Sunday, January21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Racine, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:39AMSunset 5:36PM Sunday January 21, 2018 7:51 AM EST (12:51 UTC) Moonrise 10:20AMMoonset 10:07PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Racine, OH
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location: 38.89, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 211108
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
608 am est Sun jan 21 2018

Synopsis
Mild weather this weekend and then strong cold front crosses late
Monday with widespread rainfall. Cooler and windy behind the
front, but turning warmer again late week.

Near term through tonight
As of 600 am Sunday...

adjusted temperatures into mid morning based on current obs and
trends.

As of 1240 am Sunday...

weak lift and overrunning moisture leading to widespread stratus
clouds early this morning. Radar showing echos developing -- but
no observations showing any precipitation reaching the ground
yet. Eventually we will see some areas of drizzle or light rain
making it to the ground, mainly across the northern half of the
forecast area as a warm front lifts through. The precipitation
and lower clouds should gradually drift north of the forecast
area late today into tonight.

Temperatures will hold fairly steady through the pre-dawn,
before another mild day today. Bumped up highs across the coal
fields, where we should get some breaks in the clouds this
afternoon, otherwise no major changes made. Southerly flow will
provide another mild night tonight.

Short term Monday through Tuesday
As of 215 am Sunday...

main change to the overall forecast for the short term is the
increase in the sustained winds and gusts, mainly in the post
frontal environment. May end up in advisory criteria for wind in
the highest elevations Tuesday into Tuesday night. Otherwise, no
major changes to the forecast timing and QPF amounts. Still not
getting any thunder to come out of the weather grids as
instability is low, but wind profile certainly details a strong
speed and directional shear environment. Will not discount the
possibility of thunder completely, however, given the spc
general thunder risk over our area in the day 2 convective
outlook.

Still very warm Monday ahead of the cold front with guidance in
the mid to upper 60s for the lowlands. Drop off in temperature
will be sharp behind the front, but the pacific nature of the
system keeps temperatures near normal mid week.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 215 am Sunday...

have already the lingering wind, especially in the mountains,
carrying over from the short term period. Have some post frontal
low level moisture to deal with Tuesday night, a brief lull, and
then again late Wednesday and Wednesday night with a quick
moving open wave in the flow aloft. There is snow potential, but
really playing down any accumulations in the mountains at this
point for Tuesday night.

Another warm up is expected as high pressure passes to the east
of the mountains and puts the region in warm advection return
flow.

Aviation 11z Sunday through Thursday
As of 600 am Sunday...

MVFR stratus generally confined to NW corner of the forecast
area. Have generallyVFR across the south, with some MVFR in
stratus across the north. Cannot rule out some areas of drizzle
or light rain today across the north as well, but probabilities
low enough to keep out of tafs at this point. Winds will remain
out of the south through the period.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Monday...

forecast confidence: medium.

Alternate scenarios: timing of category changes may vary today.

Could get some fog tonight, especially if clouds break and winds
decouple.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Date Sun 01 21 18
utc 1hrly 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
est 1hrly 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
bkw consistency h m m h h h h h h h l m
ekn consistency m m h h m h m m m m l m
pkb consistency h h m h m h h h m h m m
ckb consistency h h h h m h h m h h l m
after 12z Monday...

ifr possible Monday Monday night under rain showers.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Mz 26
near term... Mz
short term... 26
long term... 26
aviation... Mz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Point Pleasant, Mason County Airport, WV12 mi56 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy41°F39°F94%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from 3I2 (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8S9SW9
G14
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G20
SW10
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SW6SW8SW9SW8
G14
S6SW6CalmSW4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS3SW6S6S7S10S9S7S7S7S4CalmCalmCalmS6S7S6SW8S7S7SW7S5S9SW7S7
2 days agoS9
G14
S11S11
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SW8
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S5S6S3S4S4S3S3S5S6S7S8SW5SW5S6S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.