Friday, July20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Absecon, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:22PM Friday July 20, 2018 4:51 AM EDT (08:51 UTC) Moonrise 2:10PMMoonset 12:48AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 348 Am Edt Fri Jul 20 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon...
.gale watch in effect from Saturday evening through late Saturday night...
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Tonight..SE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning. Showers in the afternoon. A chance of tstms late.
Sat night..E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt after midnight, then diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Gusts up to 35 kt, decreasing to 25 kt late. Seas 4 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of tstms early in the evening. Showers in the evening. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Mon..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of tstms in the morning. Showers likely.
Mon night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Tue..S winds around 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds around 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 348 Am Edt Fri Jul 20 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will move offshore today. A low pressure system will move up the eastern seaboard on Saturday. Another low pressure system will remain nearly stationary over the midwest through the weekend. The low will slide southward through early next week, bringing unsettled weather to our area through much of the next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Absecon, NJ
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location: 39.42, -74.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 200817
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
417 am edt Fri jul 20 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will move offshore today. A low pressure system will
move up the eastern seaboard on Saturday. Another low pressure
system will remain nearly stationary over the midwest through the
weekend. The low will slide southward through early next week,
bringing unsettled weather to our area through much of the next
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
High pressure centered off CAPE cod early this morning will slide to
the northeast. The high is expected to continue influencing our
weather for today.

We are anticipating a mostly sunny sky along with a light east to
southeast wind. High temperatures will favor the 80s in northeastern
maryland, delaware, new jersey and eastern pennsylvania.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
Tonight should be rain-free in much of our region. We are expecting
an increase in high and mid level clouds.

The mid level low that is forecast to influence our weather from
this weekend into the new week should be located over southern lake
michigan tonight. Surface low pressure is anticipated to move
northeastward along the coasts of south and north carolina. We will
mention a chance of showers toward daybreak in southern delaware and
in the adjacent counties of eastern maryland.

A light southeast to east wind is expected. Low temperatures are
forecast to be mostly in the 60s, with some readings dropping into
the middle and upper 50s in the pocono region and in far northern
new jersey.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
Unsettled weather will continue from the weekend through much of the
next week. Each day will have a chance for showers and thunderstorms
with heavy rain possible.

Saturday and Saturday night... The coastal low will start to make its
way up the coast on Saturday. The models continue to have
differences with respect to timing, strength, and speed of the low
as it moves up the coast but the solutions again look closer than
they did on their previous runs. The models have all shifted
slightly west with the track of the low, with it hugging the
coastline. All of the guidance continues to suggest heavy rainfall
with the low as it moves across the region. Wpc has put us in a
slight risk for excessive rainfall and we agree. Hi-res models and
the deterministic models show 2-5+ inches in some areas through
Saturday. However, with the exact track and timing (gfs is fast, nam
is slower, and ECMWF is slower still) still a bit uncertain, it is
hard to pinpoint just which areas are the most at risk for the
higher rainfall totals. Flash flooding is a concern and although we
have had a dry period of late, the rain will fall quickly and will
not be as easily absorbed into the ground. A flash flood watch may
be needed as the details become a little clearer based on later
model runs today.

Sunday through Thursday... The unsettled pattern continues as focus
shifts from the coastal low to the cut off upper level low and
associated surface low start digging down through the ohio valley.

Little progress to the east is expected as a strong bermuda high
pressure system develops over the atlantic. We essentially get
squeezed between the high to the east and the low to the west. As
the low spins to our west, a weak warm front gets pushed northward
into our area on Sunday. This means we maintain a deep southerly
flow with good transport of moisture up from the gulf of mexico,
keeping muggy weather across the region and keeping the potential
for flooding rains to occur. The pressure gradient tightens up as we
should see winds kick up, especially along the coast. The gradient
looks strongest as we move through Monday, and then as the low
starts to get pushed towards the south southwest, the gradient
starts to relax.

This period will be marked by chances for rain and thunderstorms
each day, although each day is not expected to be a total washout.

Warmer air remains suppressed to the south and west through much of
the next week. While the hottest temps will remain away from the
region, we will have an incredible amount of moisture around keeping
the air very humid.

Weak high pressure may arrive at the end of the week and give us a
brief respite from the soggy, wet weather as we head into next
weekend.

Aviation 08z Friday through Tuesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR with a mostly clear sky. Southeast wind 4 to 8 knots.

Wind speeds may increase around 10 knots at kilg due to the
funneling effect up delaware bay.

Tonight...VFR with increasing clouds. Bases are forecast to remain
above 8000 feet. Southeast to east wind 4 to 8 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday... Periods of MVFR ifr as showers and
thunderstorms overspread the region. East to southeast winds around
8 to 12 knots on Saturday, becoming more southerly on Sunday. Gusts
to 20 to 25 knots possible, with up to 30 knots possible at
kacy. Moderate confidence.

Monday through Tuesday... Periods of MVFR ifr in showers and
thunderstorms. South winds around 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20
to 25 knots, especially closer to the coast. Moderate confidence.

Marine
High pressure to our northeast is expected to lose its influence
over the coastal waters of new jersey and delaware today and tonight.

Low pressure is forecast to move up the carolina coast tonight.

A southeast wind around 10 knots today and this evening is expected
to become east around 15 knots late tonight.

Wave heights on our ocean waters should favor the 2 to 3 foot range.

Waves on delaware bay are anticipated to be 2 feet or less.

Outlook...

Saturday... Increasing east to northeast winds and building seas.

Small craft advisory conditions will likely develop by early
Saturday afternoon. Have issued a small craft advisory for the ocean
waters starting at 11am and for the delaware bay starting at 2pm.

Saturday night... With the increasing gradient, we will see winds
increase further heading into Saturday evening. Gale force gusts
seem likely, especially across the northern waters. Winds look to
remain below gale force on the delaware bay. Have issued a gale
watch for the ocean waters for Saturday night.

Sunday through Tuesday... Southeast winds around 10 to 20 knots.

Gusts around 25 knots on Monday. Seas will remain elevated
above 5 feet through Monday. Small craft advisories will likely
need to be continued through Tuesday, mainly for seas remaining
above 5 feet.

Rip currents...

a light onshore flow and a medium period swell should result in a
low risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for today.

An enhanced rip current risk is expected for Saturday, as low
pressure moves up the middle atlantic coast. The enhanced risk
should continue into Sunday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Gale watch from Saturday evening through late Saturday night
for anz450>455.

Small craft advisory from 11 am to 6 pm edt Saturday for
anz450>455.

Small craft advisory from 2 pm Saturday to 1 am edt Sunday for
anz430-431.

Synopsis... Meola
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... Meola
aviation... Iovino meola
marine... Iovino meola


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 6 mi39 min 72°F 70°F1020.2 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 8 mi81 min SSW 1.9 57°F 1020 hPa56°F
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 40 mi33 min E 1.9 G 1.9 67°F 75°F1019.3 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 44 mi33 min SSE 4.1 G 4.1 73°F 1020.2 hPa
44091 46 mi51 min 76°F2 ft
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 49 mi39 min 70°F 81°F1019.4 hPa
BDSP1 49 mi33 min 69°F 83°F1020.2 hPa

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ5 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair62°F60°F93%1020 hPa

Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW4N5N4N544E5E9SE6
G15
E11SE12SE9E10E7E5SE6SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoN7N6NW7N8N9N7NW10N7
G16
N65E86CalmSE5SE6S3CalmCalmNW4NW4N5N4N4Calm
2 days agoS6S6S6S8S6SW9SW8
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N3E6E7S4SE4NW6NW5NW5NW4NW8N10

Tide / Current Tables for Absecon, Absecon Creek, U.S. Hwy. 30 bridge, New Jersey
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Absecon
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Fri -- 12:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:34 AM EDT     3.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:22 PM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:43 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.82.73.43.83.93.52.81.91.10.50.20.41.22.133.84.14.13.62.921.20.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Ventnor City, ocean pier, New Jersey
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Ventnor City
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:57 AM EDT     4.18 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:18 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:37 PM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:59 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.33.94.23.832.11.30.70.30.411.92.93.84.54.543.22.31.60.90.60.91.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.