Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Racine, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:47PM Monday March 27, 2017 10:38 AM EDT (14:38 UTC) Moonrise 6:14AMMoonset 6:28PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Racine, OH
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location: 38.89, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 271031
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
631 am edt Mon mar 27 2017

Synopsis
Active, mild pattern continues in a parade of southern stream
systems. The first system departs early this morning with
another crossing tonight into Tuesday, and then another
Friday.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 630 am Monday...

still a few lingering showers across NE cwa. Showers and
thunderstorms already moving into the lower ohio river valley
with the next system.

As of 130 am Monday...

showers coming to an end early this morning as one low pressure
system begins to pull away. Have some low pops across the
northern mountains this morning to account for a possible
lingering shower, however for most of the forecast area it should
be dry into this afternoon. Then attention turns to a surface
low working its way into the lower ohio river valley this
afternoon/evening. Upper level support will be weakening as the
system moves into the area tonight. Still looks good for some
thunder. Models do show some decent CAPE -- 500-800 j/kg in the
ohio river valley. The NAM is not real impressive on shear --
however the rap shows an area of 40-50kts bulk shear along and
west of the ohio river. Better chance of strong to severe storms
should remain west of forecast area, but there is a low end
chance of a strong storm making it into the tri-state later
today. Generally looking at basin average rainfall amounts
around 0.25-0.5" late today and tonight. Higher amounts should
be near and west of the ohio river, closer to the low.

Short term /Tuesday through Thursday night/
As of 340 am Monday...

shortwave and associated weak low pressure system cross region
Tuesday for more rain showers and thunderstorms. All parameters
show little significant weather with this system. A ridge of
high pressure builds in this systems' wake and keeps us dry into
Thursday.

Long term /Friday through Sunday/
As of 350 am Monday...

another upper level wave approaches the area for Friday. This
system is slightly more organized than the other systems this
week, but not my much. So more of the same expected with
thunderstorms though as a result of the active pattern water
issues may become more of an issue as soils saturate though the
breaks between systems obviously help. High pressure builds
Saturday and Sunday for another dry break with cooler
temperatures, but still above freezing - even for the mountains.

Aviation /10z Monday through Friday/
As of 630 am Monday...

some scattered fog out there this morning, however with a puff
of breeze not expecting much impact at TAF sites. Ifr ceilings
pretty close to pkb. Low chance these could make it to the
airport, but did not include ifr in taf. Any lingering MVFR
will clear out in next few hours withVFR for most of today.

Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase from the west
late today, remaining around into tonight. May have MVFR to ifr
with these.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Tuesday...

forecast confidence: medium.

Alternate scenarios: ifr ceilings may make it into pkb early
this morning, but if so not last very long. Timing and category
of showers and storms late today will be variable.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
edt 1hrly 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h h m m
ekn consistency m m m m l h h h h h m m
pkb consistency l h h h h h h m h h m m
ckb consistency m h h l l h h h h h m m
after 12z Tuesday...

brief ifr possible in thunderstorms into Tuesday. Ifr possible
in thunderstorms Friday.

Rlx watches/warnings/advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Jw/mz
near term... Mz
short term... Jw
long term... Jw
aviation... Mz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Point Pleasant, Mason County Airport, WV12 mi44 minN 010.00 miFair62°F58°F88%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from 3I2 (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW10S3SE8
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1 day agoSW4SW6
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, WV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.