Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Milford, WV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 8:41PM Monday May 29, 2017 11:44 PM EDT (03:44 UTC) Moonrise 9:04AMMoonset 11:32PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Milford, WV
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location: 39.18, -80.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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Fxus61 krlx 300200
afdrlx
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston wv
1000 pm edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
Cold fronts cross Tuesday and Wednesday. High pressure Thursday.

A low brings a front into the area Friday and Saturday.

Unsettled again next weekend.

Near term through Tuesday
As of 1000 pm Monday...

updated pops to better reflect the isolated t-shower moving
through perry county.

As of 240 pm Monday...

cold front has passed the region and seeing some diurnal cu
develop in the wake of the front this afternoon. Cloud cover
should dissipate after sunset this evening. Another cold front
will push through the region tomorrow, however the best dynamics
will be positioned to our north. Moisture will also be limited,
but we should see at least isolated to then scattered showers
by 18z Tuesday. Expecting a boost to the shower activity with
orographic accent in the mountains, but still not confident in
how widepsread the coverage will be, so have capped the pops at
just chance for now.

Low level flow increases out ahead of the front tonight and
there should be enough turbulent mixing within the boundary
layer to hinder fog development. However, across our eastern
zones the flow remains weak until later Tuesday morning and
there is a chance for some fog across the sheltered mountain
valleys.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
As of 330 am Monday...

Wednesday will start relatively dry with a cold front to our east.

However, diurnal heating with CAPE exceeding 1800 j kg, deep layered
shear exceeding 50 knots and pwats around 1.3 inches are enough
ingredients for Wednesday afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms.

Weak high pressure brings drier conditions behind the front
Wednesday night and for the most part Thursday. A weak front
associated with a strong upper level low pressure system over
the great lakes region will bring low chance for precipitation
Thursday night.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
As of 330 am Monday...

another, but weak cold front approaches from the north Friday into
Saturday with better chances for showers and thunderstorms. The
front is expected to stall across our area keeping the chances for
showers and storms through the end of the period. The GFS shows
strong upper waves with this front which could delay the timing of
the front and produce heavy weather Saturday and Saturday night.

Made minor adjustments to pops Friday and Saturday. Went with
the blend of models through the rest of the period.

Aviation 02z Tuesday through Saturday
As of 730 pm Monday...

most locations should remainVFR through the TAF period. Do have
a weak cold front which should bring isolated to scattered
showers tonight into Monday. Should a heavier shower move across
a TAF site MVFR to brief ifr may be possible but hard to time at
this point. Like previous shift, somewhat uncertain on fog
potential at ekn. Lamp is really the only guidance showing fog,
but think it could be on to something. So included dense valley
fog during the pre- dawn Tuesday.

Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 00z Wednesday...

forecast confidence: medium confidence at ekn with possible fog,
high confidence elsewhere.

Alternate scenarios: valley fog may not develop at ekn
overnight. May have brief restrictions in passing showers
Tuesday, mainly across the east.

Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency
of WFO forecast to available model information:
h = high: TAF consistent with all models or all but one model.

M = medium: TAF has varying level of consistency with models.

L = low: TAF inconsistent with all models or all but one model.

Date Tue 05 30 17
utc 1hrly 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
edt 1hrly 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
hts consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
bkw consistency h h h h h h h h h h h l
ekn consistency h h h h h h h m m l l l
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h m
after 00z Wednesday...

ifr possible in isolated showers and thunderstorms Wednesday,
and maybe in fog Thursday morning.

Rlx watches warnings advisories
Wv... None.

Oh... None.

Ky... None.

Va... None.

Synopsis... Arj mpk
near term... Mz mpk
short term... Arj
long term... Arj
aviation... Mz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clarksburg, Clarksburg Benedum Airport, WV15 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair67°F57°F71%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from CKB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3S6SW6SW7SW9W5SW9SW5SW6W4W5W5SW10
G15
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G17
SW11SW11SW9SW9S5SE3S3Calm
1 day agoE4CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmS4SW4SW9SW4SW106S8S9SW8SW7SW14SW12S8SW8SW8S7
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmW4N4SE3CalmN4CalmSE3CalmW7W4SW6SW6SW5SW5CalmN5CalmN4NE3N4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston WV (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pittsburgh, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.