Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Timber Cove, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 4:59PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 4:24 PM PST (00:24 UTC) Moonrise 12:46PMMoonset 11:09PM Illumination 44% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ540 Coastal Waters From Point Arena To Point Reyes California Out To 10 Nm- 307 Pm Pst Wed Nov 14 2018
Rest of today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 5 ft at 15 seconds and S around 2 ft at 15 seconds. Hazy and patchy smoke.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 7 ft at 15 seconds and S 2 to 3 ft at 15 seconds. Hazy and patchy smoke.
Thu..NW winds up to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell around 7 ft at 15 seconds and S around 2 ft at 14 seconds. Hazy and patchy smoke.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell around 7 ft at 15 seconds and S around 2 ft at 14 seconds. Hazy and patchy smoke.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 6 to 7 ft at 14 seconds and S around 2 ft at 13 seconds. Hazy and patchy smoke.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 7 ft at 12 seconds and S around 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Sat..S winds up to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 6 ft and S around 2 ft.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 5 to 6 ft and S around 2 ft.
PZZ500 307 Pm Pst Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Predominately light north to northwest winds across the waters through the end of the work week. Locally breezy winds will exist near coastal gaps and favored coastal jet areas each afternoon and evening. Light mixed swell through tonight with a new northwest swelll arriving tomorrow.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Timber Cove, CA
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location: 38.52, -123.25     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 142329
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
329 pm pst Wed nov 14 2018

Synopsis Smoke and haze continue to impact much of the bay area
while dry and seasonable weather persists elsewhere. No big
changes in the weather through the end of the work week with some
signs of less smoke and slightly cooler temperatures over the
weekend. Dry conditions persist at least through Tuesday with
possible pattern change by the middle of next week.

Discussion As of 2:56 pm pst Wednesday... Smoke from the camp
fire continues to be one of the main impacts on bay area weather.

Satellite showed another belch of smoke this morning that has
worked its way down the sac valley and into the bay area.

Gradients show a half millibar offshore from sac to sfo with east
winds blowing in the delta and bringing the smoke westward into
the bay area. Visibility is now less than a mile in livermore with
the east bay indicating some of the poorest visibility. Hazy
skies continue elsewhere with afternoon highs generally in the 60s
with 70s for the central coast. Very dry conditions continue this
afternoon with many sites reporting humidity values in the single
digits including usually wet spots such as big sur coming in at
9%
day over day changes in the large scale weather remain minor with
daytime highs in the 60s and 70s with fairly cool overnight lows
from the mid 30s to mid 40s through the end of the work week.

Million dollar question is how active the camp fire will burn the
next few days. As was shown today with lighter winds and even
light offshore flow the smoke will tend to drift towards the bay
area until we get a shift in the large scale weather patterns.

That may occur by this weekend as an upper low approaches the
southern california coast and some type of southerly flow may help
to keep any smoke to our east. It should be noted that latest
trends build a ridge over northeast california over the weekend
that will keep warm and dry weather up there with a fairly strong
low level inversion likely in place, not ideal for smoke
dispersion.

Long range forecast details regarding any rainfall next week
continues to be watched. The 12 and 18z GFS deterministic runs
have been discouraging and gone completely dry. Need to note that
the ensembles still show a trough along the west coast weds
through Friday of next week. The ECMWF has a weak front on weds
and a second stronger storm by about next Friday. This is all
still 7-10 days out so confidence remains low on details as we
anxiously await a pattern shift. Until then mild and dry weather
for at least another 6 days.

Aviation As of 03:29 pm pst Wednesday... For 00z tafs. Much of
the area continues to see reduced visibilities to MVFR, with
isolated instances of ifr, due to smoke. Generally poor vis is
expected to continue with slant range visibility issues persisting
through the period. Light winds will continue through the period
as well.

Vicinity of ksfo... MVFR vis due to smoke with generally light
winds. Slant range vis issues expected to persist. Latest hrrr
smoke forecast does not suggest much change in smoke conditions
through at least tonight.

Sfo bridge approach... Similar to terminal.

Monterey bay terminals...VFR prevailing with periods of reduced
vis to MVFR due to smoke.

Marine As of 02:26 pm pst Wednesday... Predominately light north
to northwest winds across the waters through the end of the work
week. Locally breezy winds will exist near coastal gaps and
favored coastal jet areas. Light mixed swell today with a new
northwest swell arriving tomorrow.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tngt None.

Public forecast: rww
aviation: as
marine: drp
visit us at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46013 - Bodega Bay - 48NM North Northwest of San Francisco, CA 20 mi35 min NW 9.7 G 14 55°F3 ft1024.4 hPa
ANVC1 - 9416841 - Arena Cove, CA 37 mi37 min ENE 1 G 6 55°F 54°F1025.6 hPa
PRYC1 - 9415020 - Point Reyes, CA 39 mi37 min WNW 8 G 11 56°F1023.8 hPa
46214 - Point Reyes, CA (029) 41 mi25 min 59°F5 ft

Wind History for Arena Cove, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa Sonoma County Airport, CA23 mi32 minS 34.00 miHaze Smoke70°F21°F16%1022.6 hPa

Wind History from STS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW4NE5W3CalmSE3NE3NW4CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW3CalmS4S4S3
1 day agoSE4CalmCalmN4NW4NW5N3CalmNW4CalmCalmW3CalmW3CalmCalmW3CalmW4Calm3S3CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmSE5CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW6CalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmSE4

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Ross, California
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Fort Ross
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Wed -- 04:41 AM PST     4.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:53 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:13 AM PST     3.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:45 PM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:50 PM PST     4.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:00 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:06 PM PST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:09 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.53.344.34.44.23.93.53.33.13.23.53.94.24.44.23.62.92.11.30.80.60.7

Tide / Current Tables for Salt Point, California Current
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Salt Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:02 AM PST     0.82 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:29 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:54 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:35 AM PST     -0.50 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:27 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:46 PM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:47 PM PST     0.40 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:25 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:00 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:39 PM PST     -0.96 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:09 PM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 11:47 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.70.80.80.60.2-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.10.10.30.40.30.1-0.2-0.6-0.9-0.9-0.8-0.6-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Sacramento, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.