Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
De Soto, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 8:34PM Saturday May 25, 2019 7:51 AM CDT (12:51 UTC) Moonrise 12:37AMMoonset 10:59AM Illumination 60% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near De Soto, KS
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location: 38.93, -95     debug


Area Discussion for - Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
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Fxus63 keax 251113
afdeax
area forecast discussion
national weather service kansas city pleasant hill mo
613 am cdt Sat may 25 2019

Discussion
Issued at 334 am cdt Sat may 25 2019
additional heavy rainfall and potential flash flooding is expected
to continue today through Sunday morning as storms develop over
kansas this afternoon and eventually move into the local area. For
the remainder of the morning hours, a narrow line of storms will
continue to affect areas north of the missouri river along a weak
surface boundary before dissipating by the mid to late morning as
the low-level jet weakens. Total rainfall amounts from Friday
into early Saturday have ranged from one to two inches over
already saturated ground. Have extended the flash flood watch
through Sunday morning to account for the quick onset of potential
flooding this morning as storms linger and later as storms arrive
this evening into Sunday morning. There is also some potential
for isolated storms to develop this afternoon within a moderately
destabilized environment, but overall forcing will subside
temporarily as the low-level jet weakens and shortwave energy
overhead pushes downstream.

Upstream convection will form this afternoon over southwest
kansas and will grow upscale through the early evening, eventually
forming an MCS over central to eastern kansas. This will serve as
the next potential for flash flooding beginning this evening
throughout much of the area as rainfall amounts could range from
an additional one to two inches, with locally higher amounts of
up to three inches possible. While the greatest area for severe
risk will remain across central to eastern kansas this afternoon,
isolated large hail and strong wind gusts will still be possible
this evening throughout the area given the existing unstable
environment as SBCAPE values will linger near 2000 j kg early on.

The potential for large hail will persist into the overnight as
mid-level lapse rates steepen. There remains some uncertainty on
the exact placement of the developing mcs, and any outflow
boundaries ahead of this feature could come into play. But
generally thinking that the MCS will arrive by the late
afternoon early evening while generally weakening through the late
evening as diurnal heating is lost. However, the flooding
potential will begin to increase as storms remain efficient with
regard to rainfall.

By Sunday morning, 850 hpa flow will weaken while mid-level heights
will rise as the southeastern CONUS ridge partially weakens and
broadens further west. This will bring an end to precip across the
area, temporarily. By the afternoon hours Sunday, a deep upper
level trough situated over the west coast will eject shortwave
energy back into the area atop a subsequent deepening warm sector.

Storms will develop along a warm front, possibly stretched across
northern missouri at that time. Some storms may become severe
where wind fields aloft will be strongest, but severe potential
looks fairly isolated at this time.

A similar setup is expected Monday, while Tuesday may present the
greatest potential for severe as the upper low moves into the
central plains area. Throughout this multi-day period, additional
flooding concerns will be present, including ongoing river flooding.

Dry conditions will finally return by the mid-week as the early week
storm system pushes eastward.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Sunday morning)
issued at 610 am cdt Sat may 25 2019
lingering rain showers will taper off early in the forecast period
with dry conditions expected through much of the morning and early
afternoon. Isolated storms will redevelop by the mid-afternoon
before more widespread storms move in from the west this evening.

Reduced visibilities and ceilings are expected during this time,
along with periodic gusty winds. Precip will push east through the
overnight, though vicinity storms will persist through the end of
the period.

Eax watches warnings advisories
Ks... Flash flood watch through Sunday morning for ksz025-057-060-
102>105.

Mo... Flash flood watch through Sunday morning for moz001>008-011>017-
020>024-028>031-037-038-043-044-053.

Discussion... Welsh
aviation... Welsh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Olathe, New Century Aircenter, KS9 mi2 hrsSSW 57.00 miPartly Cloudy63°F60°F94%1014.9 hPa
Lawrence, Lawrence Municipal Airport, KS13 mi59 minSSE 510.00 miFair65°F62°F90%1014.1 hPa
Olathe, Johnson County Executive Airport, KS15 mi58 minS 710.00 miA Few Clouds64°F62°F93%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from IXD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS12
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SW17S11SE6W11W5--S20--------------S5
1 day agoCalmN4NE8NE8NE8E9E9E8E9E5E8E5E7E6E5E6SE10SE7SE8S11
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2 days agoS6SW9SW11S12S11
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SW12SW6CalmCalmNW4CalmS3CalmNW5N4CalmCalmN5N3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.