Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Silver Springs, NV
May 7, 2024 5:07 AM PDT (12:07 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:48 AM Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 5:21 AM Moonset 7:56 PM |
FXUS65 KREV 070931 AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 231 AM PDT Tue May 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
Near to below freezing low temperatures are anticipated tonight and going into Wednesday morning following breezy winds generally out of the north this afternoon and evening. Dry conditions look to persist through the remainder of the week while the region sees a warming trend through the week allowing for above average daytime highs by the weekend.
DISCUSSION
The latest RAP analysis shows the CWA with a northwesterly upper air flow being underneath the western portion of a negatively tilted upper air trough early this morning. Current surface observations and radar returns report mostly high clouds over a good portion of the region along with a few isolated light showers in northern portions. Ensemble guidance forecasts an upper air low over the Northern Plains region reorienting the trough causing the CWA's upper air flow to turn north-northwesterly during the night. At the surface, cloud cover looks to diminish by the afternoon hours with winds turning northerly across the region with gusts between 20-30 mph mostly east of the CA/NV border. For tonight, the clear skies will allow for some decent cooling with overnight low temperatures down to the 20s and 30s through most of the region.
This looks to be another night to make sure sensitive vegetation is protected with some areas anticipated to be near to below freezing.
On Wednesday and through the rest of the work week, models show the CWA taking a northerly flow aloft by Wednesday afternoon before turning north-northeasterly overnight as an upper air low develops over UT. This low is projected to retreat westward into eastern NV on Thursday causing the CWA's upper air flow to veer to northeasterly. For Friday, models show an upper air ridge moving over the northwestern CONUS while the nearby upper air low slowly progresses southward over the CA/NV border. At the surface, models continue to forecast similar or slightly cooler daytime high temperatures on Wednesday compared to Tuesday with western NV being mostly in the lower 60s and the Sierra communities being cooler in the 50s. High temperatures in the lower 70s return mostly to western NV on Thursday while the remainder of the region can expect highs in the 60s. Warmer daytime temperatures are anticipated on Friday with western NV seeing highs in the middle to upper 70s and Sierra communities warming to the middle to upper 60s. Models also show some minimal chances for precipitation Wednesday through Friday as well.
On the weekend and into the beginning of next week, ensemble guidance has the low moving away from the CWA over the Four Corners region by late Saturday and Sunday with the larger ridge being over most of the western CONUS. By Monday, models start to diverge a bit from their solutions with the GFS Ensemble showing a weak trough passing over the CWA through the day before moving east of the CWA by Tuesday. The ECMWF Ensemble as an alternative solution does not have this trough feature at this time and keeps the CWA underneath the ridge on Monday and Tuesday. As a result of this upper air setup, temperatures within the region look to continue to warm to the point where a good portion of the area sees highs in the 80s during the weekend through Tuesday at this time while higher elevations in the Sierra see lower temperatures in the upper 60s and into the 70s. Dry conditions are expected to persist through this time as well though the GFS hints at some 10-20% chances of precipitation on Monday due to the trough feature moving through. Will continue to monitor this situation in case more models pick it up, but there is not much confidence at this time to say for sure if these precipitation chances will come to fruition. -078
AVIATION
VFR conditions are anticipated to prevail for the REV TAF sites going through today. Surface winds look to turn more northerly today with terminal gusts up to around 20 kts at the NV terminals along with KMMH around 18Z. Patchy blowing dust may be a concern during this time for eastern portions of the CWA A decrease in winds expects to hit each terminal between 02Z-04Z before surface winds turn more northeasterly on Wednesday. -078
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None.
CA...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 231 AM PDT Tue May 7 2024
SYNOPSIS
Near to below freezing low temperatures are anticipated tonight and going into Wednesday morning following breezy winds generally out of the north this afternoon and evening. Dry conditions look to persist through the remainder of the week while the region sees a warming trend through the week allowing for above average daytime highs by the weekend.
DISCUSSION
The latest RAP analysis shows the CWA with a northwesterly upper air flow being underneath the western portion of a negatively tilted upper air trough early this morning. Current surface observations and radar returns report mostly high clouds over a good portion of the region along with a few isolated light showers in northern portions. Ensemble guidance forecasts an upper air low over the Northern Plains region reorienting the trough causing the CWA's upper air flow to turn north-northwesterly during the night. At the surface, cloud cover looks to diminish by the afternoon hours with winds turning northerly across the region with gusts between 20-30 mph mostly east of the CA/NV border. For tonight, the clear skies will allow for some decent cooling with overnight low temperatures down to the 20s and 30s through most of the region.
This looks to be another night to make sure sensitive vegetation is protected with some areas anticipated to be near to below freezing.
On Wednesday and through the rest of the work week, models show the CWA taking a northerly flow aloft by Wednesday afternoon before turning north-northeasterly overnight as an upper air low develops over UT. This low is projected to retreat westward into eastern NV on Thursday causing the CWA's upper air flow to veer to northeasterly. For Friday, models show an upper air ridge moving over the northwestern CONUS while the nearby upper air low slowly progresses southward over the CA/NV border. At the surface, models continue to forecast similar or slightly cooler daytime high temperatures on Wednesday compared to Tuesday with western NV being mostly in the lower 60s and the Sierra communities being cooler in the 50s. High temperatures in the lower 70s return mostly to western NV on Thursday while the remainder of the region can expect highs in the 60s. Warmer daytime temperatures are anticipated on Friday with western NV seeing highs in the middle to upper 70s and Sierra communities warming to the middle to upper 60s. Models also show some minimal chances for precipitation Wednesday through Friday as well.
On the weekend and into the beginning of next week, ensemble guidance has the low moving away from the CWA over the Four Corners region by late Saturday and Sunday with the larger ridge being over most of the western CONUS. By Monday, models start to diverge a bit from their solutions with the GFS Ensemble showing a weak trough passing over the CWA through the day before moving east of the CWA by Tuesday. The ECMWF Ensemble as an alternative solution does not have this trough feature at this time and keeps the CWA underneath the ridge on Monday and Tuesday. As a result of this upper air setup, temperatures within the region look to continue to warm to the point where a good portion of the area sees highs in the 80s during the weekend through Tuesday at this time while higher elevations in the Sierra see lower temperatures in the upper 60s and into the 70s. Dry conditions are expected to persist through this time as well though the GFS hints at some 10-20% chances of precipitation on Monday due to the trough feature moving through. Will continue to monitor this situation in case more models pick it up, but there is not much confidence at this time to say for sure if these precipitation chances will come to fruition. -078
AVIATION
VFR conditions are anticipated to prevail for the REV TAF sites going through today. Surface winds look to turn more northerly today with terminal gusts up to around 20 kts at the NV terminals along with KMMH around 18Z. Patchy blowing dust may be a concern during this time for eastern portions of the CWA A decrease in winds expects to hit each terminal between 02Z-04Z before surface winds turn more northeasterly on Wednesday. -078
REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories
NV...None.
CA...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KNFL FALLON NAS (VAN VOORHIS FLD),NV | 20 sm | 11 min | NW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 25°F | 60% | 30.01 |
Reno, NV,
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