Thursday, July19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manitou Springs, CO

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 8:22PM Thursday July 19, 2018 12:07 AM MDT (06:07 UTC) Moonrise 1:15PMMoonset 12:21AM Illumination 37% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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location: 38.85, -104.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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Fxus65 kpub 190538
afdpub
area forecast discussion
national weather service pueblo co
1138 pm mdt Wed jul 18 2018

Short term (this evening through Thursday)
issued at 243 pm mdt Wed jul 18 2018
drier air in the mid levels was spreading across the state this
afternoon under nwly flow aloft, while n-nwly surface winds have
begun to lower surface dewpoints as well. Starting to see some very
isolated convection develop over WRN co and nwrn nm as of 2030z, so
will leave some very low pops in place for the higher peaks of the
sangres and san juans into early evening, though coverage intensity
of any tsra will be sparse weak. Still some modest instability along
the ks border late this afternoon, though better instability and low
level moisture convergence lie farther to the north and east of the
region over ks. Past few runs of the hrrr and other mesoscale models
haven't indicated any convection in co this evening, so will taper
back pops over the plains to just a sliver of isolated near the
border prior to 00z. Clouds then clear overnight with seasonably
mild temps.

Center of upper level high pressure drifts eastward along the co nm
border on thu, with hot temps across the region as mid level
temps heights peak. Should see readings well above 100f along the
lower ark valley, with 80s 90s widespread elsewhere. Air mass
continues to slowly dry under n-nwly surface mid-level flow, and
suspect at best only very isolated weak mainly dry convection over
the higher peaks in the afternoon.

Long term (Thursday night through Wednesday)
issued at 243 pm mdt Wed jul 18 2018
after a couple of days of hot and relatively dry weather, rain
chances will be on the increase once again starting this weekend
and especially into early next week. Monsoon moisture will once
again be on the increase as early as Friday along the contdvd and
across the entire region for the weekend into early next week.

For Friday, it will be hot once again with MAX temps on the plains
aoa 100f along the lower ark rvr valley and 90s over the remainder
of the plains. Upper 80s will occur in the valleys with 70 mtns.

Showers should be on the upswing across the contdvd as moisture
increases.

For the weekend, moisture increases all regions, although I really
do not see any noticeable forcing on the plains, and showers and
storms over the lower elevations may be isolated at best. Over the
mtns, scattered to likely pops are forecasted. Some of this rain may
be locally heavy, with the attended threats of flash flooding and
rockslides.

From late Sunday night into early next week, showers and storms
should become widespread all regions a a front will come down the
plains as early as Sunday night, and this will be the needed forcing
to get storms going over the plains. Flash flooding will become more
a concern this period, especially urban areas and east slopes of the
mtns burn scar regions.

A drier trend will likely start by mid week. \ hodanish

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Thursday night)
issued at 1130 pm mdt Wed jul 18 2018
upper high pressure will keep conditions dry across much of the
flight area over the next 24 hours. However, there is some monsoon
moisture working through the ridge that will bring a few afternoon
and evening showers or storms to southern and western mountain
areas. Primary concerns from storms will be lightning, wind gusts
to around 40 mph and spotty heavy rainfall. The 3 terminal sites,
kcos, kpub and kals are expected to remainVFR next 24 hours with
no storm activity.

Pub watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Petersen
long term... Hodanish
aviation... Lw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Air Force Academy, CO11 mi69 minN 410.00 miFair69°F44°F41%1013.4 hPa
City Of Colorado Springs Municipal Airport, CO11 mi73 minNNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds72°F52°F50%1012.5 hPa
Fort Carson, CO14 mi2.2 hrsN 010.00 miFair76°F49°F39%1015.2 hPa
Meadow Lake Airport, CO20 mi72 minN 010.00 miFair69°F46°F44%1025.4 hPa

Wind History from AFF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S5E5E4CalmN7N9N6N8N8N8NE5
G15
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G16
NW6N5
G17
6CalmSE4SW3S5CalmSE8S4N4
1 day agoE7S4CalmNW6N12N6N8NW9N8CalmCalmSE5SE7SE9
G17
S9
G19
SE13S6S13N14
G27
CalmS9N5CalmCalm
2 days agoS4S3CalmS4S6SW3CalmNW4N5CalmS11
G16
S7S9
G15
SE6
G16
SE6SE8
G15
S11S10S11SE10S11SE8SE5S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Pueblo, CO (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pueblo, CO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.