Friday, May24, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Delhi Hills, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 8:53PM Friday May 24, 2019 9:28 PM EDT (01:28 UTC) Moonrise 12:17AMMoonset 10:18AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Delhi Hills, OH
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location: 39.11, -84.61     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 242327
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
727 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

A warm front will slowly move north through the area tonight. A
mid level ridge will remain centered near the southern united
states through the holiday weekend. Our region will be on the
northern edge of this ridge where embedded disturbances and
frontal boundaries bring multiple chances of showers and
thunderstorms. It will remain warm and humid.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
A warm front was nicely depicted from central illinois to
central indiana, then to southern ohio this afternoon per
goes-16 visible satellite imagery. An isolated shower storm will
be possible through this evening along this axis.

For the overnight period, the warm front will move slowly north
as a mid level ridge pokes a little farther north into the ohio
valley. Some isolated showers storms may develop along and ahead
of the boundary by early morning, but this should just be
northeast of our forecast area. Cams continue to show that a
weak area of low level ascent will round the mid level ridge
into our eastern southeastern cwfa by late tonight. This also
may bring a low chance of a shower storms to these locations
toward morning. Lows will range from the lower 60s far northeast
to the mid upper 60s elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Saturday night
The mid level ridge will remain centered near the southern
united states during the short term period. Models, including
cams, continue to suggest that a weakening MCS or its remnants
(mcv) may work its way east toward our northwest cwfa late in
the day. This may be the impetus for convective development
here. Elsewhere, increasing low level west southwest flow and
diurnal heating may initially bring a chance of showers storms
to our eastern cwfa through early afternoon. Thereafter, the
focus for showers storms will be on the former MCS or its
remnants develops showers storms and propagate them east across
the northern cwfa into the evening. Moderate instability and
moderate shear still pose a slight marginal risk for severe
storms (damaging winds large hail) across the northern zones.

Will continue to mention in the hwo. It will be breezy to
locally windy with wind gusts between 25 and 35 mph. It will
also be warm and humid with highs in the mid and upper 80s.

For Saturday night, once showers storms move east, region will
be in a relative lull in activity until additional embedded
energy upstream begins to arrive late in the period or perhaps
by Sunday. Lows will be in the upper 60s.

Long term Sunday through Friday
Active weather pattern this weekend into next week with a front
oscillating through the area. Chances for thunderstorms will
increase Sunday as the northern portion of the mid level ridge
flattens due to a shortwave moving through the great lakes and
the surface front sags back south into the ohio valley. Sundays
high temperatures look to range from the upper 70s north to the
mid upper 80s south.

The mid level ridge builds over the area Monday with the front
lifting back north as a warm front Monday Monday night, keeping
the threat for thunderstorms in the forecast. Expect highs from
the upper 70s north to the upper 80s south.

Model solutions in general agreement with the mid level ridge
in place and surface front positioned to our north across the
southern great lakes Tuesday. This should work to limit pcpn
chances but can not rule out isold activity in the warm sector.

Expect warm readings with Tuesdays highs from the mid 80s north
to near 90 far south.

Model solutions continue to show spread regrading mid level
canadian low and its push to the south and phasing with S w
coming out the plains. This will affect the timing of frontal
boundary passage late Wednesday Thursday. Due to this spread -
confidence is low and will trend toward a blended GFS canadian
with the initial front pushing into the region early Thursday.

Will continue to increase pops Wednesday as moisture instability
increase ahead of this front.

Temperatures will depend on pcpn timing - with highs expected
to range from the upper 70s northwest to the upper 80s

Westerly mid level flow develops with initial frontal passage
followed by a secondary front. This will keep a low pop chance
of a shower or thunderstorm Thursday. Temperatures to turn
cooler with Thursdays highs from the lower 70s northwest to near
80 southeast.

Surface high pressure to build across the area Friday offering
the potential for a dry day.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Expect a relatively tranquil period of aviation weather in a
warm and humid but capped environment. We will see mainly clear
skies and light winds tonight, allowing br to form and reduce
visibilities at a few sites toward morning. Increasing southwest
winds in a tightening pressure gradient ahead of a disturbance
will help dissipate br Saturday morning, with gusts over 20
knots Saturday afternoon. Showers may then occur in the
vicinity. Kept out thunder due to low confidence in coverage
and location in this regime of rather weak and disorganized
forcing lacking a strong boundary or low pressure.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible at times Saturday night
through Monday, then again on Wednesday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Hickman
near term... Hickman sites
short term... Hickman
long term... Ar
aviation... Coniglio

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport, KY5 mi37 minSSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds79°F64°F62%1016.3 hPa
Cincinnati, Cincinnati Municipal Airport Lunken Field, OH10 mi36 minSSW 510.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1016.5 hPa
Butler County Regional Airport, OH18 mi36 minS 310.00 miFair80°F64°F60%1016 hPa

Wind History from CVG (wind in knots)
Last 24hrSW6SW3W4SW4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE3SE5SE6S9W6W10W12SW9
1 day agoSW3S5S5S8S6S6S7S6SW6SW8SW12W11S6S6S9S11S9SW13
2 days agoE11E12E11E12E9E10E9SE8SE9S10SE9S12S10S11SW11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.