Sunday, March24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Taylors Island, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 7:21PM Sunday March 24, 2019 5:19 AM EDT (09:19 UTC) Moonrise 10:38PMMoonset 8:31AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 438 Am Edt Sun Mar 24 2019
Rest of the overnight..W winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Rain likely.
Mon night..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ500 438 Am Edt Sun Mar 24 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure overhead this morning will shift offshore by this afternoon. Low pressure and its associated cold front will then cross the waters Monday. This will be followed by high pressure for the remainder of the upcoming week. Small craft advisories may be needed Monday night and Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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location: 38.47, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 240754
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
354 am edt Sun mar 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure overhead will drift offshore this afternoon. Low
pressure approaches from the west Monday, with a cold front
crossing the area Monday evening. Cool high pressure builds
across the area from the north on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
As of 350 am edt Sunday...

early morning surface analysis shows high pressure over the
region as northwesterly flow aloft transitions to west southwest
by this afternoon. The surface high will migrate offshore,
allowing low level winds to become south and southwest today.

Expect a warm afternoon with highs in the upper 60s to around
70, upper 50s and low 60s across the eastern shore. Southerly
flow will help to increase low level moisture levels through the
day, but with deep mixing again this afternoon expect rh values
to hover close to the 20% mark. Some mid and high clouds come
in from the west and northwest late this afternoon ahead of low
pressure taking shape across the central conus. Overnight low
temperatures will only bottom out in the upper 40s and low 50s
with low level moisture levels continuing to increase.

Short term Monday through Wednesday night
As of 350 am edt Sunday...

a cold front will cross the region from north to south on Monday
afternoon evening, bringing the chance for showers and perhaps even
a rumble of thunder or two for far southern va and northeast nc
where model soundings show some meager modest instability.

Likely pops Monday afternoon will become relegated to southern
zones by Monday night where the front temporarily stalls as low
pressure traverses the boundary from west to east. Northerly
winds behind the front will remain elevated Monday night with
some areas near the bay rivers coast seeing winds in excess of
20mph overnight with gusts potentially as high as 30-35mph.

Temperatures will fall behind the front from north to south on
Monday night with overnight lows in the mid 30s N to low 40s s.

Tuesday will be dry for all but the far southeastern portion of
the area (early) with clearing skies and highs in the 40s and
low 50s with continued NE surface winds.

High pressure will build in from the north for Tuesday night and
Wednesday leading to dry conditions with continued troughing aloft
over the eastern half of the country. Overnight lows Tuesday night
will be cool with upper 20s N and mid to upper 30s across the south.

Temperatures rebound a bit for Wednesday afternoon with low to mid
50s expected across the region. Overnight lows will also tick upward
slightly, ranging from around 30 degrees NW to the low 40s se.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
As of 245 pm edt Saturday...

the extended looks quiet as canadian high pressure will build
across much of the eastern 1 3 of the country for the end of the
work week. Trough aloft will gradually shift offshore by the
end of the week as the next deep trough develops over the
plains. This will allow for broad southwesterly flow to develop
by Friday Saturday yielding above normal temps in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. Will keep a dry forecast through Saturday, although
it should be noted that the GFS is a little faster with the
system next weekend compared to the gem and ecmwf.

Aviation 08z Sunday through Thursday
As of 150 am edt Sunday...

vfr conditions expected through Sunday with high pressure in
control. Winds turn S SW at 10 kt by Sunday afternoon. Some mid
and high clouds will begin to come in across the north and west
by late afternoon.

Outlook:
low pressure along with a strong trailing cold front approaches
from the NW Monday, and crosses the area Monday aftn and night,
with high pressure building in from the N Tuesday. There is a
likelihood for degraded flight conditions Monday night into the
day on Tuesday, withVFR returning later Tue through the middle
of next week.

Marine
As of 350 am edt Sunday...

latest obs and buoy reports reflect light w-sw flow across the
waters this morning, as ~1026mb sfc high pressure lingers over the
mid-atlantic southeast coast this morning. Another quiet day
weatherwise on the waters today. Sfc high will slide offshore as sfc
winds back around to the s-sw, ahead of the next area of low
pressure and associated sfc front approaching from the west. Winds
will be lighter over the water surface due to poor mixing cool water
temperatures. Winds become offshore w-sw once again tonight and
slowly creep up to ~15kt as gradient tightens once again late
tonight early Monday morning.

Models now in good agreement with slightly quicker timing of next
system and the associated strong cold front. Front looks to drop
across the waters Monday afternoon into early evening, with winds
quickly turning to the nne post-frontal. Strong north and northeast
flow will follow the frontal passage with scas likely late Monday
night and Tuesday. Sfc low looks to slow linger offshore Tuesday
night and early Wednesday, thus likely lingering SCA into Wednesday,
at least over over the lower bay and lower james... With winds across
northern waters slow to diminish into Wednesday. Over the coastal
waters, quickly increasing wind waves will build seas rapidly Monday
night and Tuesday, with persistent strong NE winds building seas
considerably (5-7 feet N and 7-10 feet s) on Tuesday. Confidence
still increasing regarding potential for gale conditions on Tuesday
from parramore island south, including the mouth of the bay and
currituck sound. Even after potential gales are no longer needed, an
extended period of SCA appears likely over the coastal waters for
much of the week ahead, given prolonged onshore flow through midweek.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lkb rhr
near term... Rhr
short term... Rhr
long term... Mrd
aviation... Rhr cp
marine... Mam


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 9 mi32 min 44°F 1025.7 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 12 mi38 min 41°F 47°F1024.9 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi32 min 37°F 46°F1024.9 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi32 min 44°F 48°F1025.6 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 28 mi50 min Calm G 0
44042 - Potomac, MD 31 mi26 min SW 3.9 G 5.8 43°F 45°F1026.2 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi20 min S 6 G 7 42°F 44°F1025.7 hPa (+0.3)25°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 32 mi110 min Calm 30°F 1025 hPa26°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi38 min 39°F 47°F1025.5 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi32 min 38°F 1024.2 hPa
CPVM2 37 mi32 min 42°F 24°F
NCDV2 43 mi38 min 32°F 1024.8 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 49 mi38 min 39°F 48°F1025.1 hPa

Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD13 mi40 minN 010.00 miFair32°F26°F80%1025.1 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD15 mi28 minSW 410.00 miFair32°F26°F79%1025.1 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD19 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair32°F26°F80%1025.7 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi27 minN 010.00 miFair30°F28°F92%1025.2 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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NW6NW4W5W4NW4CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW18
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2 days agoE10E7SE6E5E53E5E8SE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Taylors Island, Slaughter Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland
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Taylors Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:36 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:58 AM EDT     1.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:49 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:22 PM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-00.10.50.91.31.61.71.51.30.90.60.30.100.20.40.711.21.210.70.4

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:48 AM EDT     0.81 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:21 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:41 PM EDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:52 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.47 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:18 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.6-0.5-0.20.20.50.70.80.70.40.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.300.30.50.40.30.1-0.2-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.