Sunday, August20, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Church Creek, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 7:52PM Sunday August 20, 2017 3:55 AM EDT (07:55 UTC) Moonrise 3:59AMMoonset 6:14PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 132 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Overnight..W winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Isolated showers.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 132 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will return today. The high will move offshore Monday and a stronger cold front will approach Tuesday before passing through Wednesday. High pressure will build overhead behind this boundary. Small craft advisories will likely be needed Tuesday into Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Church Creek, MD
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location: 38.5, -76.17     debug

Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 200156
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
956 pm edt Sat aug 19 2017

A cold front will linger just offshore and south of the region
through tonight. High pressure builds into the region late
tonight through early next week. The next cold front will impact
the region on Wednesday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Isold convection INVOF coastal NE nc has waned... But watching
tstms moving across NRN va associated W secondary cold (more
like a dew point) front settling se. Near term models keep
convection N of the fa while slowly weakening as that boundary
pushes S overnight. Otherwise... Mainly skc W light winds. A
drop in dew points expected by late at night. Kept patchy fog
out of the forecast... Though would not be surprised to have
some... ESP where recent rainfall has been excessive (i.E., on
the ERN shore). Lows in the u60 NW to the l-m70s S and e.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Tuesday
For Sunday... High pressure builds back into the region for Sunday
allowing for dry conditions and mostly sunny skies for much of the
region. Highs will range from the mid to upper 80s along the coast
to around 90 degrees inland.

Sunday night begins with high pressure centered just north of
the area across md and pa. This will provide a quiet evening
with generally light E to SE flow. Will see a little return of
atlantic moisture but overall expect dry weather mostly clear
conditions. Temperatures should cool a little more than in
recent days with low in the upper 60s to the lower 70s.

The area of high pressure slides off the coast on Monday and the
flow turns SE to s, which will allow some additional moisture to
return to the area. The orographic lift will allow some
convection to form along the blue ridge and appalachian
mountains. Some of this convection could slide newd off the
higher terrain and impact portions of the piedmont counties
later on Monday afternoon and evening so have continued the
slight chance pops. But most areas should be dry due to a lack
of lift and little mid level moisture. Temperatures should begin
to climb with most areas getting back up into the lower 90s.

Monday night into Tuesday expect mainly dry weather as well, but
the humidity will still be there as the southerly flow
continues. Lows during the overnight hours should be in the low
to mid 70s and the highs on Tuesday should be a little warmer
again with highs still in the low to mid 90s. The southeastern
portion of the CWA would have the best chance for an isolated
shower as some atlantic moisture lifts newd into NE nc and the
va tidewater.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
Stacked high pressure resides off the southeast coast as a
pre-frontal trough develops ahead of an approaching cold front
and in the lee of the mts Tue night. Overall, Tue night should
be dry with isolated showers storms possibly sneaking into
the far WRN piedmont and or md lower eastern shore INVOF the
developing trough. Warm and humid overnight with lows in the
low-mid 70s. The cold front tracks through the area on wed...

exiting the coast by Thu morning. Thunderstorms expected to
become more organized as the front provides better focus for
lift development. Lingering showers storms possible
far SE va NE nc on thu, although they should taper off from
nw to SE as the front moves farther southeast and away from
the area. Otherwise, cool canadian high pressure builds across
the midwest into the ERN great lakes thu-sat with dry
conditions anticipated during this timeframe.

Highs Wed generally upper 80s to lower 90s (mid 80s beaches).

Highs thu-sat lower 80s (mid 70s beaches). Lows Wed night
mid-upper 60s NW to 70-74f se. Lows Thu Fri nights around
60f NW to around 70f se.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
Isold tstms INVOF kecg continuing weaken... OtherwiseVFR
conditions over the region. Potential patchy occasional MVFR
fog... Mainly after 06z 20... At the typical fog-prone locations
(sby ecg phf). All fog should quickly dissipate after sunrise.

After that...VFR conditions through Monday as sfc hi pres
builds back into the region. There will once again be the
potential for some patchy fog early on Monday morning. The next
cold front approaches the region late Tue and into wed.

Sub-vfr conditions and showers thunderstorms will be possible

Benign conditions through Sun with light variable winds
aob 10kt. Winds become more onshore Sun night into mon
(remaining AOB 10kt) as a front near the mid atlantic coast
washes out weakens. Seas average 2ft; waves 1-2ft. South winds
mon night-tue night with stacked high pressure off the
southeast coast and a thermal trough developing in the lee of
the mts Tue night. A surge in winds is anticipated Tue night
into Wed morning ahead of an approaching cold front. Speeds
could reach 15-20kt bay ocean with seas building to 3-4ft
north and 2-3ft south; waves building to 2-3ft. SCA flags may
be possible for these areas in this timeframe. The next cold
front is expected to cross the region during Wed and exit the
coast by Thu morning. Winds n-ne AOB 15kt behind front wed
aftn evening through sat. Seas 2-3ft waves 1-3ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajb
near term... Alb
short term... Ess
long term... Bmd
aviation... Alb
marine... Bmd

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 7 mi38 min 72°F 83°F1016.2 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 13 mi38 min NNW 5.1 G 7 76°F 1016.3 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 14 mi26 min WNW 3.9 G 5.8 77°F 1016.3 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 19 mi44 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 75°F 82°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi38 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1 75°F 83°F1015.7 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi56 min NW 5.1 G 6 75°F 81°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 32 mi38 min NE 6 G 6
44042 - Potomac, MD 33 mi26 min NNE 1.9 G 3.9 80°F 1014.9 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 34 mi146 min Calm 65°F 1015 hPa64°F
44063 - Annapolis 35 mi26 min WNW 1.9 G 3.9
CPVM2 36 mi38 min 74°F 65°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi38 min 73°F 1015.2 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 38 mi38 min WSW 2.9 G 2.9 77°F 83°F1015.5 hPa
44043 - Patapsco, MD 47 mi26 min NNW 5.8 G 7.8 74°F 1016.1 hPa
NCDV2 48 mi44 min Calm G 1.9 73°F 83°F1014.8 hPa
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 49 mi38 min NNW 7 G 8.9 75°F 81°F1016.1 hPa

Wind History for Cambridge, MD
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD8 mi66 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F68°F94%1015.2 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD19 mi64 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F70°F96%1015.5 hPa
Easton / Newman Field, MD22 mi57 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1016.6 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD24 mi79 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F68°F94%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW5N7
1 day ago3S7S7
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3S45

Tide / Current Tables for Woolford, Church Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland
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Sun -- 02:41 AM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:12 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:52 PM EDT     1.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:25 PM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
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Sun -- 01:39 AM EDT     0.81 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:39 AM EDT     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:23 PM EDT     0.46 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:22 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EDT     -0.56 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.