Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fishing Creek, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 8:15PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 6:59 AM EDT (10:59 UTC) Moonrise 1:21PMMoonset 1:42AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ534 Chesapeake Bay From Drum Point To Smith Point- 508 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Today..NW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Isolated showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 508 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A cold front will cross the waters today. High pressure will follow Thursday through Friday before moving offshore during the weekend. A low pressure system may approach the area by early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fishing Creek, MD
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location: 38.27, -76.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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Fxus61 klwx 230800
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md washington dc
400 am edt Wed may 23 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will push south through the area today. High
pressure will build eastward from the great lakes tonight,
eventually moving offshore by Friday. Moisture will increase
ahead of a low pressure system over the weekend into early next
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
A cold front stretches across pennsylvania this morning.

Convection in northeast pennsylvania is moving to the east, and
the convective complex in west virginia is rapidly weakening,
with radar returns east of the appalachian crest dissipating.

Thus, am largely expecting the day to start dry. There could be
some patchy fog, but development will be hindered by convective
debris clouds.

Expect some clearing as the day progresses and the cold front
pushes south into the area. Moisture and forcing will be weak
along the front, although it will still be near our southern cwa
border as peak heating is reached. 00z href suggests showers and
thunderstorms will begin developing near or south of
charlottesville around midday, then quickly move southeast by
late afternoon. Have introduced 30-40 pops to this area, though
it's possible convective initiation occurs south of our cwa.

High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 80s for most
locations.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday night
The center of surface high pressure will be located over the
great lakes tonight, moving overhead by Thursday evening, then
off the mid-atlantic coast Friday. With ridging building aloft
as well, a respite from the recent unsettled weather will extend
through the end of the work week. Temperatures will be a little
above normal, with highs in the lower to mid 80s, and low
temperatures in the 50s to lower 60s.

Some moisture will begin to advance northward in the return
flow on the back side of the high by late Friday and Friday
night. Most of this advection will be focused on the ohio
valley, and while it's not impossible a few showers could
develop over the appalachians, have kept the forecast dry
through Friday night for now.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Southerly flow will continue advecting moist and
warm air over our region on Saturday as a bermuda high is settled
over the north atlantic. Temperatures will be between the low and
the mid 80s on Saturday with possible showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon due to diurnal heating.

A low pressure system will be moving north from the gulf coast and
along the southeastern states Sunday into Monday as bermuda high
continues settled east of us. Winds will be turning more easterly as
moist air continues to be advected Sunday and Monday with
additional showers and thunderstorms.

A boundary will approach the area on Tuesday and settle over us into
Wednesday. This may trigger more showers and thunderstorms both
days.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
A challenging aviation forecast to start the morning. Ifr
ceilings had developed over the baltimore and washington metro
areas and were forecast to remain in place through sunrise.

However, these clouds have dissipated as thicker mid level
clouds moved in. These clouds also seem to be thwarting any fog
development, although there may be some clearing right around
daybreak. Amendments to the tafs are likely through the period.

Otherwise a cold front will push south today, turning winds to
the northwest shortly after sunrise. It will be a dry frontal
passage for the most part, although a stray shower or storm
could develop near cho around 17-20z. High pressure will then
build across the area through Friday.VFR conditions and light
winds are expected through the period.

Vfr conditions likely Saturday with possible afternoon showers
and thunderstorms which may decrease the cigs. Sunday and Monday
looks wetter with additional moisture over us, therefore more
showers and thunderstorms possible.

Marine
A surge of southwest winds accompanying a disturbance has been
affecting the southern maryland waters. Given the hrrr had
picked up on this trend, issued a small craft advisory through 6
am. Winds seem to be on a downward trend now though, and the
advisory may be cancelled early.

A cold front will push south through the area this morning, with
winds becoming northwesterly. It looks like peak winds will be
around 15 kt through the day, with a low probability for a few
higher gusts. High pressure will build across the waters tonight
and Thursday before moving offshore on Friday with light winds.

Some of the wider waters of the bay may come close to sca
criteria Friday night as southerly flow increases on the back
side of the high.

Winds are expected to remain below SCA criteria from Saturday
into Monday, not anticipating an advisory for this period.

Tides coastal flooding
Tidal anomalies should decrease today as northwesterly winds
develop behind a cold front. However, water levels remain more
elevated around dc given some freshwater input, with the current
high tide barely coming in below flood stage. This situation
may repeat itself during the morning high tides the next couple
days.

Lwx watches warnings advisories
Dc... None.

Md... None.

Va... None.

Wv... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt early this morning for
anz534-537-543.

Synopsis... Ads
near term... Ads
short term... Ads
long term... Imr
aviation... Ads imr
marine... Ads imr
tides coastal flooding... Ads


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 11 mi41 min W 6 G 7 71°F 73°F1014.2 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 12 mi41 min W 2.9 G 5.1 69°F 1014.3 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 12 mi41 min Calm G 2.9 69°F 70°F1013.5 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 17 mi29 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 71°F 1013.2 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 19 mi41 min WNW 2.9 G 4.1
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 22 mi29 min WSW 5.8 G 5.8 69°F 1014.1 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 23 mi41 min WSW 8 G 9.9 71°F 73°F1013.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 23 mi41 min 68°F 72°F1014.5 hPa
NCDV2 43 mi41 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 69°F 75°F1013.1 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 43 mi149 min S 2.9 61°F 1013 hPa61°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 45 mi59 min S 6 G 7 68°F 68°F1013.9 hPa (-0.0)68°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 49 mi29 min W 9.7 G 12 72°F 1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD9 mi2.1 hrsN 010.00 miFair70°F66°F87%1013.2 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD14 mi66 minSW 48.00 miFair69°F68°F96%1013.2 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD17 mi82 minSW 410.00 miFair66°F64°F94%1014.2 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD21 mi84 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds68°F68°F100%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SE6SE8SE5SE4SE7S7S6S7SE8SE8SE9S3E4S6S6S5SW10SW13SW9SW9CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNE7NE10E8E7E46CalmSE4SE5SE7SE11SE9SE9S6S4S5S4S6S3S3CalmS5CalmS4
2 days agoSW11SW10SW11
G15
SW12SW11SW12W10SW10SW12
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SW7SW6SW5SW3SW6SW8SW7SW7N6NW4N8N10NE7NE7

Tide / Current Tables for Hooper Island Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Hooper Island Light
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:35 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:27 AM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:10 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:12 PM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.10.90.70.70.81.21.51.92.12.11.91.61.20.90.60.50.60.81.31.722.22.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:40 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:42 AM EDT     -0.45 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:12 AM EDT     0.49 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:23 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:59 PM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:58 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:03 PM EDT     0.62 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.20.40.50.40.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.5-0.300.30.50.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.