Monday, November20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Milford, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:04PM Monday November 20, 2017 12:28 PM EST (17:28 UTC) Moonrise 8:52AMMoonset 6:58PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Milford, WV
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location: 39.18, -80.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 201457
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
957 am est Mon nov 20 2017

Synopsis
High pressure today yields to southwest flow tonight and
Tuesday. Cold front crosses Tuesday night. High pressure again
through thanksgiving. Cold front crosses Saturday.

Near term through tonight
As of 957 am Monday...

clouds are leaving the northern mountains as planned as low
level flow turns southwesterly in response to building high
pressure at the surface. Forecast performing nicely and no
substantive changes needed at this time.

As of 555 am Monday...

hastened clearing early this morning, with a slightly colder
start, per ongoing clearing. Otherwise forecast on track.

As of 110 am Monday...

high pressure slides south of the area this period. It cuts off
the low level west to northwest upslope flow first thing this
morning, so any lingering snow over the higher windward terrain
will be gone by dawn, and the clouds will follow suit shortly
thereafter, save for a little morning cu.

Otherwise dry weather ensues this period, with southwest flow
developing later today, around the backside of the exiting
high. Along with sunshine, this will allow for a milder
afternoon compared with Sunday. The south to southwest low
level flow will limit radiative cooling tonight. Ridges will
level off, even rise a bit, overnight

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
As of 220 am Monday...

high pressure will remain in control on Tuesday, with a warmer
southwesterly flow taking hold as surface high pressure slides
off to the east, out ahead of an approaching low pressure system
and associated cold front. Models still not indicating lots of
moisture with this front, which will push east through the cwa
late Tuesday through Wednesday morning, but still looking like a
decent chance for precipitation, albeit light, across the north.

Expect precipitation to start out as light rain Tuesday night,
before transitioning to light rain and snow showers early
Wednesday morning. At this point, generally less than an inch of
accumulation is figured for the northern mountains late Tuesday
night early Wednesday, with no accumulation expected across
lowland areas. Any precipitation will taper off by late morning
Wednesday as front moves off to the east and moisture depth
decreases.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
As of 220 am Monday...

high pressure will dominate the weather thanksgiving day and
Friday, with dry, but cool conditions.

Focus then shifts to the weekend, when another system will
potential move across the north, possibly spreading light
precipitation back into the cwa. There is still a lot of
uncertainty in this, but looking at the possibility of rain and
snow showers again towards the end of the weekend.

Aviation 15z Monday through Friday
As of 555 am Monday...

the last of the upslope stratocu in and near the mountains was
quickly eroding early this morning. MVFR ceilings may persist or
reform per morning CU effect during the first hour or so.

Otherwise high pressure passing south of the area will provide
vfr conditions.

Light west to southwest surface flow early this morning will
become light south to southwest today, and then light south to
southeast tonight. Moderate west to northwest flow aloft will
become light to moderate west later this morning, and then light
to moderate southwest tonight. This flow regime, coupled with
the dry air, will preclude fog formation tonight, and none of
the guidance so much as even hints at fog.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Tuesday...

forecast confidence: high.

Alternate scenarios: brief MVFR ceilings may or may not occur
early this morning ckb, ekn, bkw.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Utc 1hrly 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02
est 1hrly 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
ekn consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
after 12z Tuesday...

no widespread ifr conditions expected.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Trm sl
near term... Abe trm
short term... Sl
long term... Sl
aviation... Trm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clarksburg, Clarksburg Benedum Airport, WV15 mi35 minSW 710.00 miFair40°F21°F49%1022.9 hPa

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Last 24hrW10W8
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1 day agoS4S11
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2 days agoSE3W3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS8S8S4N3S4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pittsburgh, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.