Wednesday, September26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kings, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 6:56PM Wednesday September 26, 2018 1:29 AM EDT (05:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:09PMMoonset 7:13AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 1034 Pm Edt Tue Sep 25 2018
Rest of tonight..S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Patchy fog with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..E winds 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers.
Fri night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Sat..N winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1034 Pm Edt Tue Sep 25 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A warm front will continue lifting north of the waters through tonight. A strong cold front will approach the waters from the ohio valley Wednesday, and will likely stall south of the waters Thursday. Small craft advisories may be needed Wednesday night and Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kings, MD
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location: 39.21, -76.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 260250
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
1050 pm edt Tue sep 25 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will lift farther north of the area overnight. A
cold front will move across the east coast later on Wednesday,
and stall south of the area as high pressure builds out of the
midwest and into new england Thursday. A weak area of low
pressure is forecast to move along the front to our south on
Friday, then another cold front is forecast to move across the
east coast Saturday. High pressure builds across the northeast
Saturday night into Sunday, then offshore on Monday.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Showers and thunderstorms continue to move out to sea. A warm
and humid air mass remains in its wake, and can expect fog
development through overnight, along with abundant low clouds.

A few showers may move in from the west during the overnight,
but showers should be light.

Lows generally in the 60s to around 70.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through 6 pm Wednesday
The warm front should be north of the forecast area on
Wednesday and the start of the day looks to be a bit on the
dreary side as low clouds remain across the region. As we head
towards late morning, the clouds should start to lift and some
clearing may occur.

A cold front will move towards our area from the west Wednesday
afternoon, crossing through our region on Wednesday evening.

Temperatures are expected to rise into the 70s and 80s across
the forecast area, which will help to increase the surface
instability. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
ahead of the front in the warm sector by Wednesday afternoon and
then continue through Wednesday evening night as the front
makes its way towards the coast. SPC continues to have much of
our forecast area in a slight risk for severe storms. While the
shear doesn't look great, it should be enough to allow for
strong enough updrafts within convection. Storm motion continues
to look like it will be on the faster side so heavy rainfall
should move through quickly and not persist at any one location
for too long of a time.

However, much of the severe potential remains conditional on
the timing of the front. A slightly later arrival and or slower
moving front and we may not see quite as much action across the
area. A slower front may also mean that rainfall rates persist
over locations longer, increasing the flash flood threat.

Storms will start to end from west to east as the front moves
through with a northwest flow developing behind the front.

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
The cold front that moves across the area late in the day
Wednesday will continue to push offshore through Wednesday
night. There will likely still be some showers across portions
of southern new jersey, delaware, and maryland into the evening
as the front moves offshore. There may even be some lingering
showers across far southern delaware and maryland overnight as
there could be some enhanced moisture and lift just north of the
front as it sags south of the area.

Thursday should be dry for most places, except again southern
new jersey, delaware, and maryland where moisture may begin to
move into the area late in the day ahead of the frontal boundary
to our south that may begin lifting back toward the area as a
warm front. Showers may continue to spread northward overnight
Thursday into Friday as the warm front lifts across the area,
and an area of low pressure develops along the boundary to our
south and moves out to sea during the day Friday.

Another weak, and dry frontal boundary is forecast to move
across the area on Saturday, with high pressure building into
the area overnight Saturday. This should bring dry weather back
to the forecast, and a brief return of cooler weather.

Sunday through Tuesday night... Once the cold front passes to
our south, we will enjoy a couple days of dry weather before the
front begins to lift north as a warm front, preceding another
area of low pressure moving out of the great plains toward the
great lakes. Highs should remain near normal in the low 70s to
the south and low 60s to the north over the southern poconos. As
the front lifts north Monday night, highs should rise a few
degrees more on Tuesday into the mid 70s for most areas. At this
time, any rain looks to hold off until late Tuesday night into
early Wednesday morning. Confidence in the progression of the
warm front is still relatively low as models have not reached a
consensus on the placement development of the low to our west.

Aviation 03z Wednesday through Sunday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Overnight... Ifr lifr conditions developing tonight. Potential
for vlifr as well. Lgt vrb winds.

Wednesday... Ifr lifr conditions to start the day but
improvement toVFR is expected by midday. Periods of MVFR ifr
possible in showers and thunderstorms ahead of an approaching
cold front. West to southwest winds around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Wednesday night... Showers and thunderstorms possible in the
evening may lower conditions, then becomingVFR overnight. Winds
shift to northwest then north behind the front and may gust
15-20 knots.

Thursday... GenerallyVFR expected. North winds early become
east then southeast during the day.

Thursday night-Friday...VFR early Thursday evening, becoming
MVFR overnight into Friday with a chance of showers. Southeast
winds Thursday night become more easterly Friday.

Friday night... MVFR conditions early becomeVFR during the
evening and overnight. Winds become northwest.

Saturday-Sunday...VFR conditions expected.

Marine
The small craft advisory continues on the ocean through
Wednesday night as seas will remain well above 5 feet through
Wednesday. South winds 10-20 kt.

Showers and thunderstorms over the waters are possible through
Wednesday. Winds and seas will be higher in the vicinity of any
thunderstorms that develop.

Outlook...

Wednesday night... Small craft advisory remains in effect
through Wednesday night as seas remain elevated.

Thursday... Small craft advisory may need to be extended as seas
may remain elevated into the day and winds may gust around 25
knots early in the day.

Thursday night-Sunday... Conditions likely to remain below small
craft advisory criteria, although winds may gust around 20
knots at times.

Rip currents...

there is a moderate risk for the development of dangerous rip
currents at nj and de ocean beaches on Wednesday.

Tides coastal flooding
The potential for minor tidal flooding on the upper eastern
shore of chesapeake bay has ended. As a result, the coastal
flood advisory has been cancelled.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Thursday for anz450>455.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... Meola mps
short term... Meola
long term... Davis robertson
aviation... Davis robertson meola mps
marine... Davis robertson meola mps
tides coastal flooding... Iovino


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 10 mi42 min S 4.1 G 5.1 74°F 72°F1019 hPa
CPVM2 23 mi42 min 74°F 74°F
FSNM2 25 mi42 min Calm G 1.9 73°F 1018.6 hPa
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 25 mi42 min NNE 1 G 1.9 73°F 1018.7 hPa
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 26 mi42 min ESE 1 G 1.9 71°F 72°F1019.3 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 27 mi42 min 73°F 1018.4 hPa
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 28 mi42 min 75°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 29 mi30 min S 7 G 8 73°F 72°F1019.6 hPa (-0.7)73°F
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 34 mi120 min SSE 5.1 74°F 1020 hPa72°F
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 36 mi42 min S 1.9 G 1.9 72°F 67°F1019.1 hPa
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 37 mi42 min S 11 G 13 74°F 73°F1018.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 44 mi48 min 75°F 74°F1020.1 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 45 mi120 min SSE 4.1 66°F 1019 hPa66°F
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 49 mi40 min S 9.7 G 12 75°F 1019.2 hPa

Wind History for Tolchester Beach, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Baltimore / Martin, MD21 mi3.7 hrsESE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F73°F100%1020 hPa

Wind History from APG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E7--E10--E10--------------------E7NW7W3Calm------W5
1 day ago--------------------------------E9E9--E8E8E9--E15
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Chestertown, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.