Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lavalette, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:59PM Monday June 26, 2017 8:21 AM EDT (12:21 UTC) Moonrise 8:01AMMoonset 10:14PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lavalette, WV
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location: 38.3, -82.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 261025
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
625 am edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
High pressure crosses this evening. A cold front crosses Tuesday
morning. High pressure crosses Wednesday. Warmer, more humid and
unsettled latter half of the week. A cold front arrives Sunday.

Near term through tonight
As of 625 am Monday...

forecast on track.

As of 315 am Monday...

a weak cold front and upper level short wave trough cross early
today, with nothing more than patchy mid cloud. Weak high
pressure slides by to the southwest of the area this evening.

A somewhat stronger cold front and upper level trough approach
tonight, bringing in the chance for showers from the west
overnight. Limited moisture with lack of inflow ahead of the
front, and overnight timing spell no instability, especially
with a little mid level inversion indicated in the model
soundings. Thus, not expecting any thunder.

Temperatures close to near term guidance blends. The met was a
high outlier on highs today, especially given its own parent
model h85 temperatures of 11c or less, under 10c for the middle
ohio valley.

Short term Tuesday through Thursday night
As of 315 am Monday...

an upper trough will provide a cold front and the forcing to act
over limited moisture, to produce light isolated rain showers
Tuesday. Models not bringing to much QPF with this feature. So
confidence runs low. Pops around 30 percent is forecasted for
Tuesday.

Cool high pressure settles in behind the cold front with below
normal temperatures and dry weather Wednesday.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms arrives Thursday,
given warm and moist advection in the return flow around the
exiting high.

Long term Friday through Sunday
As of 315 am Monday...

by Friday, deep southwest flow develops to bring moisture and warmer
temperatures. Aloft, several shortwave troughs will cross, with each
providing potential showers and thunderstorms. A cold front next
weekend should provide better organization and have likely pops.

Models continue with different solutions providing low
confidence.

Aviation 10z Monday through Friday
As of 625 am Monday...

vfr with light wind this period, with a scattered high CU deck
midday and afternoon, broken at times.

An approaching upper level trough and surface cold front will
bring in a more widespread cloud deck at 6-8 kft overnight
tonight. Scattered showers overnight have too low a probability
of directly impacting a particular site to include restrictions
which, if occurred, would be brief.

Light south to southwest surface flow early this morning will
become light west today, and then light and variable to light
south to southwest tonight. Flow aloft will be light, mainly
west.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Tuesday...

forecast confidence: high.

Alternate scenarios: none except MVFR fog possible kekn
overnight tonight.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
edt 1hrly 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
ekn consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
after 12z Tuesday...

ifr possible in showers and thunderstorms in the middle ohio
valley Thursday afternoon and evening.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Arj trm
near term... Trm
short term... Arj
long term... Arj
aviation... Trm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Huntington, Tri-State Airport, WV10 mi31 minSSW 510.00 miFair59°F54°F83%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from HTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW53NW6SW8W8W11W6W11
G17
W8SW8W8SW5SW4SW3CalmNW4CalmCalmCalmSW3S4CalmSW4SW5
1 day agoSW5SW4W5W4W8NW8W8W6W7W6NW10NW6W4SW4SW4SW5SW4CalmNW5NW5CalmSW4SW5SW4
2 days agoS7SW9
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G27
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SW6S6NW16
G21
3CalmE7W7SW5SW5CalmSW3CalmS5W4W3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.