Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mystic Island, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:35AMSunset 8:13PM Friday May 24, 2019 4:59 AM EDT (08:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:36AMMoonset 10:34AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 314 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 am edt this morning...
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the W with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms early.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E late. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 4 seconds.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft early in the afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 314 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure across the great lakes region will build across the middle atlantic later today and remain across the region through Saturday. Low pressure will move north of the area Sunday and Monday causing a front to move across the region. More high pressure will return for later Monday and into Tuesday. A disturbance will arrive for the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic Island, NJ
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location: 39.54, -74.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 240735
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
335 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure across the great lakes region will build across the
middle atlantic later today and remain across the region through
Saturday. Low pressure will move north of the area Sunday and Monday
causing a front to move across the region. More high pressure will
return for later Monday and into Tuesday. A disturbance will arrive
for the middle of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Much quieter day in store for the area as surface high pressure
builds NW of the area over the great lakes while at mid lvls heights
rise as the SE ridge tries to build northward in the wake of the
earlier shortwave.

Given good mixing and modest pressure rises, will likely see breezy
northwest winds through most of the daytime hours (gusts generally
in the 20-30 mph range). There will be a considerably drier airmass
in place with cloud cover limited to patchy cirrus and some
stratocumulus (most notable over northern portions of the area).

Given a well-mixed atmosphere, a good amount of sun, and offshore
flow highs will generally run in the mid 70s to low 80s (probably a
bit cooler in the far north where there may be more cloud
cover).

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
The high will move overhead this evening and then offshore
overnight, which will cause the northwesterly winds to decrease in
speed and veer to a more easterly direction. Models indicate a weak
shortwave diving around the eastern side of the ridge overnight in
the vicinity of delmarva, but am not expecting anything other than
maybe an increase in mid-clouds from this feature. Other than that
overnight mins should cool to near climo , given onshore flow,
lighter winds, and a drier airmass.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
The overall synoptic setup will continue with an upper high
pressure across the south and a rather deep trough over the
western part of the country. A low across canada will guide low
pressure systems and fronts across the great lakes and middle
atlantic this weekend and into the middle of next week. This
means showery conditions with some tstms possible. The most
favored times for the rains are Sat night thru Sun night and
again Wed Thu next week. Since the pattern is more showery, some
locally heavy rains are possible, but the rains will be scattered
and intermittent.

Temperatures will be near normal Saturday, but then turn much
more summer-like Sunday when mercury readings will approach 90
in many areas, save the southern poconos and the shore. The above
normal readings will carry into next week, although highs Mon tue
will be more like low mid 80s. Highs will then go back into the
low 90s Wed and perhaps again thu. Humidity levels will be
somewhat uncomfortable Sunday and then again towards the
middle of next week.

Aviation 07z Friday through Tuesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Friday...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals. NW winds
sustained around 15 kts with gusts up to around 25 knots are
expected through mid-afternoon.

Friday night... VFR conditions are expected with winds decreasing in
speed to around 5-10 kts, and veering from northerly to
easterly and then eventually southeasterly by Saturday morning.

Outlook...

sat... MostlyVFR.

Sat night thru Sun night...VFR much of the time, but a few
showers and tstms with lower conditions possible.

Mon thru tue... MostlyVFR.

Marine
A small craft advisory remains in place for the atlantic coastal
waters through 7 am this morning. Seas will come down to 2-3 feet
this afternoon with northwesterly flow prevailing. Winds will likely
gust to 20-25kts at times this afternoon.

Sub-sca conditions are expected Friday night.

Outlook...

winds and seas will likely remain below SCA conditions for the
weekend and into early next week. Mostly fair weather is
expected, but a few tstms will be across the waters Sat night
and again Sunday night. Locally higher winds and seas are
possible with any tstm.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am edt this morning for
anz450>455.

Synopsis... O'hara
near term... Carr
short term... Carr
long term... O'hara
aviation... Carr o'hara
marine... Carr o'hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 4 mi89 min W 2.9 66°F 1011 hPa65°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 13 mi41 min 57°F1011.1 hPa
44091 37 mi29 min 58°F4 ft
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 45 mi83 min W 8.9 G 12 69°F 65°F1010.1 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi41 min NW 1.9 G 4.1 65°F1010.9 hPa
BDSP1 48 mi41 min 68°F1011 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 48 mi47 min 67°F 65°F1010.5 hPa

Wind History for Burlington, Delaware River, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ11 mi65 minW 910.00 miFair71°F69°F94%1010.6 hPa

Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW3NW4NW3N7N6CalmE3N7--S8
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Tide / Current Tables for Graveling Point, New Jersey
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Graveling Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:02 AM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:56 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:43 PM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:59 PM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.53.32.82.11.50.90.50.40.61.21.92.42.82.92.72.21.71.210.91.11.62.3

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:35 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     -2.09 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:06 PM EDT     1.38 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.30.5-0.3-1-1.5-1.9-2.1-1.6-0.70.211.41.20.60-0.6-1-1.3-1.5-1.2-0.30.61.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.