Taylors Island, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Taylors Island, MD

May 10, 2024 10:43 AM EDT (14:43 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:54 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM
Moonrise 6:31 AM   Moonset 10:29 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 1036 Am Edt Fri May 10 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .

Rest of today - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Scattered showers.

Tonight - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Scattered showers.

Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming ne around 5 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.

Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.

Sun night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft.

Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers through the day. Showers likely with a chance of tstms through the night.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 1036 Am Edt Fri May 10 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
low pressure slowly pushes to the south today. Another low pressure system will quickly follow late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure will move overhead Sunday night and Monday before the next low pressure system approaches from the west Tuesday into Wednesday. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Saturday night and again Monday afternoon through Tuesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 101308 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 908 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

SYNOPSIS
An upper level trough will bring another round of showers and storms this afternoon into tonight. A chance for showers continues across mainly northern areas over the weekend. Dry and warmer weather to start next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

As of 910 AM EDT Friday...

The frontal boundary has stalled from CHO through just south of RIC to SE VA, as seen by the latest visible satellite where areas north of the front have extensive lower clouds. Weak low pressure is along the front near Lexington VA with another low offshore. This front will struggle to move much more to the south today until the upper trough over the Great Lakes pushes it southward late this afternoon into this evening. This boundary will be the focus for showers and storms this afternoon. Winds at 500 mb increase to 80 to 90 kt this afternoon which allows for 60+kt of deep shear across southern VA/NE NE. However, the instability (MLCAPE) is only forecast to rise to about 500 J/KG due to fairly extensive cloud cover.
Nonetheless, could not rule out a severe storm especially along and south of the boundary although the lack of instability would obviously be the limiting factor. With all of this said, the going forecast looks very good with likely PoPs across SE VA/NE NC this afternoon and chance PoPs most everywhere else.
Will limit the thunder threat to central/eastern VA and NE NC where the best instability is forecast by the HRRR. Highs will range from the upper 50s-mid 60s under clouds and onshore flow across the MD/VA eastern shore, to lower 80s just south of the front in NE NC.

As of 345 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Another round of showers/storms possible this afternoon and evening. While widespread severe is not expected, a few stronger storms are possible, especially for portions of northeast NC.

Early morning analysis shows weak low pressure over the region with a lingering boundary bisecting the area, roughly along the I-64 corridor. Aloft, flow is from the W-SW ahead of a shortwave trough digging SE across the Ohio Valley. Easterly flow is noted north of the front with continued SW winds to the south. Some elevated convection continues across the northern Ches Bay into the MD Eastern Shore. These showers with embedded thunder will continue to translate eastward and offshore early this morning.

Most of the area will be dry to start the day with just slight chance PoPs across the far northern counties through noon.
Temperatures will vary considerably today with the front lingering across the area. Highs may not reach 60 degrees across the MD Eastern Shore this afternoon with continued cool/onshore flow while areas along and SE of the I-64 corridor will warm into the mid 70s to low 80s. As the potent shortwave aloft approaches the region this afternoon, clouds increase and isolated to scattered showers will redevelop across the area. CAM guidance has backed off on the potential for stronger thunderstorms in our area this afternoon but favorable kinematics aloft and cool temps associated with the upper trough will keep the mention of thunder in the forecast. Brief gusty winds are possible with any of the deeper convective cores this afternoon. Forecast soundings show a few hundred J/Kg of SBCAPE but the more robust instability will be confined to central and southern NC. SPC has included a Marginal Risk of severe weather for areas near and south of the Albemarle Sound. Chance for showers will linger over the eastern half of the area this evening and toward the coast overnight as low pressure forms offshore and forces the cold front through the remainder of the area. Breezy near the coast late tonight with some bay-effect showers possible from Norfolk southward into NE NC. Lows fall into the upper 40s to low 50s as cold advection ensues behind the front.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Scattered showers possible Saturday with an upper- level disturbance.

Surface low deepens offshore and pulls away from the coast on Saturday but another trough aloft dives SE toward the area during the afternoon and evening hours. Temps will range from the mid and upper 60s inland with low 60s forecast for the Atlantic side of the Eastern Shore. PoPs increase across the NW in the afternoon and spread east and northeast through the evening as the trough axis moves through the area. Limited low level moisture will keep QPF down despite the favorable lift ahead of the trough. Cool once again Saturday night with lows in the 40s to low 50s.

The upper trough will be slow to exit the region on Sunday and showers are expected to linger across the NE third of the area into the afternoon hours. Temperatures will vary quite a bit with sunshine allowing temps to rise into the low and mid 70s for the SW half of the area while clouds and precip should keep highs in the 60s elsewhere. Cool temps aloft will result in at least some elevated instability during the afternoon for the MD Eastern Shore so have included a slight chance of thunder in the wx grids. Drying out Sunday night as high pressure builds into the area with lows in the 40s to low 50s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...

Warm and mostly sunny on Monday as high pressure moves offshore and return flow develops. High temps top out in the mid to upper 70s more most of the area. Some lower 70s are forecast along the Eastern Shore with the cool water influence and lower 80s are possible for portions of the NE NC. Clouds increase Monday night ahead of a digging southern stream trough. A few showers are possible across the west after midnight with lows back into the 50s to low 60s.

Unsettled conditions and above average rainfall are expected later Tuesday through most of next week as multiple southern stream systems move ENE towards the mid-Atlantic. Thunderstorms are also possible from Tuesday through late week. Highs Tuesday will be warmest across the E (where precip holds off longest) and in the upper 70s, with lower 70s W. Temps next Wed and Thu hover a few degrees above/below 80F w/ overnight lows around 60F.

AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 655 AM EDT Friday...

Mix of flying conditions across the region early this morning with VFR noted over the southeastern half of the area and IFR/MVFR for areas along and north of the front. RIC and PHF are right along the boundary and have been bouncing between VFR/MVFR/IFR so have included short TEMPO groups to cover the transition period. IFR CIGs prevail at SBY and likely linger into the early overnight period. Recent guidance shows less coverage of showers and storms over most of the area. ECG will be closer to greater instability across the central NC so have included VCTS. Elsewhere, it appears instability will be limited so went with VCSH wording with low confidence on timing and coverage of precip. Winds are highly variable with the front in the region.

Outlook: Mainly dry/VFR most of Saturday, but another chance for showers Saturday night into Sunday. Dry conditions return Monday.

MARINE
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...

-Key Messages:

-Small Craft Advisories have been issued for the Chesapeake Bay, Atlantic Ocean, Lower James River, and Currituck Sound from today through Saturday morning-afternoon.

-Prevailing sub-advisory conditions return by Saturday afternoon/evening, and are expected to persist through at least Monday.

A stationary front lingers over the Mid-Atlantic coast early this morning, with E-NE winds of ~15kt north of it, and variable winds of 5-10kt across most of the bay and ocean S of Chincoteague. This boundary will slowly move south over the waters today, and will pick up speed this evening before dropping S of the local area tonight as low pressure develops and tracks NE off the NC Outer Banks. A NE wind is expected to increase to 15-20kt N of Chincoteague today with seas building to 5-7ft. Elsewhere, winds will be W-NW at 10-15kt for much of the day before becoming N-NNE and increasing to ~20kt this evening shortly after the FROPA. With decent CAA and water temps in the 60s to near 70F in many areas, went a bit higher than blended guidance for winds tonight and expect N-NNE winds to remain around 20kt (with frequent 25kt gusts) through much of the night. A few 30kt gusts are possible. As for headlines, SCAs go into effect this morning N of Parramore Island, and have been issued for all other zones (except for the upper rivers) starting late this aftn/this evening. The SCAs run through Sat AM-Sat aftn (ending across the nrn waters earliest/srn waters latest). Seas build to ~6ft across all ocean zones tonight, with 3-4ft waves on the bay. Winds quickly diminish to ~10kt by early Sat aftn as the pressure gradient relaxes as the low moves well offshore. Seas should quickly fall below 5ft by mid to late aftn.

A secondary front tracks across the coast later Saturday aftn/evening. The wind becomes SE 10-15kt ahead of the front and then shifts to NW late Saturday night/early Sunday. The current forecast is sub-SCA, although some guidance suggests low-end SCA conditions are possible over the Ches Bay. High pressure builds over the coast later Sunday into Monday. Another low pressure system and weak cold front impact the Mid-Atlantic coast in the Tuesday- Wednesday timeframe.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 345 AM EDT Friday...

-Key Messages:

-Coastal Flood Advisories have been issued for almost all of the area bordering the Chesapeake Bay, Atlantic Ocean, and tidal rivers for tonight's high tide.

-Minor tidal flooding (inundation of ~1 foot above ground level in vulnerable areas) is expected during high tide tonight into early Saturday.

An increasing NE then N wind tonight into early Saturday along with elevated astronomical tides will bring a round of widespread minor tidal flooding across the area. Water levels are expected to crest a few tenths of a foot above minor flood thresholds in areas adjacent to the Ches Bay, Atlantic Ocean, and tidal rivers during tonight's high tide cycle. Levels at Oyster may crest right at the moderate flood threshold for that site. Went ahead and issued Coastal Flood Advisories for all areas except the bay side of the MD Eastern Shore, where levels are forecast to crest near or just above minor flood thresholds tonight. A Statement or Advisory may eventually be needed, but confidence isn't high enough to issue one attm.
Additional tidal flooding is expected Saturday night.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Saturday for MDZ024-025.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EDT Saturday for NCZ102.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 2 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ099-100.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ075-077.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ076-078-085-521-522.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ084-086-095-097-098-523.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 5 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ089-090-093-096-524-525.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ630-631.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ632-634-654.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ638.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ650-652.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 8 mi55 min ENE 13G15 56°F 29.65
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 13 mi49 min E 18G25 54°F 64°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 13 mi55 min E 20G24 56°F 68°F29.66
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 14 mi55 min ENE 9.9G15 58°F 67°F29.64
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 18 mi55 min ENE 11G14 58°F 69°F29.64
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 26 mi55 min E 6G8
44042 - Potomac, MD 28 mi49 min NE 12G18 58°F 67°F1 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi55 min NE 7G8.9 61°F 71°F29.63
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 34 mi43 min E 16G18 55°F 29.68
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 35 mi73 min ENE 2.9 57°F 29.6255°F
44063 - Annapolis 39 mi49 min E 16G23 54°F 65°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 40 mi55 min E 13G19 56°F 70°F29.65
CPVM2 40 mi55 min 56°F 53°F
NCDV2 43 mi55 min E 1.9G5.1 63°F 70°F29.61


Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KCGE CAMBRIDGEDORCHESTER RGNL,MD 13 sm18 minE 08G155 smOvercast Mist 55°F55°F100%29.67
KNHK PATUXENT RIVER NAS/TRAPNELL FIELD/,MD 13 sm51 minENE 0910 smOvercast61°F55°F82%29.64
KNUI WEBSTER NOLF,MD 22 sm50 minE 0610 smOvercast59°F57°F94%29.63
Link to 5 minute data for KCGE


Wind History from CGE
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Taylors Island, Slaughter Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland
   
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Taylors Island
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Fri -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 05:59 AM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:20 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:16 PM EDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:39 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Taylors Island, Slaughter Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.9
3
am
1.4
4
am
1.8
5
am
2.1
6
am
2.2
7
am
2.1
8
am
1.9
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.1
11
am
0.8
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
1
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.1
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.3


Tide / Current for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:01 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:36 AM EDT     0.91 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:18 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:48 AM EDT     -0.82 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:24 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:36 PM EDT     0.34 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:18 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:24 PM EDT     -0.40 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots
12
am
-0.3
1
am
-0
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.7
4
am
0.9
5
am
0.9
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.5
8
am
0.1
9
am
-0.2
10
am
-0.6
11
am
-0.8
12
pm
-0.8
1
pm
-0.7
2
pm
-0.4
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.3
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
-0.3
11
pm
-0.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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