Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mayo, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 7:54PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 4:40 AM EDT (08:40 UTC) Moonrise 2:23PMMoonset 3:05AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ532 Chesapeake Bay From Sandy Point To North Beach- 433 Am Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Thursday morning...
Rest of the overnight..E winds 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. Rain likely. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Numerous showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Rain likely.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Rain likely.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
ANZ500 433 Am Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure will pass through the waters today. High pressure will approach the waters tonight before settling overhead Thursday. Low pressure will approach the waters Thursday night before passing through Friday. A cold front will pass through Saturday and high pressure will return for early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mayo, MD
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location: 38.87, -76.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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Fxus61 klwx 250740
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md washington dc
340 am edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will pass by just to east today and high pressure
will return for tonight into Thursday. Low pressure will
approach the area Thursday night before passing through the area
Friday. A cold front will pass through Saturday and high
pressure will return for early next week.

Near term through tonight
Cutoff low pressure to our south early this morning will get
absorbed by the jetstream and it will track northeast, passing
by to our just to our east today. The steady rain for most areas
overnight will gradually breakup early this morning as the dry
slot moves in overhead. However, the upper-level trough axis
will remain overhead... And this combined with plenty of moisture
in place suggest that scattered showers will persist through the
morning rush. Also, low-level moisture will be trapped
underneath the nocturnal inversion and this will result in low
clouds along with patchy fog. Fog may be locally dense in higher
elevations through the morning rush.

A northwest flow will gradually develop later this morning
through this afternoon as the low passes by to our east.

However, advection will be weak so drier conditions will be slow
to take place. Having that been said... Low clouds should
gradually dissipate but a mostly cloudy to cloudy sky will
remain in place this afternoon as the upper-level trough axis
continues to swing through the area. Isolated to scattered
showers are expected during this time, but it will not be a
washout. Coverage may be a bit more widespread across southern
maryland and for locations near the bay... Closer to the surface
low and upper-level low that is associated with the surface low.

Max temps should top off in the 60s for most locations.

The low will continue to move away from the area tonight and it
will strengthen just a bit. This will cause the northwest flow
to strengthen a bit and dry advection will be more pronounced.

Therefore, any leftover showers should dissipate this evening
and skies will clear out as well. Cool conditions are expected
overnight with min temps in the 40s for most places north and
west of interstate 95 and lower to middle 50s south and east of
i-95.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
High pressure will build overhead for Thursday and it will
remain dry and seasonable. High clouds may build later in the
day ahead of the next area of low pressure.

That low pressure is expected to approach the area Thursday
night before passing through Friday. Guidance has come into
better agreement with the details of this system, but some
uncertainty does remain. As of now, it looks like this system
will dip into some southern stream moisture and it will be
strong enough to bring the likelihood for a period of rain
overnight Thursday into Friday. The low will move off to the
northeast later Friday, but the upper-level trough axis
associated with the low will be passing through, so a few
showers may persist Friday afternoon as well. Drier conditions
are likely Friday night as any showers dissipate due to the loss
of daytime heating and a westerly flow.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
An upper level disturbance will move from the eastern great
lakes to the northeast u.S. Saturday. An associated surface
cold front will drag across our region Saturday and then to our
southeast Saturday night. A moisture-starved cold front may only
squeeze out a shower or two in parts of out region.

Temperatures will be seasonable.

High pressure will build in behind the cold front Sunday and linger
through the middle of next week. Sunday's highs could be 10 degrees
cooler than Saturday's high temperatures. Temperatures will modify
on Monday, possibly reaching the upper 60s. Then, much of the region
could encounter lower to middle 70s Tuesday with high pressure
lingering over the mid-atlantic.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
Low-level moisture will remain trapped underneath the subsidence
inversion resulting in low clouds and patchy fog early this
morning. Ifr conditions are expected. Low pressure will pass by
to the east today and a northwest flow will develop. However,
the flow will contain little in the way of dry or cold air
advection. Therefore, low clouds are expected to take a while to
burn off. Will continue with ifr conditions for most of the
morning perhaps even into the early and middle afternoon hours.

Dry advection will become a little more pronounced later this
afternoon and evening, and this should allow for a return ofVFR
conditions.

High pressure will build over the terminals tonight through
Thursday. There may be a period of northwest wind gusts around
15 to 20 knots tonight into Thursday ahead of the building high.

Low pressure will approach the terminals Thursday night before
passing through Friday. Rain and subvfr conditions are likely
with the passage of this system. Drier conditions are expected
Friday night, but patchy fog is possible.

Vfr conditions at all terminals Saturday through Sunday night. A
brief period of MVFR cannot be ruled out in any passing showers
on Saturday. Winds Saturday northwest 5 to 10 knots Saturday
and Saturday night. Winds northwest 10 knots Sunday, diminishing
Sunday night.

Marine
Low pressure will pass by to the east today and the gradient
will be relatively weak close to the low. Therefore, winds are
expected to remain below SCA criteria. High pressure will build
toward the waters tonight before settling overhead Thursday. A
pressure surge will cause northwest winds to increase. A small
craft advisory is in effect for the bay and lower tidal potomac
river. The SCA may need to be expanded to include the upper and
middle potomac river as well, but confidence was too low at this
time given the unfavorable timing of the pressure surge. For
now, gusts have been capped around 15 knots across these areas.

Low pressure will approach the waters Thursday night before
passing through Friday. Winds may approach SCA criteria for
portions of the waters, but confidence is low at this time due
to uncertainly as to exactly how strong the low will be. Light
winds are expected Friday night.

No marine hazards expected Saturday through Sunday night. Winds
northwest around 10 knots Saturday and Saturday night. Winds
northwest 10 to 15 knots Sunday and Sunday night.

Tides coastal flooding
Water levels running about a 1 to 1.5 feet above astronomical
normals this morning. The winds over the waters have diminished,
but anomalies should not change too much from where they are
now through the morning tide cycle. Will continue with the
coastal flood advisory for st marys county through the high tide
cycle this morning. A coastal flood advisory is also in effect
for washington dc and alexandria where current anomalies if they
hold will cause water levels to be right around the thresholds
for minor tidal flooding.

A northwest flow will develop later today but it will be light.

This may cause anomalies to drop just a bit this afternoon, but
confidence is low. If anomalies do not drop too much, then minor
flooding for sensitive areas is possible. The northwest flow
will strengthen tonight and this should cause anomalies to drop
more significantly.

Lwx watches warnings advisories
Dc... Coastal flood advisory until 7 am edt this morning for dcz001.

Md... Coastal flood advisory until 2 pm edt this afternoon for
mdz017.

Va... Coastal flood advisory until 7 am edt this morning for vaz054.

Wv... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 9 pm this evening to 11 am edt
Thursday for anz530>534-537>543.

Synopsis... Bjl
near term... Bjl
short term... Bjl
long term... Klw
aviation... Bjl klw
marine... Bjl klw
tides coastal flooding... Bjl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 3 mi40 min E 8 G 8 56°F 53°F1011.1 hPa (-2.9)56°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 8 mi40 min 56°F 1009.8 hPa (-3.0)
CPVM2 10 mi52 min 56°F 56°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 14 mi130 min ENE 2.9 53°F 1011 hPa53°F
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 22 mi30 min SE 9.7 G 12 57°F 1010.4 hPa
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 24 mi40 min ENE 6 G 8 56°F 1010.6 hPa (-3.2)
FSNM2 24 mi40 min E 8 G 11 56°F 1010.3 hPa (-3.1)
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 27 mi40 min ESE 6 G 9.9 56°F 54°F1010.8 hPa (-2.5)
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 28 mi40 min E 4.1 G 7 56°F 56°F1010.3 hPa (-3.2)
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 29 mi40 min N 1.9 G 4.1 56°F 56°F1010.3 hPa (-2.8)
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 29 mi40 min 58°F 56°F1011 hPa (-2.6)
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 33 mi40 min SE 14 G 16 57°F 1010.4 hPa (-2.8)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 38 mi40 min E 8 G 8.9 56°F 53°F1009.3 hPa (-3.0)
NCDV2 48 mi40 min ESE 1.9 G 2.9 57°F 57°F1008.6 hPa (-2.4)

Wind History for Francis Scott Key Bridge NE Tower, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Annapolis, United States Naval Academy, MD8 mi46 minE 63.00 miLight Rain59°F0°F%1010.3 hPa
Bay Bridge Field, MD10 mi65 minE 52.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist57°F57°F100%1010.5 hPa
Camp Springs / Andrews Air Force Base, MD21 mi44 minNNE 58.00 miRain56°F55°F99%1010.4 hPa
Easton / Newman Field, MD22 mi71 minSE 55.00 miFog/Mist59°F57°F95%1012.2 hPa
Fort Meade / Tipton, MD22 mi64 minN 01.75 miOvercast54°F53°F100%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from NAK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E5E7E7SE6SE11SE11SE11SE10SE13SE13SE14SE11E11E11E9E12NE13E10NE8E7SE4E6E6
1 day agoCalmS3CalmSE6SE5SE5SE7SE6SE6S8SE10S12S10
G18
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S9S6SE5SE7SE5SE8SE10SE8SE6
2 days agoCalmE4CalmE5S4SE6E8SE7SE7SE6SE6S7S12S11S7S8S8S8S7S5S4S4CalmSE4

Tide / Current Tables for Thomas Point Shoal Light, Maryland
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Thomas Point Shoal Light
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Wed -- 01:54 AM EDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:51 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:21 PM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.910.90.80.60.40.30.20.30.40.60.811.110.90.70.50.30.20.20.30.5

Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:09 AM EDT     0.74 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:14 AM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:11 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:22 PM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:26 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:41 PM EDT     -0.88 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 11:52 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.60.70.70.40.1-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.10.30.60.80.70.50.2-0.2-0.6-0.8-0.9-0.7-0.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.