Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Edgewood, MD
May 6, 2024 7:45 PM EDT (23:45 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:58 AM Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 3:57 AM Moonset 5:39 PM |
ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 737 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Tonight - SW winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. Isolated tstms. Scattered showers this evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue - E winds around 5 kt. Waves flat. Showers likely. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue night - SE winds 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers. Patchy fog.
Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog.
Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night.
Sat - NW winds 10 kt - .becoming sw. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 737 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. High pressure and drier conditions return for the upcoming weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters during the middle to late part of the week.
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. High pressure and drier conditions return for the upcoming weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters during the middle to late part of the week.
Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KLWX 061858 AFDLWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 258 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
An active weather pattern will continue throughout this week with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. Storms may contain heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail. A strong cold front looks to cross the region Thursday into Friday bringing an increased threat for flooding and severe weather. Decreasing rain chances and cooler conditions are expected as high pressure returns this weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
Cloud bases continue to lift this afternoon with a few breaks of sun across northern and central Virginia. With the breaks of sun, showers and thunderstorms have bubbled especially across the higher ridges of the central Blue Ridge, eastern northern neck of VA and further south into the Roanoke/New River Valleys. WIth the thinning cloud cover temperatures have climbed into the low to mid 70s north of I-66/US-50 with near 80 degree readings further south. Skies will remain mostly cloudy to overcast through this evening as scattered shower and thunderstorm activity increases with the incumbent trough ejecting from the Ohio River Valley.
This disturbance will slowly drift east across the mountains this afternoon before pushing toward the coast this evening and into the first half of the overnight period. 12z hi-res CAM guidance continues to highlight the 20-01z/4pm-pm window for the best convective development. The HRRR/NAM seem to be the most aggressive with convective development especially in areas along and south of I- 66/US-50 as the vort axis and max PVA cross during the peak heating period. The 12z ARW/NSSL are slightly less, but show a similar theme of numerous showers and thunderstorms starting west of the Blue Ridge this afternoon and drifting east into the metros this evening.
The severe weather threat today appears to be low given the poor low level lapse rates, deep saturation, and low shear (0-6km shear less than 20 kts). MLCAPE values will range between 500-1000 j/kg north of I-66 with 1000-1500 j/kg further south where a few breaks in the clouds may occur. This is the area where one or two strong pulse type thunderstorms look to occur with a brief gusts of wind, small hail, and heavy rain as the primary concerns.
The bigger concern this evening will be heavy rainfall with a weak surface trough extending west to east across the area. This trough combined with slow moving thunderstorms this afternoon and evening could lead to one or two instances of localized flash flooding. One thing working into our favor is the recent week of dry weather and the limited amount of rainfall over the weekend. Even with that said, PWATS of 1.25-1.50 inches this afternoon and evening will yield efficient rain producers out of any loosely organized convection especially where the weak surface trough sets up.
Shower and thunderstorm activity should keep going through the first half of the night as the shortwave trough drifts eastward across the area. Patchy fog may again be possible during the second half of the night. Lows overnight tonight should generally be in the low-mid 60s, with upper 50s in the mountains. Dewpoint values will remain in the 60s leading to a muggy feel.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A stalled front nearby will maintain unsettled weather conditions heading into the middle of the workweek. Additional chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms exists each afternoon although the threat for organized severe weather threat remains low. Tuesday will feature brief mid-level ridging which should suppress convection briefly before an approaching trough reignites the threat Wednesday into Thursday.
Convection will be of the pulse variety or loosely organized Tuesday given abundant cloud cover/convective debris over the region. More of a focus turns toward Tuesday night as a complex of storms will eject out of the Ohio River Valley. This convection will be in it's decaying phase as it works eastward heading into Wednesday morning and could become a key player into how the severe weather and hydro threat pan out Wednesday afternoon.
On Wednesday, the instability in the atmosphere will be greater given a few more breaks in the clouds due in part to west to southwest flow. This will allow for some downsloping and compressional warming especially east of the Blue Ridge. The combination of downsloping flow and subtle subsidence in the wake of the decaying MCS Wednesday morning may inhibit a widespread severe threat especially along and north of the I-66/US-50 corridor. EVen with that said, scattered strong to severe storms remain possible with the biggest concerns west of Blue Ridge. The primary threat for storms over the next two days will be damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall. Large hail up to 1" in diameter is also possible.
Temperatures will reach into the upper 70s and lower 80s on Tuesday.
Even warmer temperatures are expected on Wednesday, with highs reaching into the mid-upper 80s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Unsettled weather continues through the end of the week as a wave of low pressure develops over the area Thursday, then quickly pushes northeast Thursday night. This is followed by a passing cold front Friday. Expect several rounds of showers and thunderstorms to cross the area, especially Thursday afternoon/evening.
Starting Thursday morning, widespread showers and storms are likely to be ongoing around sunrise over the western half of the area as a complex of storms from WV moves eastward. This early day convection wanes and mostly dissipates by late morning. The big uncertainty for Thursday will be how much instability can develop in the afternoon, before the next round of storms develops. The ingredients are there for severe storms to develop if we get instability that can combine with forcing for ascent from the passing upper trough to the north and bulk shear of 40-50 knots. SPC has placed areas east of the Blue Ridge on a Day 4 Slight Risk for severe storms. Lingering showers/storms Thursday evening dissipate after midnight, with mostly dry and slightly muggy conditions overnight.
A cold front will cross the area Friday afternoon, bringing another round of scattered showers and storms. Surface high pressure builds into the area Friday night into Saturday, possibly bringing the first day of mostly dry conditions areawide. Another reinforcing upper trough moves through Saturday night into Sunday, maybe bringing some scattered showers to the Alleghenies into northern MD.
Afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s Thursday drop to slightly below normal values Friday into the weekend, with upper 60s to lower 70s. Overnight lows follow the same pattern, dropping to the 40s to low 50s over the weekend.
AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR to MVFR conditions look to persists over the next few hours through the valid TAF period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will gradually pick up in coverage from the south and west this afternoon before spreading into the corridor this evening. KCHO and KSHD will be the first to see the storms between now and 21z/5pm with the main corridor (KIAD, KDCA, and KBWI) set to get in on the action after 22z/6pm. Overall thunderstorm coverage will remain scattered with the greatest emphasis on the corridor between 22- 01z/6-9pm. Thunderstorm activity should diminish after the peak heating period with isolated to scattered showers lingering through 06z/2am. VCTS has been introduced at all TAF sites this evening. IFR ceilings and fog both appear possible again tonight after the thunderstorms move out. Gradual improvement back to VFR conditions is expected again on Tuesday, but afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible once again. Have made a mention of VCTS once again within the corridor terminals, but have left it out of KCHO/KMRB/KMTN since it falls just outside the valid TAF envelope. Will end to further evaluate this for a mention in the next TAF cycle. Shower and thunderstorm coverage gradually decreases on Wednesday with slightly drier air underneath westerly downsloping flow. The threat is non zero with the highest confidence for a thunderstorm mainly at terminals along and south of I-66/US-50.
Light and variable winds are expected today and Tuesday. Winds will turn to the west Wednesday and may gusts 15-20 knots.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday, with some strong to severe storms possible in the afternoon to evening at all terminals. Outside of thunderstorm activity, VFR conditions are likely though abundant cloud cover will be in place across the area.
Southwest winds Thursday afternoon could gust to 15-20 knots at times. A cold front sweeps through Friday, causing winds to become northwest in the morning. Gusty winds of 20-25 knots possible Friday afternoon
MARINE
Light and variable winds are expected over the waters through Tuesday. No marine hazards are expected outside of diurnally driven scattered showers and thunderstorms. SMWs may be needed as thunderstorms approach the waters later this afternoon and into the evening hours. Additional showers and thunderstorms are likely Tuesday afternoon and evening with a better focus Tuesday night. Winds will turn westerly on Wednesday, and may potentially near SCA levels across northern portions of the Bay.
SCA conditions are possible over most of the local waters Thursday and Friday due to southerly channeling. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday, with Special Marine Warnings likely needed as storms move through in the afternoon.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Light winds over the next day or so will keep tide levels lower, with most locations peaking in Action Stage during high tide. The only issues could be at sensitive locations in Annapolis and Straits Point that could reach minor flood during high tide early Tuesday morning, and again early Wednesday morning. Southerly winds increase Wednesday and Thursday, which could result in additional coastal flooding as tide levels rise again.
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 258 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
An active weather pattern will continue throughout this week with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. Storms may contain heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and small hail. A strong cold front looks to cross the region Thursday into Friday bringing an increased threat for flooding and severe weather. Decreasing rain chances and cooler conditions are expected as high pressure returns this weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
Cloud bases continue to lift this afternoon with a few breaks of sun across northern and central Virginia. With the breaks of sun, showers and thunderstorms have bubbled especially across the higher ridges of the central Blue Ridge, eastern northern neck of VA and further south into the Roanoke/New River Valleys. WIth the thinning cloud cover temperatures have climbed into the low to mid 70s north of I-66/US-50 with near 80 degree readings further south. Skies will remain mostly cloudy to overcast through this evening as scattered shower and thunderstorm activity increases with the incumbent trough ejecting from the Ohio River Valley.
This disturbance will slowly drift east across the mountains this afternoon before pushing toward the coast this evening and into the first half of the overnight period. 12z hi-res CAM guidance continues to highlight the 20-01z/4pm-pm window for the best convective development. The HRRR/NAM seem to be the most aggressive with convective development especially in areas along and south of I- 66/US-50 as the vort axis and max PVA cross during the peak heating period. The 12z ARW/NSSL are slightly less, but show a similar theme of numerous showers and thunderstorms starting west of the Blue Ridge this afternoon and drifting east into the metros this evening.
The severe weather threat today appears to be low given the poor low level lapse rates, deep saturation, and low shear (0-6km shear less than 20 kts). MLCAPE values will range between 500-1000 j/kg north of I-66 with 1000-1500 j/kg further south where a few breaks in the clouds may occur. This is the area where one or two strong pulse type thunderstorms look to occur with a brief gusts of wind, small hail, and heavy rain as the primary concerns.
The bigger concern this evening will be heavy rainfall with a weak surface trough extending west to east across the area. This trough combined with slow moving thunderstorms this afternoon and evening could lead to one or two instances of localized flash flooding. One thing working into our favor is the recent week of dry weather and the limited amount of rainfall over the weekend. Even with that said, PWATS of 1.25-1.50 inches this afternoon and evening will yield efficient rain producers out of any loosely organized convection especially where the weak surface trough sets up.
Shower and thunderstorm activity should keep going through the first half of the night as the shortwave trough drifts eastward across the area. Patchy fog may again be possible during the second half of the night. Lows overnight tonight should generally be in the low-mid 60s, with upper 50s in the mountains. Dewpoint values will remain in the 60s leading to a muggy feel.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A stalled front nearby will maintain unsettled weather conditions heading into the middle of the workweek. Additional chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms exists each afternoon although the threat for organized severe weather threat remains low. Tuesday will feature brief mid-level ridging which should suppress convection briefly before an approaching trough reignites the threat Wednesday into Thursday.
Convection will be of the pulse variety or loosely organized Tuesday given abundant cloud cover/convective debris over the region. More of a focus turns toward Tuesday night as a complex of storms will eject out of the Ohio River Valley. This convection will be in it's decaying phase as it works eastward heading into Wednesday morning and could become a key player into how the severe weather and hydro threat pan out Wednesday afternoon.
On Wednesday, the instability in the atmosphere will be greater given a few more breaks in the clouds due in part to west to southwest flow. This will allow for some downsloping and compressional warming especially east of the Blue Ridge. The combination of downsloping flow and subtle subsidence in the wake of the decaying MCS Wednesday morning may inhibit a widespread severe threat especially along and north of the I-66/US-50 corridor. EVen with that said, scattered strong to severe storms remain possible with the biggest concerns west of Blue Ridge. The primary threat for storms over the next two days will be damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall. Large hail up to 1" in diameter is also possible.
Temperatures will reach into the upper 70s and lower 80s on Tuesday.
Even warmer temperatures are expected on Wednesday, with highs reaching into the mid-upper 80s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Unsettled weather continues through the end of the week as a wave of low pressure develops over the area Thursday, then quickly pushes northeast Thursday night. This is followed by a passing cold front Friday. Expect several rounds of showers and thunderstorms to cross the area, especially Thursday afternoon/evening.
Starting Thursday morning, widespread showers and storms are likely to be ongoing around sunrise over the western half of the area as a complex of storms from WV moves eastward. This early day convection wanes and mostly dissipates by late morning. The big uncertainty for Thursday will be how much instability can develop in the afternoon, before the next round of storms develops. The ingredients are there for severe storms to develop if we get instability that can combine with forcing for ascent from the passing upper trough to the north and bulk shear of 40-50 knots. SPC has placed areas east of the Blue Ridge on a Day 4 Slight Risk for severe storms. Lingering showers/storms Thursday evening dissipate after midnight, with mostly dry and slightly muggy conditions overnight.
A cold front will cross the area Friday afternoon, bringing another round of scattered showers and storms. Surface high pressure builds into the area Friday night into Saturday, possibly bringing the first day of mostly dry conditions areawide. Another reinforcing upper trough moves through Saturday night into Sunday, maybe bringing some scattered showers to the Alleghenies into northern MD.
Afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s Thursday drop to slightly below normal values Friday into the weekend, with upper 60s to lower 70s. Overnight lows follow the same pattern, dropping to the 40s to low 50s over the weekend.
AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR to MVFR conditions look to persists over the next few hours through the valid TAF period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will gradually pick up in coverage from the south and west this afternoon before spreading into the corridor this evening. KCHO and KSHD will be the first to see the storms between now and 21z/5pm with the main corridor (KIAD, KDCA, and KBWI) set to get in on the action after 22z/6pm. Overall thunderstorm coverage will remain scattered with the greatest emphasis on the corridor between 22- 01z/6-9pm. Thunderstorm activity should diminish after the peak heating period with isolated to scattered showers lingering through 06z/2am. VCTS has been introduced at all TAF sites this evening. IFR ceilings and fog both appear possible again tonight after the thunderstorms move out. Gradual improvement back to VFR conditions is expected again on Tuesday, but afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible once again. Have made a mention of VCTS once again within the corridor terminals, but have left it out of KCHO/KMRB/KMTN since it falls just outside the valid TAF envelope. Will end to further evaluate this for a mention in the next TAF cycle. Shower and thunderstorm coverage gradually decreases on Wednesday with slightly drier air underneath westerly downsloping flow. The threat is non zero with the highest confidence for a thunderstorm mainly at terminals along and south of I-66/US-50.
Light and variable winds are expected today and Tuesday. Winds will turn to the west Wednesday and may gusts 15-20 knots.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday, with some strong to severe storms possible in the afternoon to evening at all terminals. Outside of thunderstorm activity, VFR conditions are likely though abundant cloud cover will be in place across the area.
Southwest winds Thursday afternoon could gust to 15-20 knots at times. A cold front sweeps through Friday, causing winds to become northwest in the morning. Gusty winds of 20-25 knots possible Friday afternoon
MARINE
Light and variable winds are expected over the waters through Tuesday. No marine hazards are expected outside of diurnally driven scattered showers and thunderstorms. SMWs may be needed as thunderstorms approach the waters later this afternoon and into the evening hours. Additional showers and thunderstorms are likely Tuesday afternoon and evening with a better focus Tuesday night. Winds will turn westerly on Wednesday, and may potentially near SCA levels across northern portions of the Bay.
SCA conditions are possible over most of the local waters Thursday and Friday due to southerly channeling. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday, with Special Marine Warnings likely needed as storms move through in the afternoon.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Light winds over the next day or so will keep tide levels lower, with most locations peaking in Action Stage during high tide. The only issues could be at sensitive locations in Annapolis and Straits Point that could reach minor flood during high tide early Tuesday morning, and again early Wednesday morning. Southerly winds increase Wednesday and Thursday, which could result in additional coastal flooding as tide levels rise again.
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD | 12 mi | 45 min | W 1.9G | 67°F | 29.91 | |||
| 44043 - Patapsco, MD | 18 mi | 27 min | SW 1.9G | 66°F | 65°F | 0 ft | ||
| FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD | 18 mi | 45 min | SSE 5.1G | 67°F | ||||
| BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD | 19 mi | 45 min | SSE 1.9G | 69°F | 68°F | |||
| CBCM2 | 19 mi | 45 min | SSE 5.1G | 67°F | 66°F | 29.88 | 65°F | |
| CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD | 26 mi | 45 min | 0G | 70°F | 65°F | 29.90 | ||
| CPVM2 | 28 mi | 45 min | 67°F | 67°F | ||||
| APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD | 30 mi | 45 min | E 1.9G | 69°F | 68°F | 29.89 | ||
| 44063 - Annapolis | 31 mi | 27 min | 0G | 65°F | 63°F | 0 ft | ||
| TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD | 35 mi | 45 min | N 2.9G | 68°F | 29.93 | |||
| DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE | 38 mi | 45 min | SSW 1G | 69°F | 29.89 | |||
| RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE | 38 mi | 45 min | 70°F | 64°F | 29.88 | |||
| SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ | 47 mi | 45 min | W 1G | 69°F | 29.91 | |||
| BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD | 48 mi | 75 min | SE 1 | 72°F | 29.89 | 67°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KAPG PHILLIPS AAF,MD | 7 sm | 2.7 hrs | NE 04 | 7 sm | Overcast | 72°F | 68°F | 88% | 29.91 | |
| KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD | 9 sm | 28 min | SE 03 | 7 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 68°F | 66°F | 94% | 29.92 |
Tide / Current for Pond Point, Bush River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) HIDE Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Pond Point, Bush River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
Battery Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:33 AM EDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:57 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 06:48 AM EDT 2.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:59 PM EDT 0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:03 PM EDT 1.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:33 AM EDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:57 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:00 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 06:48 AM EDT 2.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:59 PM EDT 0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:38 PM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 07:03 PM EDT 1.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Battery Point, Gunpowder River, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.3 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 2 |
| 7 am |
| 2.1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.5 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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