Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 7:47 PM Moonrise 9:54 PM   Moonset 6:41 AM

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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1026 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am edt Friday - .
Overnight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds. Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds and E 3 ft at 5 seconds. Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds. Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds. Sat night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. Sun - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 3 ft at 8 seconds. Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the evening. Mon - W winds around 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Mon night - S winds around 10 kt. Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw after midnight.

ANZ400 1026 Pm Edt Thu Apr 25 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure builds in early this morning and lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.

FXUS61 KPHI 260126 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 926 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds across the Middle Atlantic region tonight then moves offshore Friday. A warm front attached to low pressure over the Great Lakes moves by Saturday. Highs pressure returns for Sunday and into next week. Another low and front arrives for Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Forecast is relatively on track this evening. Cloud cover has hung on a bit longer than expected and temperatures are running a bit warm compared to the forecast. Winds have started to slacken as high pressure slides overhead and the gradient weakens. Given that cloud cover remains across the southern 2/3 of the CWA, am a bit skeptical that temperatures will drop as much as some of the coldest guidance has. Nudged up temperatures slightly, but most areas within the Freeze Warning should get close to/below freezing with some Frost development within areas of the Frost Advisory. As a result, no changes to the headlines.

For Friday, the high pressure across New England will begin to shift offshore. East to southeast winds will increase to near 10 mph across much of the area, keeping a relatively cool maritime airmass entrenched across the region. However, we will see some modification of the airmass compared to today, so temperatures should warm into the low 60s across most areas away from the coasts which will stay in the 50s. Expect mostly sunny skies and a cool breeze much of the day.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
A transition from early springlike temperatures Friday night to early summer readings by Sunday. An upper ridge will build across the area thru the period and as this happens, low pressure moves by to the north, bringing a warm front thru on Saturday. There will be plenty of clouds around, but chances for rain are low Saturday (slight chance) and only chance levels for Sat night.
The most favored areas for the showers are the Southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley and north NJ.

Mild and dry weather will be around for Sunday. Following the warm front, a deep southerly flow will arrive over the area, so increasing warmth and humidity is expected. Highs Sunday will be in the upper 70s/low 80s in most spots, but cooler near the shore and up across the Poconos.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
There are not many changes for the long term with todays forecast.
Very warm temperatures for late spring will remain in place as the upper ridge starts out across the East late this weekend. Gradually, this ridge weakens and allows more scattered shortwave energy to arrive across the area. For Tuesday and into Wednesday, a cold front will approach the area and the weaken as it moves thru. So, for the period from Sunday night thru Monday night, a dry forecast is in place.
Tuesday/Tuesday night will feature some scattered shower/tstm activity and after that, only widely scattered showers are expected for the midweek and into Thu.

Well above normal temps for Sunday/Monday with highs in the upper 70s/low 80s Sunday and then some 5 to 7 degrees warmer for Monday.
There will be more clouds and showers for Tue, but highs in the 80s are still expected. Humidity levels will increase into the new week with dew points rising to the upper 50s/low 60s for many areas.

AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Tonight...VFR. Southeast to east winds 5-10 kts early diminishing by 06Z to less than 5 kts favoring an east/northeast direction. Winds may become locally calm. High confidence.

Friday...VFR. East to southeast winds increasing to near 5-10 kts. High confidence.

Outlook...

Friday night/Saturday... VFR expected.

Saturday night... VFR except in a few scattered showers mostly KRDG/KABE/KTTN when some MVFR is possible.

Sunday and Monday...VFR conditions anticipated.

Tuesday... Mostly VFR but scattered showers with lower conditions possible.

MARINE
Seas will remain elevated near 5 feet through tonight south of Little Egg Inlet before gradually diminishing overnight. Have cancelled the SCA for waters off of Ocean County as buoy and ship observations show sub-5 foot seas. The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 4 AM Friday for the Atlantic zones south of Little Egg Inlet. No additional hazards are expected through Friday with east winds 10-15 kts and seas 2-4 feet.

Outlook...

Friday night through Tuesday... Winds and seas will remain below SCA criteria through the period. Fair weather expected.

FIRE WEATHER
RH values will be in the 25-30% range tomorrow. However, with winds so low, around 10 MPH or less, the threat for the spread of wildfire remains low. The overnight shift will take another look and coordinate with partners to see if any statements are needed.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Friday for PAZ070-071.
Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Friday for PAZ060>062- 101>106.
NJ...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Friday for NJZ014-023.
Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Friday for NJZ001-007>010- 012-013-015>022-027.
DE...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Friday for DEZ001>003.
MD...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Friday for MDZ012-015-019- 020.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for ANZ452>455.

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Graveling Point
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Thu -- 04:56 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:08 AM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:52 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:20 PM EDT     3.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Graveling Point, New Jersey, Tide feet

Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:40 AM EDT     -2.69 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:33 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:03 AM EDT     1.95 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:03 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:48 PM EDT     -2.08 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:08 PM EDT     2.54 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots

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