Friday, February23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Absecon, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 5:45PM Friday February 23, 2018 3:34 PM EST (20:34 UTC) Moonrise 12:20PMMoonset 1:48AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 321 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 pm est this evening...
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw late this evening and overnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of rain early, then a slight chance of rain early this evening. Widespread drizzle and fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne late. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Widespread fog early in the morning. Patchy fog late in the morning. Widespread drizzle early in the morning. A chance of rain in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm until late afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 ft or less, then 3 to 4 ft early in the evening. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Rain.
Sun..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt early in the afternoon, then becoming sw 10 to 15 kt late. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Rain.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight. A chance of rain.
ANZ400 321 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A warm front will move northward through our area tonight followed by a cold front on Saturday. The front then stalls near or across our southern areas on Saturday before lifting northward as a warm front late Saturday into Sunday. Another low pressure system will cross to the north of our area with its attendant cold front moving through Sunday night. High pressure will build into the region through midweek. A backdoor cold front will drop down through the region on Wednesday, followed by an area of low pressure crossing the area Thursday into Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Absecon, NJ
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location: 39.42, -74.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 231756
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
1256 pm est Fri feb 23 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds offshore of new england today as an area
of low pressure moves out of the great lakes region and across
southeast canada tonight. A warm front to our south is forecast
to lift across the area tonight, followed by a cold front early
Saturday morning. The cold front will likely get hung up across
our southern areas Saturday, or just to our south, before
lifting back northward slightly Saturday night into Sunday as an
occluded frontal boundary moves across the area during the day
Sunday. High pressure begins to build into the region Monday
night and Tuesday, before moving offshore Tuesday night. A
backdoor cold front may approach the area from the north
Wednesday, before a warm front and occluding low pressure system
is forecast to approach the area from the south Thursday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Widespread rain has moved offshore, but a raw, chilly, and humid
airmass remains in place with patchy fog and drizzle. The next
batch of rain approaches northern zones later this afternoon.

Most of the freezing rain has ended over the poconos so will
cancel the winter weather advisory. There are a few spots where
temps remain below freezing, so will cover spotty freezing rain
with a special weather statement.

Afternoon high temps should be mostly in the 40s but may reach
low 50s in southern de.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
For tonight, rain should taper off by early evening but some
drizzle and fog may persist overnight. Winds will become light
sw and temps will hold steady or even climb a few degrees,
especially south of phl. A weak cold front is forecast to
approach from the NW overnight, but this should have no effect
other than a possible wind shift towards morning.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
An unsettled weekend is expected coming up, then dry weather
returns again for the early to middle of next week, then more
rainfall possible later in the week.

By Saturday morning, a frontal boundary is expected to be
moving into the area from the west and slowly move across the
area during the day. The front is eventually expected to become
nearly stationary across our southern areas, or just to our
south later on Saturday into Saturday night. Several short
wave vorticity impulses are forecast to move across the area
Saturday into Saturday night, which will lead to enhanced lift
across the area and a couple of rounds of precipitation.

Then on Sunday, the front to our south will begin lifting
northward, but likely not make it very far across the area as an
occluded frontal boundary and possible triple point low move
across the area. As a stronger short wave vorticity impulses
moves across the area, there will be enhanced lift and moisture
moving across the area, especially across potions of eastern
pennsylvania and northern new jersey. This will lead to a period
of potentially moderate to heavy rainfall Sunday morning. The
rainfall will taper off through the day Sunday once the occluded
front passes to our east, then conditions dry out Sunday night.

Precipitation amounts across portions of eastern pennsylvania
and northern new jersey could top 1-2 inches over the weekend,
with areas farther south 0.5-1 inch. Local rivers and creeks
will see some rises through the weekend into early next week,
and there could be the potential for poor drainage and low lying
flooding Sunday with the heavier rainfall.

After this period of rainfall over the weekend, dry weather is
forecast to return to the area for early next week. High
pressure is forecast to begin approaching the area from the west
on Monday, then fully build across the east coast Tuesday,
before moving offshore Tuesday night. This will bring dry
conditions Monday through Tuesday, expect possibly some light
rain across the southern areas Monday if the front to the south
remains close enough to push some moisture across the area.

On Wednesday, a back door cold front may move into the area
from the north. We expect this front to be dry, although the gfs
is trying to show some possible showers across the area. There
is a better chance of precipitation Wednesday night into
Thursday as a warm front approaches the area from the south
Wednesday night, before the occluding low pressure system moves
into the area Thursday. This will likely bring another period of
enhanced rainfall chances to the area.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today... Ifr conditions through this afternoon. Rain approaches
northern terminals as well later this afternoon. SE winds 10 kt
or less.

Tonight... Ifr lifr conditions in fog and stratus.

Outlook...

Saturday-Saturday night... Conditions may improve toVFR briefly
by midday, before diminishing again to ifr by the afternoon and
evening as rainfall moves back into the area. Winds shift back
to the northeast then east during the day and continue into the
night. Moderate confidence.

Sunday... Ifr conditions for the first half of the day as a cold
front moves across the area with a period of rainfall. East to
southeast winds become southwest and west behind the front.

Moderate confidence.

Sunday night...VFR conditions return. High confidence.

Monday-Tuesday...VFR. Gusty west to northwest winds 15-20 knots
during the daytime. High confidence.

Marine
East to southeast winds 15-20 kt. Seas on the ocean remain above
5 ft, so SCA remains in place. Sub-sca conditions expected
tonight, but vsby restrictions in fog expected.

Outlook...

Saturday-Saturday night... Conditions expected to remain below
advisory levels.

Sunday-Sunday night... Small craft advisory conditions likely return
to the waters by Sunday morning and continue through the day,
before lowering overnight Sunday night.

Monday-Tuesday... Conditions expected to remain below advisory
levels.

Hydrology
Periods of rain through the weekend could result in minor and
poor drainage flooding. The heaviest rain is expected Saturday
night and Sunday, when up to additional inch of rain will fall.

By the time the rain ends Monday morning, the region will have
received between 1 and 2 inches of rain since Thursday, with the
highest amounts falling over the northern third of the forecast
area. By Sunday night and Monday, there will be rises on areas
rivers and streams, with some possibly approaching bankful.

Climate
**top 3 warmest february on record and top 10 wettest february on
record.**
february projected climate ranking as of noon today based on our mid
shift fcst through the 28th and mins this morning; and for rainfall,
amounts through noon today. Rdg and ttn not included due to
too much missing data.

Abe #3 warmest 38.2 or 7.5f warmer than the 30.7 norm.

39.2-2017
38.6-1998
38.2-2018
36.8-1954
acy #1 warmest 43.0 or 7.7f warmer than the 35.3 norm. Tied with
last year. #2 40.6 in 1954
ilg #3 warmest 41.6 or 6.6f warmer than the 35.0 norm.

43.1-2017
42.3-1903
41.6-2018
41.2-1976
phl #3 warmest 42.0 or 6.3f warmer than the 35.7 norm.

44.2-2017
42.2-1925
42.0-2018
41.8-1998
41.4-1890
water equivalent monthly pcpn
phl ranked #10 with 5.28" (0.21 as of noon daily)
ilg ranked #8 with 5.49" (0.49 as of noon daily)
abe ranked #16 with 4.29" (0.07 as of noon daily)
acy ranked #2 with 6.12" (0.28" as of noon daily)
wettest is 6.50-2010. Our expectation is that acy will exceed the
previous all time record rainfall for february, by the end of the
weekend.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est this afternoon for
anz450>455.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... Amc mps
short term... Amc
long term... Robertson
aviation... Amc robertson mps
marine... Amc robertson mps
hydrology...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 6 mi46 min 42°F 40°F1030.1 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 8 mi64 min NE 6 41°F 1030 hPa40°F
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 40 mi46 min ENE 4.1 G 7 44°F 44°F1029.4 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 44 mi52 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1 43°F 1030.4 hPa
44091 46 mi34 min 42°F6 ft
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 49 mi46 min 43°F 42°F1029.5 hPa
BDSP1 49 mi46 min 41°F 46°F1029.8 hPa

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Last
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NE15
G24
NE12
G16
NE9
G17
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G27
NE15
G23
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G23
E9
G18
E11
G17
NE6
G10
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G20
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G21
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G22
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G20
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G14
NE7
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NE2
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E5
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SW8
G11
SW6
G9
S7
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G12
S8
G11
S6
S4
SW7
SW6
G9
SW2
N2
G6
NE10
G15
NE12
G17
E13
G20
E12
G16
E10
G15
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G28
E16
G25
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G24
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G24
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G26
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G24
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G28
NE13
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2 days
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SW13
G18
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G17
S8
G11
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G15
S13
G19
S9
G12
S8
G11
S8
G12
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SE7
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SE7
G10
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G12
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S4
SW12
G17
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G16
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G17
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G16
SW8
G11
SW13
SW8
G13
SW8

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ5 mi40 minENE 71.75 miFog/Mist45°F44°F97%1029.8 hPa

Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE17
G25
NE13
G18
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G18
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G27
NE14E13
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E11NE10
G21
NE10
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NE9
G18
NE10NE11NE10
G20
NE14E11
G21
E9E8
G18
E11E11E12E8E9NE11E8
1 day agoSW14
G25
SW11
G19
SW10SW6S4S4S44CalmCalmN7N8NE5NE10NE7NE10NE10E15
G22
NE15
G27
NE16
G23
E15
G27
NE14
G24
NE13
G25
NE15
G21
2 days ago--SW16
G23
SW13
G20
S6S6S5S10S10S6S6S10S7S6S7S8S6S8S7S6SW10
G19
SW15
G23
SW11
G23
SW15
G24
SW14
G27

Tide / Current Tables for Absecon, Absecon Creek, U.S. Hwy. 30 bridge, New Jersey
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Absecon
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:48 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:54 AM EST     3.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:09 AM EST     First Quarter
Fri -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:39 AM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:23 PM EST     3.20 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:43 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EST     0.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.23.73.93.73.12.41.50.80.40.30.71.42.22.93.23.12.82.11.30.60.100.41.2

Tide / Current Tables for Ventnor City, ocean pier, New Jersey
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Ventnor City
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:20 AM EST     4.21 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:47 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:09 AM EST     First Quarter
Fri -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:00 AM EST     0.39 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:57 PM EST     3.63 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:43 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:05 PM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.24.13.52.61.60.90.50.40.61.22.12.93.43.63.42.61.70.90.40.20.412.13.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.