Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jesterville, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:37AMSunset 8:31PM Thursday June 21, 2018 4:07 AM EDT (08:07 UTC) Moonrise 1:20PMMoonset 12:50AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 131 Am Edt Thu Jun 21 2018
Overnight..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a slight chance of tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Fri night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms, then a chance of showers through the night.
Mon..N winds 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 131 Am Edt Thu Jun 21 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure will track from west virginia east over the waters along a stalled front overnight. The front will then drop farther south Thursday as high pressure briefly builds from the ohio valley to new england. The front will then return north as a warm front Friday night into Saturday as the high moves offshore and low pressure moves from the midwest to the great lakes. A small craft advisory may be needed for a portion of the waters Friday into Saturday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jesterville, MD
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location: 38.3, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 210609
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
209 am edt Thu jun 21 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will approach the area from the north overnight.

The front pushes south through the area on Thursday, then stalls
over north carolina Thursday night into Friday. This front
lifts back north as a warm front Friday night into Saturday.

Near term until 8 am this morning
As of 1015 pm edt Wednesday...

latest analysis indicating a weak area of sfc low pressure
across southern pa, progged to move ese overnight due to wnw
flow aloft. A weak frontal boundary remains over the bay and
eastern shore and will push back to the DELMARVA coast as a
warm front overnight. Generally scattered showers persist along
with some embedded (but weakening) tstms. For the next few hrs,
will have an area of likely pops over the north and also in ne
nc along the albemarle sound per latest radar imagery. The
coverage of showers and tstms will gradually wane after midnight
(and especially after 06z). Added some patchy fog to areas W of
i-95 and N of route 460 where partial clearing is likely and
temperatures have cooled into the upper 60s around 70 f. Lows
overnight will avg in the upper 60s NW to the lower 70s most
other places.

Short term 8 am this morning through Saturday
As of 400 pm edt Wednesday...

a cold front sags south through the area on Thursday, settling
near the va nc border late. Best chc of showers tstms will shift
into central SRN va NE nc (50-60% pops), with 30-40% pops ne.

Highs Thursday will be in the mid upper 80s to low 90s (around
80f for the immediate atlantic md coast). By Friday, high
pressure builds over coastal new england resulting in onshore
flow, with the aforementioned frontal boundary remaining
stationary across north-central or NE nc. Will generally have
highest pops (50-70%) across central southern va into NE nc
Thursday night, perhaps lifting a bit further north overnight.

By Friday, highest pops will be inland (50-70%) where some
embedded tstms will be possible, to 30-40% along the coast.

Guidance is starting to settle toward a consensus on high
temperatures Friday, from the mid 70s far NW to the low 80s ric
metro to the mid upr 80s SE va NE nc. Our meandering frontal
boundary lifts back north as a warm front Friday night into
Saturday morning. Highest pops will shift north with the front
during this time. By Saturday, expecting temps to warm up again.

Will also have to watch a shortwave progged to cross the region
in the afternoon that could touch of a line of tstms. Highs in
the 80s to low 90s.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
As of 400 pm edt Wednesday...

shower thunderstorm chances continue Saturday night-Sunday morning
for the eastern third of the CWA as a surface trough continues to
linger across the region. A potent shortwave dives southeastward
from canada to the northeastern us on Monday. The associated surface
low pressure system will drag a cold front southward across the
region late Sunday into Monday bringing another chance for showers
and thunderstorms. The frontal boundary pushes south during the day
on Monday with a few lingering showers t-storms possible across
mainly southern portions of the cwa. The latest 20 12z ECMWF has
only isolated-scattered showers t-storms Sunday night-Monday while
the GFS has more widespread t-storms. Thus, opted to maintain no
higher than 50% pops Sunday night-Monday. Behind the cold front,
high pressure builds in north of the area bringing drier and cooler
conditions to the region from Tuesday through the middle of next
week.

Sunday will likely be the warmest day of the extended period with
with highs in the lower 90s for most areas. Highs will cool to the
mid-upper 80s on Monday with low-mid 80s expected on Tuesday.

Warming up slightly on Wednesday with highs between 83-87. Expect
morning lows between 70-75 on Sunday and Monday cooling into the 60s
for Tuesday Wednesday.

Aviation 06z Thursday through Monday
As of 210 am edt Thursday...

much of the showers tstms from last evening have dissipated as
of 06z aside from an isolated TSTM SW of ric. A weak cold front
remains situated w-e near the mason-dixon line with light sw
flow across the local area. Patchy vsby of 3-5sm in br is
possible at ric sby phf ecg through 12z along with patchy MVFR
cigs. Brief ifr conditions are possible, but not expected to
prevail given the persistence of light SW flow overnight. There
is some concern for fog at ecg given 2.47" of rain yesterday,
however, there appear to be enough wind to inhibit fog.

The cold front will drop into the region this aftn with the wind
shifting to N NE through the aftn. Iso-sct showers tstms are
expected once again during the aftn with sct-bkn CIGS of
5-6kft. An area of low pressure tracks along the front tonight
resulting in likely showers and embedded tstms. Pockets of
heavier rain could produce MVFR or ifr vsby along with MVFR
cigs.

High pressure settles over new england Friday resulting in
onshore flow. Remaining unsettled as an upper level trough
approaches from the SW with a 20-40% chc of showers along the
coast, and 40-60% farther inland. The potential for aftn evening
showers tstms will continue Saturday and Sunday. Drier
conditions potentially arrive by Monday.

Marine
As of 230 pm edt Wednesday...

no headlines anticipated in the short term this evening into Friday.

Current observations show generally light and variable winds over
the waters. Seas range from 1 to 2 feet and waves 1 foot. A weak
frontal boundary drops into the region later this evening which will
bring increasing winds and the chance for showers or thunderstorms.

Winds become southeast 10 knots or less this evening and then
southerly overnight. Winds shift to the N NW on Thursday as the
boundary moves south of the region. The gradient strengthens Friday
into Friday night, bringing onshore winds of 10 to 15 knots and the
potential for 5 foot seas across the northern zones. The flow
becomes more southeasterly Saturday morning and then southerly as a
warm front lifts over the waters. Breezy conditions are expected
Saturday and small craft advisories may be needed for both winds and
seas into Sunday.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jdm
near term... Lkb
short term... Jdm
long term... Ajb eri
aviation... Ajz
marine... Ajb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 9 mi50 min W 14 G 16 77°F 85°F1007.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 21 mi50 min 73°F 82°F1008 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 26 mi50 min WNW 4.1 G 6 73°F 1007.8 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 29 mi50 min W 4.1 G 6 74°F 78°F1007.1 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 32 mi38 min W 7.8 G 7.8 74°F 1007.5 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 35 mi56 min WNW 7 G 7
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi50 min WNW 5.1 G 6 73°F 82°F1007.5 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 43 mi56 min W 5.1 G 6 75°F 71°F1006.9 hPa
OCSM2 45 mi188 min 1 ft
44089 48 mi38 min 76°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 49 mi50 min W 2.9 G 5.1 75°F 83°F1007.3 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD18 mi73 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F71°F94%1007.1 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD22 mi74 minWNW 45.00 miFog/Mist75°F75°F100%1007 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmNE6NE4CalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmS5CalmCalmCalmW4Calm
1 day agoSW4CalmCalmW4CalmW4NW4NW9NW6
G14
NW8N8N5W3NW4N7NW4CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSE3CalmCalmN3S3SE43Calm3Calm6
G11
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G12
S8S7S5S7S4SE4S4S4CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Maryland
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Roaring Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:55 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:24 AM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:14 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.610.60.30.20.30.81.41.92.22.221.61.10.60.200.10.51.11.82.22.42.4

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:45 AM EDT     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:59 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:39 AM EDT     0.52 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:49 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:20 PM EDT     -0.89 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:44 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:44 PM EDT     0.61 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:48 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.300.30.50.50.40.2-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.9-0.9-0.6-0.30.10.40.60.60.50.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.