Tuesday, October16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manitou Springs, CO

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 6:19PM Tuesday October 16, 2018 12:37 PM MDT (18:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:14PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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location: 38.85, -104.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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Fxus65 kpub 161726
afdpub
area forecast discussion
national weather service pueblo co
1126 am mdt Tue oct 16 2018

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 457 am mdt Tue oct 16 2018
cut off low over southwest arizona is progged to lift slowly
northeastward towards the 4 corners region tonight with a lobe of
energy and associated upper jet expected to advance northward
towards the southwest co mountains after midnight. This area comes
under increasing difluence aloft and WV imagery and regional radars
are showing a pretty good convective signature associated with this
system now, suggesting a decent tap of moisture. Question for the
short term is how far northwest this system will track. GFS holds
it back the farthest south then west. NAM takes the track farthest
east through ut. ECMWF canadian appears to be in between though
trends towards the GFS in later periods with a farther west storm
track as it lifts northward through ut. Ultimately, how far east the
track gets will determine how heavy the snowfall will be across
western portions of the forecast area. Given the NAM is the outlier,
leaned the forecast towards the consensus solution which put best
uptick in snow across the eastern san juan mountains late tonight.

Isolated to scattered rain and snow showers are expected across the
remainder of the mountains and interior valleys towards morning.

Snowfall will continue into the longer ranges so see below for event
details.

Temperatures will moderate for most areas today and with increasing
clouds tonight, not expecting interior valleys to drop as cold as
this morning's readings. -kt

Long term (Wednesday through Monday)
issued at 457 am mdt Tue oct 16 2018
highest potential of accumulating snow(favoring the southwestern
mountains and to a lesser degree other mountain ranges) during
the longer term should be realized from Wednesday into Thursday as
upper energy from weakening upper low rotates across the region.

At this time, if recent trends continue, the potential exists
that 36 ot 48 hour localized QPF amounts over the eastern san juan
mountains may near 0.50 inches with localized 36 to 48 hour snow
amounts running in the 4 to 8 inch range over select eastern san
juan mountain locations, which may warrant primarily winter
weather advisory highlights if trend continues. Other higher
terrain locations are expected to receive lower QPF and snow
amounts during this time-frame. Will continue to monitor closely.

In addition, overall projected maximum temperatures should
continue to run below mid-october climatological averages from
Wednesday into Thursday, while projected minimum temperatures
should hover near climatological averages.

Friday through Monday should experience warmer and drier
meteorological conditions as upper ridging develops over southern
colorado, especially from this weekend into Monday, with
projected maximum temperatures nearing challenging the 70f degree
mark over several eastern locations during this time-frame.

Finally, basically low-grade gradient winds should be experienced
over southern colorado during the balance of the longer term with
the highest potential of locally gusty winds anticipated from
Wednesday into Thursday.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon)
issued at 1122 am mdt Tue oct 16 2018
vfr conditions at all TAF sites the next 24 hrs. Clouds will
increase over the mountains later today and tonight, with a few
shsn over most higher terrain by early Wed morning. With the
precip, higher peaks of the sangres san juans will become obscured
overnight, with mountain obscuration spreading northward wed
morning.

Pub watches warnings advisories
None.

Aviation... Petersen


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Air Force Academy, CO11 mi1.7 hrsNNW 1110.00 miFair47°F18°F31%1031.5 hPa
City Of Colorado Springs Municipal Airport, CO11 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair52°F23°F32%1031.3 hPa
Fort Carson, CO14 mi1.7 hrsN 010.00 miFair50°F18°F29%1032.8 hPa
Meadow Lake Airport, CO20 mi42 minN 9 G 1510.00 miFair50°F18°F30%1030.8 hPa

Wind History from AFF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE7
G14
S10SW6S4S6CalmN3N5N9N7N10--N6N7N6N7N9N8N9N9N9NW11N5
1 day ago----------------N3N6N5N5N5N5N7N6N7N7N5N5N4S3SW3S5
2 days ago------S18SE14SE11SE8S5N3N21
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Pueblo, CO (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pueblo, CO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.