Monday, September24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Taylors Island, MD

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9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:58PM Monday September 24, 2018 2:00 AM EDT (06:00 UTC) Moonrise 6:10PMMoonset 5:13AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 136 Am Edt Mon Sep 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 3 ft. Rain likely.
Mon night..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 3 ft. Rain likely.
Tue..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of rain.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 136 Am Edt Mon Sep 24 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A frontal boundary will stall south of the waters through Monday. The front will return northward as a warm front Tuesday. A cold front will then approach the waters from the ohio valley Wednesday, and may stall near or south of the waters Thursday. Small craft advisories may be needed Tuesday and Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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location: 38.47, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 240533
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
133 am edt Mon sep 24 2018

Synopsis
Strong high pressure builds over new england through tonight. A
warm front pushes north across the area Tuesday. Low pressure
approaches the mid atlantic coast from the southeast Tuesday
night, then pushes offshore Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1020 pm edt Sunday...

the current surface analysis 1032mb high pressure N of the
great lakes, which extends sewd into ny and is ridging swd into
the piedmont. A lingering sfc trough extends from SE va into
the carolina coastal plain, with a cold front extending back to
the W across the southern appalachians into the deep south.

High pressure is expected to strengthen as it builds to the se
into new england tonight. This should allow the in-situ wedge
to linger tonight, while the flow aloft remains w-sw. Low-level
convergence should continue to be maximized in vicinity of the
lower and middle ches bay overnight, as supported by the 23 12z
href and time-lagged hrrr. Therefore, have lingered likely to
high chc pops for periods of rain over the eastern shore, middle
peninsula and northern neck. Farther inland areas of light rain
and drizzle persist overnight, with some patchy fog once again
expected toward morning. Locally higher rain amounts are
possible over the WRN shore of the bay. Lows tonight range from
the low 60s nw, to near 70f se.

Short term 6 am this morning through Wednesday
As of 400 pm edt Sunday...

the frontal boundary remains stalled S of the local area Monday
as nearly 1040mb high pressure prevails over new england and
atlantic canada. A weak cad setup will linger Monday and
depending on cloud cover high temperatures could be similar to
Sunday. However, there is some indication that there could be
some breaks in cloud cover as the flow aloft becomes more ssw.

The best chc of showers will push inland through the day Monday.

The front begins a slow drift to the N Monday night into
Tuesday as the strong high moves farther e. Plenty of low-level
moisture in combination with the front should result in
widespread low clouds. Pops diminish Monday night with lows
ranging from the mid 60s NW (similar to the previous days highs)
to the low 70s se. Clouds slowly lift Tuesday, with variably to
partly cloudy conditions by aftn. Tropical moisture approaches
from the SE by Tuesday due to a low offshore and this will bring
a chc of thunder in a warmer more humid airmass. Forecast highs
range from the upper 70s N NW to the mid 80s se.

The tropical low swings immediately off the coast Tuesday night
and then pushes offshore Wednesday as the flow aloft becomes
wsw. Very humid Tuesday night into Wednesday with the tropical
influence. Lows Tuesday night range from the upper 60s NW to
low mid 70s se, followed by highs Wednesday in the mid upper 80s
with dewpoints in the low mid 70s. Pops will mainly be 20-40%
with a chc of tstms Wednesday aftn.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 400 pm edt Sunday...

unsettled conditions to persist through the first half of the
extended period with a stalled frontal boundary lingering across
southern portions of the region. A cold front slowly crosses the
region late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Showers and
thunderstorms will increase in coverage from northwest to southeast
Wednesday night. Both the GFS and ECMWF have this front lingering
across southeastern portions of the area during the day Thursday
into Friday allowing for the continued threat of showers and
thunderstorms. A secondary cold front makes its way through the area
on Friday with high pressure building back north of the area Friday
night into Saturday. There still remains some uncertainty with the
timing of this secondary front and a few showers may try to linger
across the far southeast Friday night into Saturday. Cooler and
drier conditions Saturday and Sunday with high pressure building
over the region. There should be a big spread in temperatures across
the region on Thursday with another wedge trying to set up. Highs
will range from the lower 70s NW to the low mid 80s se. Highs will
then generally range from the upper 70s to lower 80s Friday through
Sunday with dewpoints dropping off slightly late Friday into the
weekend. Lows generally upper 50s to low 60s inland and upper 60s to
low 70s at the coast.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
As of 130 am edt Monday...

wedge firmly in place with the frontal boundary as far SE as the
nrn outer banks. NE flow along with deep moisture is keeping ifr
conditions across most sites except orf ecg where CIGS vary from
MVFR toVFR the farther south one goes. In addition, areas of
light rain drizzle and fog results in reduced vsbys as well.

These conditions will continue through most of this forecast
period as yet another wave of low pressure tracks north of the
area keeping the ifr conditions in place. Exception will be at
orf ecg where MVFR toVFR CIGS will prevail. NE winds become
gusty (btwn 15-20 kts) along the ERN shore southern ches bay.

Outlook: st reduced vsbys cont into Tuesday morning, with
conditions improving Tuesday aftrn as the front gradually lifts
n through the region. The front remains N of the area Wednesday,
with another cold front approaching from the NW Thursday and
into the area Friday.

Marine
As of 430 pm edt Sunday...

late this aftn, frontal boundary was extending fm off the SE va
coast SW into central nc, while strong high pressure was
dropping thru SE canada. Ene winds expected to increase tonight
and Mon to SCA levels, while waves seas build, as the strong
high builds into NRN new england. While wind speeds likely will
remain marginal (at best) early this week, prolonged onshore
fetch will likely result in seas AOA 5 ft into midweek. Winds
expected to become SE Mon night and Tue with speeds generally
aob 15 kt.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 545 pm edt Sunday...

no coastal flooding is expected through tonight. Onshore flow
does increase across the entire region later tonight through
mon, as strong sfc high pressure becomes centered INVOF new
england. Tidal anomalies will once again increase for much of
the area, with possible minor flooding late Mon night through tue
(esply INVOF middle and upper ches bay and possibly md coast).

Equipment
Kdox is offline due to an equipment issue. Parts are on order
and technicians hope to have radar online after parts are
received. However, no return to service time is available at
this time.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt this afternoon for anz635-
636-638.

Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for anz630>632-
634.

Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Wednesday for anz650-652-
654-656-658.

Synopsis... Mpr
near term... Ajz mam
short term... Ajz mpr
long term... Ajb
aviation... Mpr
marine... Tmg
tides coastal flooding... Akq
equipment... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 9 mi31 min NE 13 G 18 65°F 1023.9 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 11 mi31 min E 16 G 19 66°F 1022.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 12 mi31 min 65°F 74°F1024.2 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi31 min NNE 9.9 G 12 65°F 77°F1023 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi31 min NE 14 G 18 66°F 72°F1022.9 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 28 mi37 min ENE 9.9 G 13
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi61 min NE 12 G 14 64°F 72°F1024.7 hPa (+0.3)64°F
44042 - Potomac, MD 31 mi31 min ENE 14 G 19 68°F 1021.7 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 32 mi91 min N 1 57°F 1024 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi31 min NE 9.9 G 17 67°F 74°F1022.2 hPa
CPVM2 37 mi67 min 64°F 64°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi31 min 64°F 1023.8 hPa
NCDV2 43 mi31 min N 2.9 G 5.1 64°F 74°F1022.8 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 49 mi31 min NNE 5.1 G 8.9 62°F 72°F1024.3 hPa

Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD15 mi69 minNE 10 G 1610.00 miOvercast65°F63°F93%1023.1 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD19 mi73 minENE 410.00 miOvercast63°F60°F94%1023.7 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10NW6
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NW4N4CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE7SE6E7E6CalmSE5
1 day ago3W4NW15
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N6NW4N4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmN4NW4N8N10N9
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Tide / Current Tables for Smithville Road Bridge, Beaverdam Creek, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.