 days agoS4S7S8S8SW5
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Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Maryland
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Roaring Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:07 AM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:24 AM EDT     1.96 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:56 PM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:58 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.81.30.90.70.60.711.41.81.91.91.81.51.20.80.60.50.711.52.12.42.5

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:19 AM EDT     -0.59 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:05 AM EDT     0.30 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:09 PM EDT     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:46 PM EDT     0.53 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.20.10.20.30.30.1-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.20.10.40.50.50.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.