Sunday, May20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Severna Park, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:18PM Sunday May 20, 2018 8:54 PM EDT (00:54 UTC) Moonrise 10:01AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ538 Patapsco River Including Baltimore Harbor- 733 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
Tonight..N winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Mon..E winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Mon night..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Showers likely.
Tue..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Showers likely.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..NW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Thu..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 733 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A cold front will cross the waters tonight. The boundary will stall to the south Monday before returning north as a warm front Monday night and Tuesday. Another cold front will pass through the waters later Wednesday and Wednesday night before high pressure possibly returns late in the week. Small craft advisory conditions are possible Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Severna Park, MD
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location: 39.07, -76.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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Fxus61 klwx 201852
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md washington dc
252 pm edt Sun may 20 2018

Synopsis A weak cold front will cross the area tonight and
settle over the carolinas on Monday. High pressure will build
over the area on Monday. The front will return north as a warm
front on Tuesday with a cold front expected to pass through the
area on Wednesday. Weak high pressure will build over the area
for the second half of the week.

Near term through tonight
An isolated shower or t-storm will remain possible into early
this evening as a weak cold front crosses the area. Otherwise,
just sct-bkn cumulus clouds. Models now indicate the front will
make it much farther south into southern va and north carolina
on Monday leading to a dry day on Monday. Areas of fog are
possible late tonight given strengthening mid-level subsidence
and very wet moist ground despite lowering sfc dewpoints dry air
advection.

Short term Monday through Tuesday night
Sct-bkn mid-high level clouds Mon under sfc high pressure.

Strengthening warm air advection pattern Mon night and tue
associated with front lifting north will bring another round of
showers late Mon night into Tue evening with between a quarter
to half inch of rain expected. Chance of elevated t-storms mon
night mainly west of the blue ridge. Things begin to dry out
late Tue night as main shield of rain lifts to the east and cold
front begins to push south.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
A upper level trough over eastern canada will slowly shift southward
into maine and new england on Wednesday. A surface low associated
with the trough will settle over new england. A frontal boundary
associated with the low will become stalled to the southeast of our
county warning area. Both GFS 12z and the 00z euro show a chance for
showers moving through our region on Wednesday. Precipitation will
be most likely on the western side of the shenandoah mountains and
our western parts of our CWA due to upsloping flow out of the west.

The area should remain on the cold side but the front doesn't look
to shift out of the region until early Thursday as a upper level
ridge shifts into the region from the west. Temperatures will hover
in the upper 70s to mid 80s throughout the region.

Thursday into Saturday, a upper level ridge shifts eastward over
our region. A high pressure system will slowly shift eastward into
our area from the great lakes. Skies will slowly clear and a
southerly flow forms as the high pressure shifts eastward off the
atlantic coast on Friday. Temperatures will slowly build into the
low 80s Thursday and then rise up into the mid to upper 80s toward
the end of next week. On Saturday, a cold front will approach from
the west leading to stronger warm air advection into the region.

Aviation 19z Sunday through Friday
Patchy dense fog possible at kmrb late tonight, otherwise 3-5sm
br at kcho and kiad. Showers return to the area late Mon night
and Tue with possible flight restrictions.

On Wednesday, a frontal boundary will be stalled to the southeast of
the county warning area. A westerly to northerly flow is expected
to the north of the boundary. Precipitation is possible which could
lead to the dropping of both visibilities and ceilings on
Wednesday. Thursday, skies begin to clear and winds look to remain
mostly light.

Marine
Winds should diminish below SCA by 22z today then remain below
sca through Tue morning. Possible SCA Tue afternoon into Wed as
winds turn southerly as warm front lifts through.

A frontal boundary to the southeast of the CWA will lead to winds
out of the west and the north. A northerly flow could lead to longer
fetches and the need for small craft advisories. Thursday, skies
are expected to clear as high pressure settles over the region.

Winds should remain below small craft advisor thresholds.

Tides coastal flooding
Moderate coastal flooding at georgetown through 6pm this
evening. Otherwise, minor coastal flooding expected at dc
waterfront and georgetown into Monday afternoon.

Climate
It has been an unusually wet pattern over the last week. For dca
(reagan national), there has been at least 1 4" of rain each of
the last 7 days. This is the longest streak on record. The previous
longest was 5 days in 2011, 2009, 1975, 1950, 1942, and 1937.

Precipitation records date back to 1871.

Lwx watches warnings advisories
Dc... Coastal flood warning until 6 pm edt this evening for dcz001.

Coastal flood advisory from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt
Monday for dcz001.

Md... None.

Va... Coastal flood advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for vaz054.

Wv... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for
anz530>543.

Synopsis... Lfr
near term... Lfr
short term... Lfr
long term... Jmg
aviation... Lfr jmg
marine... Lfr jmg
tides coastal flooding...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 8 mi55 min 76°F 1015.5 hPa (+0.8)
44063 - Annapolis 10 mi45 min NNW 1.9 G 3.9 74°F 1 ft1016.3 hPa
FSNM2 11 mi85 min NW 11 G 14 85°F 1015.6 hPa
CPVM2 11 mi55 min 73°F 70°F
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 11 mi55 min ENE 6 G 7 80°F 1016.1 hPa (+1.3)
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 14 mi55 min NE 5.1 G 5.1 81°F 70°F1015.7 hPa (+1.1)
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 14 mi55 min W 1 G 1 80°F 65°F1016.8 hPa (+0.7)67°F
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 20 mi55 min E 2.9 G 2.9 79°F 69°F1016.2 hPa (+0.8)
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 21 mi145 min SW 5.1 82°F 1015 hPa65°F
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 28 mi55 min Calm G 2.9 84°F 66°F1016.4 hPa (+1.0)
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 36 mi45 min S 5.8 G 5.8 74°F 1 ft1016 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi55 min 80°F 73°F1017.3 hPa (+0.4)
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 47 mi55 min SW 6 G 7 80°F 1016.8 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for Francis Scott Key Bridge NE Tower, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Annapolis, United States Naval Academy, MD8 mi61 minN 08.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F70°F79%1015.9 hPa
Baltimore, Baltimore-Washington International Airport, MD10 mi61 minNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F64°F56%1015.7 hPa
Fort Meade / Tipton, MD11 mi79 minNNW 310.00 miFair77°F64°F65%1016.9 hPa
Bay Bridge Field, MD14 mi80 minN 07.00 miPartly Cloudy with Haze79°F69°F74%1015.9 hPa
Baltimore, Inner Harbor, MD15 mi61 minno data mi84°F64°F53%1015.4 hPa
Baltimore / Martin, MD20 mi70 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F69°F70%1016.3 hPa
College Park Airport, MD20 mi78 minNW 310.00 miFair83°F61°F48%1015.9 hPa
Camp Springs / Andrews Air Force Base, MD23 mi2 hrsN 010.00 miA Few Clouds83°F65°F56%1016.4 hPa

Wind History from BWI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmS4S5S5S4S4S53SW4SW4SW7SW8SW8SW10W13
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W10NW7NW3
1 day agoE15E15E14E13E13E12NE11NE14E10E10NE9E9E9NE6NE6NE5NE5E5E4E3CalmCalmNE4E5
2 days agoE8E7NE7NE7E5E7NE8NE7NE7E11NE10NE13E13E13E14NE11E13NE18
G27
E16E16E14
G23
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G21
E16E16

Tide / Current Tables for Cedar Point, Severn River, Maryland
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Cedar Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:08 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:37 AM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Sun -- 11:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:00 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:20 PM EDT     0.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.50.40.30.20.30.40.60.811.11.21.10.90.70.50.40.30.20.30.40.60.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:38 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:25 AM EDT     -0.56 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:01 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:41 AM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:03 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:27 PM EDT     -1.03 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:06 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:49 PM EDT     0.62 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.3-00.40.7110.80.50-0.4-0.8-1-1-0.8-0.4-00.30.60.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



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Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.