Sunrise 6:07 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 8:02 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 1034 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am edt Sunday - .
Rest of tonight - S winds 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. Isolated showers. Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed - N winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se. Waves 1 ft. Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 1034 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a warm front will lift through the area by Sunday bringing a significant warm up. A cold front will cross the waters Tuesday bringing chances for showers and Thunderstorms. Small craft advisories may be needed at times through Tuesday.

FXUS61 KAKQ 280524 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 124 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure offshore moves south early next week with a ridge building over the area. Well above normal temperatures are expected next week. A weak cold front crosses the area Tuesday night. High pressure returns by Wednesday. Precipitation chances increase late next week into next weekend as another cold front approaches the area.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 125 AM EDT Sunday...

High pressure lingers offshore tonight, gradually drifting S.
SCT-BKN cloud cover remains across the area with clouds gradually thinning late tonight. Some patchy fog has been noted across mainly Louisa County. This fog lingers overnight before dissipating shortly after sunrise with VIS locally dropping to 1SM or less. Otherwise, cannot rule out a brief shower on the MD Eastern Shore late tonight into the early morning hours as a very weak perturbation clips the NE half of the FA. Temps as of 120 AM ranged from the lower 50s to around 60F with morning lows in the 50s expected (low-mid 50s for most).

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

A ridge builds over the area early next week with a significant warmup expected as winds become SW. Dry with (slowly) increasing humidity. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s Sun with upper 80s in most areas on Mon/Tue. Guidance has come up a couple of degrees with respect to high temperatures early next week, and a few 90F readings are likely on both Mon and Tue (now the NBM 50th percentile shows 90F at RIC on Mon). Lows in the upper 50s-lower 60s Sun and Mon night. A weak cold front slowly approaches from the west on Tue, with isolated to widely scattered showers/tstms initially developing to our west during the aftn. Isolated convection potentially moves across the area during the evening through the first part of Tue night before weakening. Will hold PoPs no higher than 30% given the lack of coverage and the fact that some of the models don't have any QPF in the FA from Tue-Tue night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

The ridge lingers over the E CONUS through much of the rest of next week. At the surface, weak high pressure settles to our NE on Wed/Thu in the wake of the weak front, with mainly warm/dry wx expected (although it will be a bit cooler near the coast on both days with the flow becoming onshore). Forecast highs are in the low- mid 80s inland with 70s closer to the coast. Precipitation chances increase late next week through at least Sat as the upper ridge breaks down and a shortwave tracks from the upper Midwest to srn Ontario/Quebec. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, which will result in multiple chances for showers/storms.
However, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. Also, another cold front may cross the area next weekend, and there's quite a bit of uncertainty regarding if/when it does so.
As such, have maintained NBM PoPs (which gives 30-40% PoPs on both Fri/Sat...highest during the aftn/evening). Highs mainly in the 80s on Fri with a slight cool down possible by next weekend.

AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 120 AM EDT Sunday...

VFR conditions prevail through the 06z TAF period across the local terminals. SCT-OVC mid level clouds linger over the area tonight with IFR/MVFR CIGs and VIS (due to patchy fog) confined to the far NW portion of the FA (mainly Louisa County).
Clouds gradually thin late tonight into Sun with mostly sunny skies Sun. A brief, light shower cannot be ruled out across the MD Eastern Shore (potentially near SBY) around daybreak, but confidence is too low to reflect in the TAFs. Otherwise, FEW (to potentially SCT) CU develop Sun afternoon with CIGs ~5000ft.
Winds were generally S 5-10 kt tonight. Winds become SW 10 kt Sun.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals from Sun night through at least Tue AM.

MARINE
As of 310 PM EDT Saturday...

Late this aftn, strong high pressure was centered just off the nrn Mid Atlc coast. Winds were SE 5-15 kt over the waters, with a few gusts up to 20 kt. Seas were 3-4 ft and waves were 1-3 ft.

SE winds 5-15 kt will become S tonight, as high pressure shifts farther S to off the Mid Atlc coast. The high will then drift to off the SE coast for Sun through Tue. With this movement, winds become S or SW (still at 5-15 kt) through the period. During this period, seas will be 2-4 ft and waves 1-2 ft. A front will drop across the waters late Tue night into Wed, with winds turning to the W then NNW. Winds will then turn back to the E or SE for Wed evening into Thu.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Woolford
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:14 AM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:14 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:49 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Woolford, Church Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:36 AM EDT     0.74 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:17 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:59 PM EDT     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:37 PM EDT     0.21 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Dover AFB, DE,