Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Ocean City, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 4:43PM Monday December 10, 2018 3:34 AM EST (08:34 UTC) Moonrise 9:44AMMoonset 7:44PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ650 Coastal Waters From Fenwick Island De To Chincoteague Va Out 20 Nm- 106 Am Est Mon Dec 10 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Rest of tonight..NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A chance of rain.
Mon..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 6 to 7 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Mon night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 6 to 7 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds, subsiding to 5 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 ft late.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..E winds 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, building to 7 to 9 ft after midnight. Showers.
ANZ600 106 Am Est Mon Dec 10 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Strong low pressure approaches from the southwest through tonight, then moves off the carolina coast Monday. SEcondary low pressure tracks off the outer banks Monday night, with high pressure returning Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Ocean City, MD
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location: 38.34, -75.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 100257
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
957 pm est Sun dec 9 2018

Synopsis
Strong low pressure will track off the coast near CAPE hatteras
overnight. The low will then be slow to push east farther off
the carolina coast Monday into Monday night. High pressure will
build over the area Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 950 pm est Sunday...

strong lo pres was located just SW of hse attm. The storm will
be slow to exit off the coast overnight. Pcpn continuing to
lessen in intensity and coverage over the fa right now... .And
that trend is expected to continue overnight. Mixed pcpn will be
maintained inland... Ra on much of the coastal plain... Eventually
tapering off by late tonight. Additional snow accums largely
below an inch across central va... Light icing remains a
possibility... Mainly INVOF I 95 I 85 corridors. NE winds staying
gusty to 20-30 mph inland... 40-45 mph at the coast in SE va-ne
nc. Due to the extensive heavy snow accumulations inland... Esp
over central south central va... Travel will remain very
hazardous dangerous and roads impassable or even closed at
times. Lows in the m-u20s W to around 40f se. Current headlines
remaining in place due to continued winter storm impacts.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Wednesday
As of 430 pm est Sunday...

expect improving conditions acrs most of the area from late mon
morning through Mon night, as high pressure starts to build in
fm the nnw. However, lingering low pressure off the carolina
coast will maintain more clouds and high chance to low-end
likely pops from scntrl SE va to NE nc. Highs on Mon will range
fm the upper 30s to the low-mid 40s. Lows Mon night will range
through the 20s across most of the area (with a few upper teens
possible over the piedmont). Near the SE va nc coast, lows will
avg 30-35 f. Remaining below normal for temps Tue and Wed but
expect it to be dry and partly-mostly sunny (highs in the 40s
and lows in the 20s).

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 255 pm est Sunday...

strong amplification of trough aloft through the ms valley
expected Thu which will progress E Fri through sat. Milder air
along W increasing moisture will be spreading NE into the mid-
atlantic region ahead of potent lo pres and its associated cold
front (beginning late thu). That lo pres system is expected to
track into the oh valley Fri fri night... Then continue into new
england during next weekend. Ramping up pops (to 70-90%) from
fri morning into Fri night... Then will the cold front pushing
off the coast on sat... Will be lowering pops (from w-e).

Lows Wed night from the m-u20s inland to the m30s along the
coast. Highs Thu in the l-m40s W to the u40s-l50s e. Lows thu
night in the l-m30s inland to the m40s at the coast. Highs fri
from the l50s far W to the l60s in far SE va-ne nc. Lows fri
night in the 40s... Except l50s at the coast in SE va-ne nc.

Highs Sat Sun in the m-u50s.

Aviation 03z Monday through Friday
As of 850 pm est Sunday...

vrb pcpn will be winding overnight... W mixed ptype at
ric... Mainly all ra at the other sites. CIGS will remain low end
MVFR to ifr until later tonight as the storm winds down.

Also... Ne winds will be gusty to 20-30 kt... W 40-45 kt at
ecg... Lowering by late tonight. Lo pres lingers off the outer
banks Mon into Mon night resulting in locally breezy conditions
for orf ecg. High pressure prevails Tue through thu.

Marine
As of 900 pm est Sunday...

the rapidly deepening storm, surface low, as tracking just SE of
cape hatteras as of 9 pm this evening with strong pressure fall
to the east farther offshore. Expect the storm to track ene away
from the coast overnight. Strongest winds along the coast and
bay are expected through midnight. Winds will start to slowly
decrease overnight and towards daybreak. Waves have build to 11
to 15 ft from CAPE charles south to duck and 7 to 8 ft at the
mouth of the bay. Expected these heavy sea conditions to persist
through the early morning hours, slowly decreasing through
Monday morning into Monday afternoon.

Ne winds south of CAPE charles are 35-40 knots with gusts up to
45 to 50 knot. Winds farther north from chincoteague to ocean
city were 25-35 knots. Gale warnings remain in effect for the
lower james, southern bay and the currituck sound. Gale warnings
are also in place offshore for zones south of chincoteague to
the nc va border. A storm warning is in effect for waters south
of the va nc border where gusts to 50 knots are ongoing. The
remaining waters have small craft advisories in effect through
at least Monday morning.

Low pressure becomes elongated east to west off the carolina coast
late tonight and Monday with a secondary low center forming in
response to trailing shortwave energy aloft. This low will pull away
from the coast Monday afternoon evening as high pressure builds in
to the southeast conus.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 430 pm est Sunday...

low pressure will strengthen off the carolina coast tonight. A
strong NE wind is expected to push tidal anomalies to 1.0-2.0 ft
above normal from the lower bay S to outer banks currituck.

This has the potential to produce minor to moderate tidal
flooding into Monday. High tide this evening is the lower of the
astronomical, with the higher occurring Monday morning.

Additionally, minor beach erosion is expected due to large
breaking nearshore waves. A coastal flood watch has been issued
for currituck from 7am through 1pm on Monday.

A high surf advisory is in effect for va beach and outer banks
currituck from late this aftn through Monday morning.

Climate
Unofficial snowfall today at ric - 11.5", making for the greatest
daily snowfall before dec 22nd (for por)... And the 2nd highest
daily total for the month of dec.

See pnsakq for snow totals across the local area.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Winter weather advisory until 4 am est Monday for mdz021>023.

Nc... Winter storm warning until 4 am est Monday for ncz012.

Wind advisory until 4 am est Monday for ncz017-102.

High surf advisory until 10 am est Monday for ncz102.

Coastal flood watch from 7 am est Monday through Monday
afternoon for ncz102.

Va... Winter storm warning until 4 am est Monday for vaz048-060>062-
064>069-075-076-079>083-087-088-092-509>522.

Winter weather advisory until 4 am est Monday for vaz077-078-
084-085-089-090-093.

Wind advisory until 4 am est Monday for vaz095-098.

High surf advisory until 10 am est Monday for vaz098.

Marine... Gale warning until 7 am est Monday for anz654-656.

Small craft advisory until 7 pm est Monday for anz650.

Gale warning until 1 am est Monday for anz632-634-638-652.

Storm warning until 7 am est Monday for anz658.

Small craft advisory until 7 am est Monday for anz635>637.

Gale warning until 4 am est Monday for anz633.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Monday for anz630-631.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Tmg
long term... Alb
aviation... Alb
marine... Rhr jao
tides coastal flooding... Akq
climate... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 1 mi35 min NNE 12 G 19 39°F 46°F1017.4 hPa (-0.5)
OCSM2 1 mi155 min 5 ft
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 22 mi45 min 51°F7 ft1016.1 hPa (-1.3)
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 31 mi35 min NNE 11 G 14 36°F 41°F1018.2 hPa (-0.6)
44089 42 mi35 min 48°F10 ft
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 44 mi35 min NNE 5.1 G 8.9 32°F 43°F1017.8 hPa (-0.7)
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 45 mi41 min 1018.4 hPa

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ocean City, Ocean City Municipal Airport, MD3 mi42 minN 10 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy38°F30°F76%1016.9 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD22 mi41 minN 108.00 miA Few Clouds34°F32°F92%1017.5 hPa

Wind History from OXB (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City (fishing pier), Maryland (2)
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Ocean City (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:56 AM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:10 AM EST     3.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:35 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:39 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:44 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:42 PM EST     3.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.50.90.30.10.51.22.233.53.83.632.21.30.50-00.51.322.6332.7

Tide / Current Tables for Fenwick Island Light, Delaware
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Fenwick Island Light
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:05 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:19 AM EST     4.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:45 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:39 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:43 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:51 PM EST     3.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.810.40.20.41.22.23.13.743.93.42.41.50.70.1-0.10.41.222.73.13.23

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.