Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cynthiana, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 9:04PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:27 AM EDT (05:27 UTC) Moonrise 10:16AMMoonset 11:37PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cynthiana, OH
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location: 39.24, -83.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 280146
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
946 pm edt Tue jun 27 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain across the ohio valley tonight. As
the high moves east tomorrow, warmer air will begin to move into
the region, with an increase in temperatures expected through
the rest of the week. Chances for storms will increase on
Thursday, and especially for Friday and Saturday, as a front
gradually moves into the area.

Near term through Wednesday
The center of an area of surface high pressure is currently
over the middle ohio valley. Winds have either become calm or
light and variable. Mainly clear skies are expected overnight.

Should be enough radiational cooling for some patchy shallow fog
in the southern river valleys. Temperatures will fall into the
upper 40s to the lower 50s by sunrise Wednesday morning.

Short term Wednesday night
By Wednesday morning, the surface high will be centered over the
appalachians of west virginia and virginia, continuing to move
east of the region. The air mass in place over the ohio valley
will be quite dry, with 850mb moisture projections suggesting
that diurnal cumulus clouds may be hard to come by. As ridging
builds into the area, there will eventually be a slight
increase in high clouds. This will do little to stop an obvious
warming trend, as the switch to southerly flow will be
pronounced -- not just at the surface, but with southwesterly
warm advection aloft through the 850mb-700mb layer. Max
temperatures will rebound to values close to normal -- near 80
to lower 80s from northeast to southwest. With the pattern, will
take the higher end of the SREF envelope, and slightly above a
nam GFS model consensus.

Clouds will continue to increase from the NW on Wednesday night,
with some concern for convection to reach the northwestern iln
counties before 12z Thursday morning. This may be mcs-driven and
thus hard to forecast at this point, but the more likely
scenario would be to keep things upstream, and thus only low-end
pops will be kept in the forecast for early Thursday morning.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Summertime pattern will be in place for the long term with high
temperatures in the 80s and low temperatures in the 60s to around
70. Went close to the superblend for temperatures during this time.

Several weak disturbances will work through the region through the
long term period. Again, went close to the superblend for
precipitation chances as well. There is decent instability across
northwestern portions of the forecast area Thursday afternoon into
the early evening hours therefore cannot rule out an isolated strong
to severe storm with damaging wind gusts being the primary threat.

Without any decent forcing limited precipitation chances to the
chance category for the long term except for Monday night. There is
a little better signal during this time and also better model
consistency therefore felt more confident in the higher precipitation
chances during this time.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
Surface high pressure will remain across the ohio valley
tonight. Skies will become mainly clear. Light variable to calm
winds can be expected. There will likely be some shallow patchy
river fog at kluk where predominate MVFR tempo ifr visibilities
were used.

For Wednesday, winds will shift to the south, and will increase
in strength to around 8-12 knots as the surface high moves east.

Clouds should be limited to some cirrus with perhaps a slight
chance of someVFR cumulus development.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible at times from Thursday through
Sunday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Hatzos hickman
near term... Hatzos hickman
short term... Hatzos
long term... Novak
aviation... Hickman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington, Airborne Airpark Airport, OH26 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair55°F53°F93%1020.8 hPa

Wind History from ILN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3SW4W5SW4W5W5W4NW5NW7Calm4NW8NW7
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1 day agoCalmCalmW5W7W6W7W8W7W13
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2 days agoW6W5SW5W4SW5SW4W8W8W12
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W8NW6W4CalmN3S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.