Wednesday, June19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Russell Springs, KS

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 9:10PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 11:44 AM CDT (16:44 UTC) Moonrise 10:19PMMoonset 7:20AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Russell Springs, KS
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location: 38.89, -101     debug


Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
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Fxus63 kgld 191131
afdgld
area forecast discussion
national weather service goodland ks
531 am mdt Wed jun 19 2019

Short term (today through Friday night)
issued at 358 am mdt Wed jun 19 2019
forecast concerns will be fog this morning then the chance of
thunderstorms severe weather today into Friday night. Satellite
showing an amplified flow from the pacific into western portion of
north america. From their there is a less amplified split flow over
the rest of the country with a broad trough encompassing much of the
central and western portion of the country. This leaves the region
in a northwest flow aloft with an elongated trough approaching in
that flow. After yesterdays frontal passage, area is in a post
frontal upslope regime. Air mass is moist through mid levels.

Today tonight... Skies are starting out cloudy. Some fog has
developed already. High resolution are pretty consistent in
developing spreading the fog further west with time. Will watch
trends but patchy to areas of fog this morning look appropriate.

There looks to be a left front quadrant of a northern stream jet
that affects the central and especially the eastern portion of our
during the afternoon and early evening. Shortwave trough that moves
trough does not look strong. A surface boundary also GOES through at
the same time. Even though the lift is strong, there is deep lift
moving through the area early this evening. Will expand pops a
little and keep them in the slight chance to low chance category.

Models continue show sparse coverage as stated above. Effective
shear will be near 30 knots and CAPE of 1000-1500 with the highest
in the east. This and other severe thunderstorm parameters would
indicate that some of these storms could become severe, especially
over the eastern portion of the area. Currently SPC has nearly
the entire area in a marginal risk and this looks reasonable given
the reasoning above.

Thursday Thursday night... Jet moves north of area and stays there.

Surface. A stronger surface boundary moves through the area in the
morning and leaves the area in a postfrontal environment by late in
the afternoon. Shortwave ridging is over the area most of the day.

So until late in the afternoon, the area looks to remain dry.

From late in the afternoon early in the evening, the southern end of
a northern stream shortwave moves from southwest to northeast across
the area. The strongest part of the lift looks to be norther of the
area. The blend pops looks reasonable at this time and do not plan
on changing. Once again most of the area is in a marginal risk for
severe storms, instability is lacking due to a couple of surface
boundary. Effective shear is higher due to the veering profile as a
result of being easterly at the surface. So at this time the
marginal risk looks reasonable.

Friday Friday night... Forecast blend keeps some lingering pops in
the morning. These look slightly overdone but have no problem
keeping slight chance pops in the northeast in the morning. The
models are consistent in bringing closer to the area by late
afternoon a complex but stronger trough.

At that time a negatively tilted trough will move across the area
into the overnight hours. The higher pops that the forecast blend
gives me looks appropriate, and do not plan on changing. Surface low
is over southeastern colorado. A cold front comes through in the
afternoon. Area is barely in a marginal risk. However, if the front
is slower then that could allow for greater instability and chance
of severe.

Long term (Saturday through Wednesday)
issued at 158 am mdt Wed jun 19 2019
a closed low begins to move into the central plains Saturday with an
upper level disturbance moving across the area ahead of the low
Saturday evening. The low weakens as it moves east and becomes an
open wave by Monday night. At the surface, a stationary boundary
sets up in central to eastern kansas Saturday through Tuesday. This
will lead to precipitation chances primarily Saturday through
Monday.

An upper level ridge moves over the central u.S. Monday night and
builds northward through Wednesday. As the ridge builds northward, a
warm front at the surface moves north across the central u.S.

Leading to warmer and overall drier conditions. Thunderstorms will
still be possible in the afternoon and evening hours.

Temperatures are expected to cool Saturday through Sunday before
warming back up. Highs will range from the upper 60s to lower 90s
with lows ranging from the mid-40s to 60s.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Thursday morning)
issued at 526 am mdt Wed jun 19 2019
for kgld, ifr conditions will quickly change to MVFR by 13z. From
13z to 14z those conditions will becomeVFR and will continue for
the rest of the period. From 12z to 14z light and variable winds
shift to the southwest then west at 6 knots. Those winds will
continue until 18z when they shift to the northwest at 7 knots. At
00z the winds will become light and variable. At 06z the winds
will become south at 8 knots.

For kmck, ifr lifr are expected until 14z as winds remain light
and variable. At 14z the conditions will become MVFR as the winds
shift to the southeast at 6 knots. At 18z the conditions become
vfr for the rest of the period as the winds become south to south
southwest near 6 knots for the rest of the period.

Gld watches warnings advisories
Ks... None.

Co... None.

Ne... None.

Short term... Buller
long term... Newman
aviation... Buller


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Goodland, Renner Field, KS50 mi52 minWNW 910.00 miFair67°F55°F68%1008.7 hPa

Wind History from GLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5N4NE5N7NE6NE6NE7E4E3E3E4E5SE6CalmCalmS4S4CalmSW5SW7SW8W8W11NW9
1 day agoS14
G22
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G19
SE11
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SE11SE9SE9E5E9E6E6N12E10N7E13E9E6CalmCalmCalmNE5N4N5N7
2 days agoS10S8
G17
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G25
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S12
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S15NE20
G28
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G25
N14
G30
NE13
G22
E11
G19
E6SE6SE7NE5CalmE5SE6SE9SE12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Goodland, KS (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Goodland, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.