Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sharp, MD
May 7, 2024 1:26 PM EDT (17:26 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:56 AM Sunset 8:01 PM Moonrise 4:25 AM Moonset 6:52 PM |
ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 1038 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Rest of today - W winds 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms late this morning, then a chance of tstms this afternoon.
Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Thu night - W winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat - W winds 10 kt - .becoming s. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1038 Am Edt Tue May 7 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. High pressure and drier conditions return for the upcoming weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday through Friday.
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. High pressure and drier conditions return for the upcoming weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday through Friday.
FXUS61 KAKQ 071724 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 124 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
Summer-like conditions with daily showers and storms are expected through Thursday, with a cold front expected to push through the region late Thursday through Friday. An upper level trough will keep a chance for showers late Saturday into Sunday, with dry conditions expected Monday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 955 AM EDT Tuesday...
Late morning WX analysis indicates sfc high pressure well off the east coast, with a weak sfc trough across the local area.
Aloft, a strong upper low is spinning over the northern/central high plains, leading to an amplifying upper ridge into the lower OH Valley and central Great Lakes. A nearly zonal flow is in place over the mid-Atlantic with a weak shortwave passing through the area. Earlier fog over the NW has generally dissipated, leaving a broken or overcast low cloud deck over these areas. Expect this to gradually thin out over the next few hrs with increasing sfc heating. Temps have risen into the upper 60s-low 70s (except in the mid 60s where that low cloud deck remains).
For today, the FA is in a Marginal SVR risk with the primary threats being wind and hail. Low level lapse rates will be a little steeper today compared to the past few days with the expectation of seeing increasing amts of sun later this morning into the aftn. This will lead to decent instability by aftn as upper level flow becomes NW and the upper ridge W of the Appalachians amplifies. Shear will avg ~30kt. Given the overall weaker forcing, expect the storm coverage to be a bit less but still in the chc range this aftn (mainly 30-40%), with a bit lower coverage (20%) over the SW zones. Latest HRRR places the highest coverage of storms in the I-64 corridor, along with a secondary area over the MD Eastern Shore. Thinking is that sea breezes and/or remnant boundaries may serve as the primary focus for shower/storm activity this aftn. The best instability will over the SE (just inland from the coast) this aftn, and this is where there is the best chance of a localized damaging wind gust. Highs will range from the low- mid 80s across most of the region, though temperatures near the coast may drop off by later aftn as the weak sfc pattern allows for some backing of the winds near the coast. Storms should diminish in coverage this evening, with manly dry conditions overnight. There is a decent signal for marine fog along the ern shore and this could affect the entire ern shore later tonight. Warm with lows mainly in the 60s.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 410 AM EDT Tuesday...
The pattern remains active Wed-Thu, with a strong upper low shifting E towards the Great Lakes Wed, then slowly dropping SE Thu/Thu night. Both Wed and Thu will be warm and somewhat humid for the time of year (dew pts in the mid/upper 60s during peak heating). SPC has placed the CWA in a a Marginal risk for Wed and a Slight risk for Thu. With that said, Wed will still feature ample instability (ML CAPE to 1000-2000 J/Kg), and decent shear (0-6km bulk shear and increasing shear ~40kt). The limiting factor will be a WSW low level flow that may lead to a limited storm coverage. Hot Wed with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Again the main threat will be wind and hail in any storms that develop, primarily late in the aftn into the evening (actually may see the higher coverage during the evening). For Thu, we will continue to see decent shear, and with decreasing heights aloft as the upper trough moves in from the NW, a higher storm coverage. Some of the CAMs are suggesting some morning shower/tstm activity and this could mess with the aftn instability to some extent. Still, the overall pattern is favorable enough to support the Slight risk as it appears now.
Not as warm on Thu with highs mainly in the low 80sW to the upper 80s SE. Showers/storms diminish overnight with drier air moving in from W to E. Slightly cooler with lows in the upper 50s W to low-mid 60s SE.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 420 AM EDT Tuesday...
Fri starts off mainly dry, but scattered showers are expected to redevelop as the upper trough swings through and the associated shortwave moves across either VA or the Carolinas. There will be limited sfc-based instability but the cold pool aloft could set off some tstms, mainly across the southern 1/2 of the CWA Highs on Fri will be cooler, mainly in the lower to mid 70s. The weekend weather pattern remains a bit uncertain as the models show yet another upper trough diving SE from the Great Lakes and passing off the mid-Atlantic coast Sat night through Sunday. The airmass will be cooler and fairly dry but will continue w/ 20-30% PoPs (highest N) for Sat night through early Sun aftn. It looks dry from late Sunday through Monday with seasonable temperatures (highs in the 70s with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s).
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 125 PM EDT Tuesday...
Flying conditions have generally improved across the area this afternoon. Pockets of patchy MVFR CIGs persist at RIC, as well as further N and NE across the Northern Neck. Otherwise, most terminals are expected to be VFR this aftn (outside of any showers or storms) w/ cloud bases 3-5k ft AGL. Regarding tstms, continue to include VCTS in the TAFs in the 18Z Tue-00Z Wed timeframe. Brief heavy rain (with IFR VSBYs) and gusty winds can be expected in any shower/tstm this aftn. There continues to be a strong signal that a marine layer pushes inland over the Eastern Shore this evening through Wed morning with IFR/LIFR CIGs and fog possible at SBY. Winds this aftn are light and variable in direction, though they will gradually become S 5-10 kt later into this evening. Winds may turn to the NE later this aftn at ORF as a light sea breeze moves onshore. Light SW winds forecast tonight. Additional showers/storms possible Wed, though this is mainly outside the TAF period.
Outlook...A warmer, more summerlike pattern will prevail Wed through Thu, with chances for storms mainly during the aftn/evening.
The highest coverage is expected to be Thursday as a slow moving cold front moves through the area. Svr wx is possible. Mainly VFR Fri, but there will be a chc for showers redeveloping Fri aftn into fri evening. Mainly dry Sat.
MARINE
As of 345 AM EDT Tuesday...
Quiet conditions early this morning across the local waters. Surface analysis shows high pressure off the SE CONUS with strong low pressure noted over the northern Plains. Winds are generally SW 5-10 kt with waves 1-2 ft in the bay and seas 2-3 ft offshore.
A weak front is located north of the local waters and it may sag southward into the northern Ches Bay this afternoon before lifting back northward this evening. High pressure remains anchored well offshore through mid week, resulting in sub-SCA S or SW flow. A series of upper waves will traverse north of the area in the speedy westerly flow aloft through Thursday. These disturbances will bring the chance for showers and thunderstorms, generally favoring the afternoon into the early overnight hours. Locally enhanced winds/waves/seas could accompany the stronger storms. A stronger low late Friday into the first half of the weekend may lead to a stronger frontal passage and the potential for SCA conditions but confidence in strength and timing of the relevant features are low.
Waves generally 1-2 ft with seas 2-4 ft through the end of the work week.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 355 AM EDT Tuesday...
Continued ebb tides at the mouth of the bay have resulted in decreasing tidal anomalies across the area (generally less than 1 foot in the mid and upper bay and around 1 foot for the southern bay/lower James gauges). Some nuisance to localized low-end minor flooding (Bishops Head) will be possible with the higher diurnal astronomical tides early Wednesday morning. Guidance suggests borderline minor to low-end moderate tidal flooding is possible across bay-side portions of the MD Eastern Shore early Thursday morning as SW flow combines with increasing astronomical tides as we approach the new moon phase.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 124 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
Summer-like conditions with daily showers and storms are expected through Thursday, with a cold front expected to push through the region late Thursday through Friday. An upper level trough will keep a chance for showers late Saturday into Sunday, with dry conditions expected Monday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 955 AM EDT Tuesday...
Late morning WX analysis indicates sfc high pressure well off the east coast, with a weak sfc trough across the local area.
Aloft, a strong upper low is spinning over the northern/central high plains, leading to an amplifying upper ridge into the lower OH Valley and central Great Lakes. A nearly zonal flow is in place over the mid-Atlantic with a weak shortwave passing through the area. Earlier fog over the NW has generally dissipated, leaving a broken or overcast low cloud deck over these areas. Expect this to gradually thin out over the next few hrs with increasing sfc heating. Temps have risen into the upper 60s-low 70s (except in the mid 60s where that low cloud deck remains).
For today, the FA is in a Marginal SVR risk with the primary threats being wind and hail. Low level lapse rates will be a little steeper today compared to the past few days with the expectation of seeing increasing amts of sun later this morning into the aftn. This will lead to decent instability by aftn as upper level flow becomes NW and the upper ridge W of the Appalachians amplifies. Shear will avg ~30kt. Given the overall weaker forcing, expect the storm coverage to be a bit less but still in the chc range this aftn (mainly 30-40%), with a bit lower coverage (20%) over the SW zones. Latest HRRR places the highest coverage of storms in the I-64 corridor, along with a secondary area over the MD Eastern Shore. Thinking is that sea breezes and/or remnant boundaries may serve as the primary focus for shower/storm activity this aftn. The best instability will over the SE (just inland from the coast) this aftn, and this is where there is the best chance of a localized damaging wind gust. Highs will range from the low- mid 80s across most of the region, though temperatures near the coast may drop off by later aftn as the weak sfc pattern allows for some backing of the winds near the coast. Storms should diminish in coverage this evening, with manly dry conditions overnight. There is a decent signal for marine fog along the ern shore and this could affect the entire ern shore later tonight. Warm with lows mainly in the 60s.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 410 AM EDT Tuesday...
The pattern remains active Wed-Thu, with a strong upper low shifting E towards the Great Lakes Wed, then slowly dropping SE Thu/Thu night. Both Wed and Thu will be warm and somewhat humid for the time of year (dew pts in the mid/upper 60s during peak heating). SPC has placed the CWA in a a Marginal risk for Wed and a Slight risk for Thu. With that said, Wed will still feature ample instability (ML CAPE to 1000-2000 J/Kg), and decent shear (0-6km bulk shear and increasing shear ~40kt). The limiting factor will be a WSW low level flow that may lead to a limited storm coverage. Hot Wed with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Again the main threat will be wind and hail in any storms that develop, primarily late in the aftn into the evening (actually may see the higher coverage during the evening). For Thu, we will continue to see decent shear, and with decreasing heights aloft as the upper trough moves in from the NW, a higher storm coverage. Some of the CAMs are suggesting some morning shower/tstm activity and this could mess with the aftn instability to some extent. Still, the overall pattern is favorable enough to support the Slight risk as it appears now.
Not as warm on Thu with highs mainly in the low 80sW to the upper 80s SE. Showers/storms diminish overnight with drier air moving in from W to E. Slightly cooler with lows in the upper 50s W to low-mid 60s SE.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 420 AM EDT Tuesday...
Fri starts off mainly dry, but scattered showers are expected to redevelop as the upper trough swings through and the associated shortwave moves across either VA or the Carolinas. There will be limited sfc-based instability but the cold pool aloft could set off some tstms, mainly across the southern 1/2 of the CWA Highs on Fri will be cooler, mainly in the lower to mid 70s. The weekend weather pattern remains a bit uncertain as the models show yet another upper trough diving SE from the Great Lakes and passing off the mid-Atlantic coast Sat night through Sunday. The airmass will be cooler and fairly dry but will continue w/ 20-30% PoPs (highest N) for Sat night through early Sun aftn. It looks dry from late Sunday through Monday with seasonable temperatures (highs in the 70s with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s).
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 125 PM EDT Tuesday...
Flying conditions have generally improved across the area this afternoon. Pockets of patchy MVFR CIGs persist at RIC, as well as further N and NE across the Northern Neck. Otherwise, most terminals are expected to be VFR this aftn (outside of any showers or storms) w/ cloud bases 3-5k ft AGL. Regarding tstms, continue to include VCTS in the TAFs in the 18Z Tue-00Z Wed timeframe. Brief heavy rain (with IFR VSBYs) and gusty winds can be expected in any shower/tstm this aftn. There continues to be a strong signal that a marine layer pushes inland over the Eastern Shore this evening through Wed morning with IFR/LIFR CIGs and fog possible at SBY. Winds this aftn are light and variable in direction, though they will gradually become S 5-10 kt later into this evening. Winds may turn to the NE later this aftn at ORF as a light sea breeze moves onshore. Light SW winds forecast tonight. Additional showers/storms possible Wed, though this is mainly outside the TAF period.
Outlook...A warmer, more summerlike pattern will prevail Wed through Thu, with chances for storms mainly during the aftn/evening.
The highest coverage is expected to be Thursday as a slow moving cold front moves through the area. Svr wx is possible. Mainly VFR Fri, but there will be a chc for showers redeveloping Fri aftn into fri evening. Mainly dry Sat.
MARINE
As of 345 AM EDT Tuesday...
Quiet conditions early this morning across the local waters. Surface analysis shows high pressure off the SE CONUS with strong low pressure noted over the northern Plains. Winds are generally SW 5-10 kt with waves 1-2 ft in the bay and seas 2-3 ft offshore.
A weak front is located north of the local waters and it may sag southward into the northern Ches Bay this afternoon before lifting back northward this evening. High pressure remains anchored well offshore through mid week, resulting in sub-SCA S or SW flow. A series of upper waves will traverse north of the area in the speedy westerly flow aloft through Thursday. These disturbances will bring the chance for showers and thunderstorms, generally favoring the afternoon into the early overnight hours. Locally enhanced winds/waves/seas could accompany the stronger storms. A stronger low late Friday into the first half of the weekend may lead to a stronger frontal passage and the potential for SCA conditions but confidence in strength and timing of the relevant features are low.
Waves generally 1-2 ft with seas 2-4 ft through the end of the work week.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 355 AM EDT Tuesday...
Continued ebb tides at the mouth of the bay have resulted in decreasing tidal anomalies across the area (generally less than 1 foot in the mid and upper bay and around 1 foot for the southern bay/lower James gauges). Some nuisance to localized low-end minor flooding (Bishops Head) will be possible with the higher diurnal astronomical tides early Wednesday morning. Guidance suggests borderline minor to low-end moderate tidal flooding is possible across bay-side portions of the MD Eastern Shore early Thursday morning as SW flow combines with increasing astronomical tides as we approach the new moon phase.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD | 19 mi | 57 min | NE 1G | 74°F | 67°F | 29.80 | ||
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 28 mi | 57 min | WSW 8G | 68°F | 71°F | 29.80 | ||
| 44084 | 36 mi | 57 min | 65°F | 61°F | 3 ft | |||
| LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE | 36 mi | 57 min | ENE 6G | 64°F | 59°F | 29.81 | ||
| 44062 - Gooses Reef, MD | 37 mi | 51 min | W 7.8G | 66°F | 68°F | 0 ft | ||
| COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 37 mi | 57 min | WSW 4.1G | 68°F | 29.81 | |||
| OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD | 37 mi | 57 min | E 7G | 67°F | 56°F | 29.76 | ||
| SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 42 mi | 57 min | S 1G | 71°F | 64°F | 29.80 | ||
| BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE | 44 mi | 57 min | SE 1.9G | 66°F | 29.81 | |||
| TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD | 45 mi | 87 min | SSW 2.9G | 67°F | 29.84 | |||
| CPVM2 | 47 mi | 57 min | 68°F | 68°F | ||||
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 48 mi | 57 min | S 1.9G | 69°F | 65°F | 0 ft | ||
| 44063 - Annapolis | 48 mi | 51 min | S 3.9G | 70°F | 65°F | 0 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCGE CAMBRIDGEDORCHESTER RGNL,MD | 16 sm | 21 min | calm | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 73°F | 94% | 29.78 | |
| KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD | 18 sm | 32 min | ENE 07 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 77°F | 66°F | 69% | 29.78 | |
| KGED DELAWARE COASTAL,DE | 21 sm | 32 min | ENE 06 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 64°F | 69% | 29.78 |
Tide / Current for Sharptown, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Sharptown
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:06 AM EDT 3.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:38 AM EDT -0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT 2.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tue -- 11:35 PM EDT -0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:06 AM EDT 3.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:38 AM EDT -0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT 2.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tue -- 11:35 PM EDT -0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sharptown, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 1.6 |
| 3 am |
| 2.4 |
| 4 am |
| 3 |
| 5 am |
| 3.3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.1 |
| 7 am |
| 2.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.8 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.2 |
| 11 am |
| -0.2 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.2 |
Salisbury
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:29 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:48 AM EDT -1.12 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:59 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:23 PM EDT 0.66 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:11 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:37 PM EDT -1.13 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:39 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:29 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 05:58 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 06:48 AM EDT -1.12 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:59 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:23 PM EDT 0.66 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:11 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:37 PM EDT -1.13 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:39 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.2 |
| 4 am |
| -0.3 |
| 5 am |
| -0.7 |
| 6 am |
| -1 |
| 7 am |
| -1.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.9 |
| 9 am |
| -0.5 |
| 10 am |
| 0 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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