Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Elliott, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 6:58PM Saturday September 23, 2017 2:17 PM EDT (18:17 UTC) Moonrise 9:07AMMoonset 8:14PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 131 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
This afternoon..N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Sun night..NE winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ500 131 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A ridge of high pressure will remain over the eastern united states through early next week. Small craft advisories may be needed Tuesday and Wednesday as hurricane maria approaches north carolina. Refer to the latest statements from the national hurricane center for up-to-date information on hurricane maria.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elliott, MD
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 38.39, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kakq 231734
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
134 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

Synopsis
Post-tropical storm jose will continue lingers off the new england
coast before dissipating later this weekend. Meanwhile, high
pressure will continue to influence the weather pattern through
early next week. Hurricane maria is forecast to move northward
between the offshore atlantic waters and bermuda through the early
part of next week. A cold front is expected to cross the area by mid-
week pushing maria east of the region.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Post-tropical cyclone jose continues to linger just of the coast of
southeast new england. High pressure has centered over the
northeast. Patchy fog, some areas locally dense, has once again
developed this morning over portions of the piedmont and interior
northeast north carolina. Any remaining fog will quickly dissipate
after sunrise. High pressure will allow for continued dry weather
and above normal temperatures today. Highs will range from the lower
80s near the coast to the mid upper 80s inland.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Monday
High pressure at the surface and aloft will be in control of our
weather pattern over the weekend, as ptc jose weakens and shifts a
bit further offshore. High pressure in combination with nne flow
will allow for continued dry weather and above normal temperatures.

Will have to keep and eye on hurricane maria which will be moving
north off the SE coast by Sunday and Monday. Right now maria is
expected to take a course similar to jose, keeping it well offshore.

Highs sun-mon will generally be in the mid 80s, except upper 70s at
the beaches. Lows will range from the lower 60s inland to upper 60s
near the coast.

Long term Monday night through Friday
A broad upper ridge is expected to prevail Monday night
through Wednesday from the great lakes across the northeast CONUS co-
located with surface high pressure. Meanwhile, a cut-off upper low
(400-200mb) is progged to drop SE from the NRN gulf coast to the fl
peninsula. The strength of the ridge and the presence of the upper
low is potentially complicating the situation with hurricane maria.

This is resulting in a westward shift in the track with the 23 00z
global models, with the tropical cyclone taking a turn toward the nw
and heading toward and approaching the outer banks during the
Wednesday Wednesday night time-frame per 23 00z ECMWF gfs. Note the
23 00z cmc appears too fast. Monitor the latest official forecast
tracks from the national hurricane center. This more westward track
would bring an increasing threat of more wind higher pops along the
coast by midweek. For now, pops and sky cover have been nudged up. A
vigorous trough eventually pushes through the great lakes
Thursday Thursday night, breaking down the ridge and pushing maria
well offshore. The associated cold front crosses the area late
Thursday Thursday night, resulting in cooler conditions late in the
forecast period.

Highs Tuesday range from the upper 70s to low 80s, Wednesday in the
upper 70s to mid 80s, low mid 80s Thursday, and the 70s Friday. Lows
Monday night through Wednesday night range from the mid 60s to
around 70f, then mid 50s NW to mid 60s SE Thursday night.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
Vfr conditions prevail for the most part through the 18z taf
period, as high pressure remains in control over the area. Have
maintained some MVFR overnight at kric ksby per 12z taf
issuance. This seems reasonable given little overall pattern
change, and dew points are about the same as Friday. Have kept
korfVFR through the period, as that terminal is generally not
prone to nocturnal fog development.

However, have opted to forecast similar consditions to Friday
night at kphf kecg. Both these locations had at least
intermittent ifr lifr Friday night. Since the overall pattern
is unchanged from the last 24 hours, both of these sites should
again see intermittent ifr lifr conditions after 02z.

Outlook: generallyVFR dry conditions, with the exception of
patchy morning fog, are anticipated through the Monday due to
the influence of high pressure over the region. Sub-vfr
conditions will be possible Tuesday through mid next week,
primarily at eastern TAF sites, as moist northerly flow from
tropical cyclone maria overspreads the region.

Marine
Early this morning, post-tropical cyclone jose remains centered
se of CAPE cod, and is forecast to gradually pushing ewd thru
sun while weakening. Meanwhile, hurricane maria was located
about 350 miles east of nassau, and is forecast to track to the
nnw thru today, then track nwrd thru Wed to well off the outer
banks of nc.

Long period swell continues to propagate toward the coast with seas
generally 3-6 ft. Some portions of the area will have seas fall
at times below 5 ft over the next few days. However, the sca
for hazardous seas will continue, and will be extended thru sun
night, as energetic ese swell will continue. Swell arrives from
maria most likely beginning Sun night, and continuing into next
week. The bulk of the forecast guidance still keeps maria just
offshore Tue into thu, before it gets kicked quickly ene out to
sea Thu night into Fri night. Based on the latest guidance, have
increased winds and seas fcst for Mon thru wed. Monitor the nhc
forecast for the official forecast track of maria.

Tides coastal flooding
Water levels expected to remain elevated at all sites through
the weekend, but given that the swell is not as large as what
it has been, they should stay just below flood. Will need to
watch for additional flooding next week, especially in the
bay as the swell from maria moves into the area.

High risk for rip currents for all beaches adjacent to coastal
waters continues thru today, as swell nearshore waves will be
slow to subside.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for
mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... Coastal flood advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for
vaz078-084>086-099-100-523.

Coastal flood advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for
vaz095>097-524-525.

Coastal flood advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for vaz075-
077.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 6 am edt Monday
for anz650-652-654-656-658.

Synopsis... Ajb
near term... Ajb
short term... Ajb jdm
long term... Ajz alb
aviation... Ajz wrs
marine... Tmg
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 12 mi47 min WNW 11 G 13 76°F 77°F1018 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 13 mi47 min 82°F 77°F1018.5 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 19 mi47 min N 12 G 16 76°F 1018.8 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 23 mi47 min N 8.9 G 13 78°F 76°F1017.6 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 24 mi37 min N 14 G 16 77°F 1018.6 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 30 mi37 min NW 1.9 G 3.9 76°F 1017.3 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 32 mi47 min NNW 8.9 G 11
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi47 min NNW 6 G 7 78°F 77°F1017.8 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 42 mi77 min N 9.9 G 11 77°F 76°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 45 mi107 min N 2.9 78°F 1019 hPa62°F
CPVM2 46 mi47 min 79°F 65°F
44063 - Annapolis 46 mi37 min ENE 5.8 G 9.7 79°F 1017.2 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 48 mi47 min 80°F 1017.6 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 49 mi47 min ENE 8.9 G 12 78°F 73°F1017.7 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
W12
W12
NW12
NW11
NW6
NW4
NW4
N3
NW3
W7
NW6
NW6
G9
NW5
NW4
N4
G7
NE5
G8
N4
N4
N7
G10
N5
G10
N5
G8
N5
G8
NW4
W8
1 day
ago
W11
G14
W10
W12
NW9
G12
NW10
NW4
N4
SE8
G11
SE11
S8
S9
G12
SW11
SW13
G16
SW13
W13
W12
G15
NW8
G11
NW4
N5
G9
N5
G8
NE5
G10
N4
G8
NE4
W8
G11
2 days
ago
W13
G16
NW13
NW13
G17
NW9
G12
N4
G9
N3
W5
W5
W4
NW5
W5
N2
NW2
NW3
N3
NW2
N4
N6
N5
N6
NE4
N5
G8
N4
G8
N2
G5

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD10 mi32 minNW 5 G 1010.00 miFair82°F66°F58%1017.6 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD21 mi25 minN 810.00 miA Few Clouds83°F64°F53%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrNW7NW10NW7N8CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN7CalmN3SW3CalmCalmCalmN55N7NW7NW4NW7NW7
1 day agoNW5N8NW5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3N4CalmNE4N6N5NW7NW8NW9
G15
2 days agoNW7NW96NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmNW6N5N55NW6NW5
G11

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Point, Fishing Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Fishing Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:43 AM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:13 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:06 PM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:51 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.91.62.32.82.92.62.21.50.90.50.20.30.81.62.32.93.132.62.11.40.90.5

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:51 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:27 AM EDT     0.49 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:50 AM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 02:34 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.70 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.7-0.5-0.300.30.50.50.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.20.10.50.70.70.60.40.1-0.2-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.