Saturday, June23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Little Creek, DE

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:35AMSunset 8:33PM Saturday June 23, 2018 5:12 PM EDT (21:12 UTC) Moonrise 3:20PMMoonset 1:49AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ430 Delaware Bay Waters North Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 333 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. Tstms and showers likely this evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers until early morning.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 333 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure and its associated fronts will affect the area tonight through Sunday. An upper trough will move across the area Sunday night. High pressure will build in for Monday and remain into Wednesday. The high will move offshore later Wednesday allowing a low and warm front to approach the area. Unsettled conditions expected for the later part of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little Creek, DE
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location: 39.22, -75.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 231943
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
343 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure and its associated fronts will affect the area tonight
through Sunday. An upper trough will move across the area Sunday
night. High pressure will build in for Monday and remain into
Wednesday. The high will move offshore later Wednesday allowing a low
and warm front to approach the area. Unsettled conditions expected
for the later part of next week.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Winds continue to suggest that the warm front is south of
philadelphia. The Sun has appeared across portions of the delmarva.

This has pushed temperatures into the 80s. Further north, where
skies remain cloudy and winds from the ne, temperatures have
remained in the 60s all day. It's still in the upper 50s across
portions of the poconos.

As mentioned, there is some clearing across the delmarva. This
should advance across the nj coastal plain. Some peaks of Sun could
sneak into the souther portions of the i95 corridor, and adjacent
areas to the west, before sunset.

Model solutions remain vastly different on how they handle the warm
front tonight. Decided to stick closer to the NAM and keep the front
within the CWA through the night. We don't see it tracking north out
of our cwa. The NAM has it hung up trenton south much of the night.

Since temperatures never rose to expected levels this afternoon
across the northern half of the cwa, there won't be much variation
going into tonight. Further south, where the Sun has made an
appearance this afternoon, we will see temps drop diurnally. Looking
at 60s for the northern 2 3rds of the cwa, and lower 70s across the
southern 1 3rd.

Going with the more pessimistic NAM and keeping clouds in all night.

Best chance of precip tonight will be across the poconos and lehigh
valley area, and across the delmarva. Philly south is still outlooked
with a slight chance of severe, but feel this will be more confined
to our most southern zones. I trimmed pops back across our northeast
zones.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
The warm front doesn't quite make it up to nyc. A cold front passes
around daybreak. Another cold front will try to push through Sunday
afternoon, but should be weakening as it does so.

Temps will climb into the 80s for most of us tomorrow. The poconos
will likely hold onto the 70s.

Maybe a bit more Sun tomorrow, but don't foresee the very low
clouds, fog, and drizzle the region is experiencing today. Chance
pops are in place mainly from the i95 corridor westward, slight
chance pops are in place across the coastal plain. The exception is
the poconos where I did paint likelies. The beaches may not see any
precipitation until the evening.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Sunday night... The last of the showers from Sunday will end from nw
to SE during the evening as the cold front upper trough move east of
the area. Skies should become partly cloudy overnight and low
temperatures will drop into the 60s in most areas. A bit warmer
across DELMARVA and perhaps some upper 50s across the southern
poconos.

Monday thru Wednesday... Three nice days expected with only a small
chc for a TSTM across the N W areas Wednesday afternoon. It will be
pleasantly mild and comfortable with highs generally in the
low mid 80s. These readings are within a few degrees of normal
for late june. High pressure will predominate, cresting over the
area Tuesday and moving offshore Wednesday.

Wednesday night thru Saturday... Unsettled conditions along with
a change to hot and humid conditions expected. Highs on
Thursday may remain in the upper 80s, but 90s are expected
Friday and into the upcoming weekend. Plenty of humidity is
expected as well. Temperatures and humidity levels will likely
fall into excessive heat criteria if things don't change. This
will be worth watching over the next few days. A low pressure
system and associated fronts will affect the area from Wednesday
night thru Friday, we we have some chc pops for tstms in the
fcst for those periods.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Rest of afternoon early evening... Mainly ifr MVFR conditions. Light
ne winds except for kmiv and kacy. As the warm front pushes north of
these two terminals, S winds will develop.

Tonight... Ifr conditions expected from kilg north and westward. MVFR
expected for kmiv and kacy with the warm front moving north of these
two terminals.

Sunday... Mainly MVFRVFR with SW winds developing.

Outlook...

Sunday night... Sct evening showers then fair withVFR.

Monday thru Wednesday...VFR expected.

Wed night and Thursday... Sct tstms with restrictions psbl.

Marine
Tonight... I have dropped the SCA and capped seas at 4 ft. Winds
should hold on 10 kt or less across our northern waters. This will
transition into some gusts up to 20 kt well south adjacent to akq. A
few tstms possible across the delaware and nj coastal waters this
evening. Because of the warm front, monmouth county winds should
stay NE much of the night. Further south, they should go s.

Sunday... SCA not expected. SE to SW winds 10 kts or less. Seas 3 to
4 ft on the ocean and up to 2 feet across de bay.

Rip currents...

northeasterly-easterly winds will shift to the south-southwest
tonight, except for monmouth county. Speeds will mainly be 10 kt or
less except for the delaware beaches where some gusts up to 20 kt
are possible. Seas in the surf zone will be 3 to 4 ft. There is a
low risk for the formation of dangerous rips this evening for the de
beaches. With more of an onshore component of flow and swell, there
is a moderate risk for the nj beaches.

Outlook...

sun night... Lingering showers or tstms will end overnight, sub-sca
conditions, but higher winds and seas near any tstm.

Monday thru Wednesday... Sub-sca conditions with fair weather.

Wednesday night thru Thursday... Low end SCA conditions with sct
tstms.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... O'hara
near term... Kruzdlo
short term... Kruzdlo
long term... O'hara
aviation... Kruzdlo o'hara
marine... Kruzdlo o'hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 11 mi103 min E 1.9 75°F 1009 hPa75°F
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 20 mi49 min SSE 12 G 14 70°F 1009.3 hPa
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 26 mi43 min E 6 G 8 72°F 71°F1008.4 hPa
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 27 mi43 min 73°F 76°F1008.5 hPa
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 29 mi43 min E 2.9 G 5.1 72°F 72°F1009.2 hPa
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 32 mi43 min ESE 6 G 9.9 72°F 73°F1008.9 hPa
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 33 mi49 min Calm G 1.9 74°F 77°F1009.2 hPa
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA 41 mi43 min 71°F 76°F1009.2 hPa
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 48 mi43 min NNW 6 G 6 73°F 74°F1009.3 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 49 mi43 min 67°F 67°F1010.1 hPa

Wind History for Ship John Shoal, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dover Air Force Base, DE9 mi77 minENE 81.25 miRain Fog/Mist74°F71°F93%1008.7 hPa
Millville, Millville Municipal Airport, NJ17 mi19 minN 010.00 miOvercast79°F71°F77%1008.7 hPa

Wind History from DOV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE16
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E11NE12NE11NE5NE9NE7NE6NE3N4N4NE3CalmE4E4E7E8E6
1 day agoE5E5E5SE7SE3S5S5CalmCalmCalmCalmE6E8E12E11E15
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2 days agoCalmE3CalmCalmSE4S7W3W3SW5W8W7W5SW4W3W4NW6N7N11--N8N5NE6N7NE7

Tide / Current Tables for Mahon River entrance, Delaware Bay, Delaware
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Mahon River entrance
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Sat -- 01:31 AM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:57 AM EDT     5.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:38 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:33 PM EDT     6.02 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.60.61.32.53.84.85.14.84.23.11.90.90.30.30.92.23.85.25.965.54.63.3

Tide / Current Tables for Back Creek entrance, Nantuxent Cove, Delaware Bay, New Jersey
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Back Creek entrance
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Sat -- 01:13 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:57 AM EDT     6.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:30 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:29 PM EDT     6.79 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.50.823.34.65.76.15.64.53.32.21.20.30.31.42.94.45.86.76.75.84.63.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.