Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 10:56 AM   Moonset 12:56 AM

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PZZ540 Coastal Waters From Point Arena To Point Reyes California Out To 10 Nm- 241 Pm Pdt Tue May 14 2024
This afternoon - W wind around 5 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Tonight - W wind around 5 kt, backing to se after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 12 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the evening. Wed - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 7 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Wed night - SW wind around 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the evening. Thu - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 5 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds. Thu night - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: nw 6 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 18 seconds. Fri - N wind 5 to 10 kt, backing to W in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Fri night - NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, building to 7 to 9 ft after midnight. Sat - E wind 5 to 10 kt, veering to sw in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Sat night - NW wind around 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

PZZ500 241 Pm Pdt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
rough seas continue to abate today and Wednesday as the pressure gradient slackens and winds decrease. A moderate nw swell will continue to keep significant wave heights elevated in the far nw coastal zone. Otherwise, favorable conditions will continue into the weekend, with stronger nw winds expected next week.

FXUS66 KMTR 142021 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 121 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024

New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 115 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024

Relatively calm and quiet weather pattern persists through the forecast period bringing a repeat of morning marine stratus along the coast and valleys and clear skies elsewhere. Inland temperatures warm into the 70s and 80s each afternoon with a persistent marine layer keeping coastal highs in the 60s.

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 115 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024

Calm weather persists as the low pressure system that sits near southern California continues to move inland and the ridging pattern slightly strengthens. Overnight temperatures will be similar to last night with minimum temperatures reaching in the high 40s to mid 50s.
Wednesday afternoon, temperatures will warm by a few degrees with inland areas seeing up to mid 70s to low 80s, while the coast will see temperatures in the 60s. Coastal stratus is expected to rebuild again tonight as the marine layer still sits about 1,500-2,000 feet near Ft. Ord. Therefore, don't be surprise to see another gloomy morning along the coast and in the valleys with clearing in the afternoon.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 115 PM PDT Tue May 14 2024

The low pressure system sitting along the southwest of CONUS will continue to move eastward, allowing for a broad high pressure system over the ocean to slightly influence the area. This will bringing overall calm weather with some clear skies in the interior areas and some gloomy morning near the coast from the onshore flow. This pattern of cloudy mornings and clear skies by the afternoon for the coastal areas will likely repeat itself through the remainder of the week into Monday, with a slight chance of early morning drizzle in a few spots along the coast. The max temperatures will remain in the 60s along the coast, with interior areas reaching up to the mid 70s to mid 80s. The minimum temperatures overnight will stay relatively the same through the week with high 40s to mid 50s.

By Sunday through Monday, another low pressure system off the coast will start to move closer to region. This will bring slightly cooler temperatures inland. Model ensembles show agreement that no precipitation will be associated with this troughing pattern thus far, and calm dry weather will continue into early next week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1042 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024

The stratus extent was very similar to yesterday. Not surprisingly, the burn off time has also been pretty close to yesterday, with most sites either back to VFR or well on their way within the hour. Some strong onshore winds will develop this afternoon before stratus returns overnight.

Vicinity of SFO...The stratus has cleared from SFO, SJC, and OAK.
Onshore winds will develop early this afternoon and persist through the evening. The models have been underperforming with the sea breeze lately and the TAFs are a few knots higher this afternoon as a result. Stratus will return overnight with similar ceilings expected as weak low pressure aloft maintains a fairly deep marine layer.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...MRY and SNS are still dealing with IFR stratus this morning. The skies are expected to clear by 19 UTC.
The VFR window will only last for about 8 hours before the low clouds make an early return this evening. According to GFSLAMP probabilities, MRY has a 50% chance of regaining an IRF ceiling as early as 02Z. The visibility may briefly drop as well, but some gentle winds overnight may help prevent that.

MARINE
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1042 AM PDT Tue May 14 2024

Rough seas are abating today as the pressure gradient slackens and winds decrease. A moderate NW swell will continue to keep significant wave heights elevated and small craft advisories active in the far NW coastal zone. Otherwise, favorable conditions will persist into the weekend, with stronger NW winds expected next week.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

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Bodega Harbor entrance
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Tue -- 01:56 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:38 AM PDT     4.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:14 AM PDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:55 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:41 PM PDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:16 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bodega Harbor entrance, California, Tide feet

Point Reyes
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Tue -- 12:05 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:55 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:29 AM PDT     0.37 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:02 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:02 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:29 AM PDT     -0.99 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:56 AM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:48 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:10 PM PDT     0.80 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:26 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:51 PM PDT     -0.40 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Reyes, California Current, knots

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